Scaly-Arena 0x0aa076…4604a3
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$88
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
1,581
Trades
11,148
lifetime
Volume
$4.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$33
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-27 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
56% 40% +$44
Politics
29% 47% +$68
Crypto
9% 61% -$28
Tech
5% 40% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 40% +$2
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +275 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 10-26 14:32
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +25 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 10-10 20:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +23 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 10-09 10:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +43 -$1 4¢ $2 +$2 10-27 02:05
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +22 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 10-06 12:52
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 10-26 14:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +26 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 10-26 21:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +57 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-26 16:39
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 10-20 20:44
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +45 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-26 11:08
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +23 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 10-03 22:09
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +38 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:45
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-26 23:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +23 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 10-27 07:00
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +83 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-26 20:17
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +24 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-24 23:06
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-27 11:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +30 -$1 3¢ $1 +$2 10-24 17:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +53 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 05:31
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +26 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 10-23 08:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +60 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-23 16:01
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +16 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 09-24 22:20
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +21 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:26
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-13 09:02
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 06-11 13:06
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +18 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-29 12:36
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +19 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 09-26 00:29
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 10-01 20:55
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-05 12:10
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +62 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-25 22:12