Realized P&L
+$88
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
1,584
Trades
11,275
lifetime
Volume
$5.05K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 10-28 02:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
56% 40% +$44
Politics
29% 47% +$68
Crypto
9% 61% -$28
Tech
5% 40% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 40% +$2
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +66 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 10-28 01:47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +25 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 10-10 20:58
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +51 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-27 20:48
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +22 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 10-06 12:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +26 $1 6¢ $2 +$1 10-26 21:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +23 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 10-09 10:56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +275 $0 1¢ $2 +$1 10-26 14:32
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 10-26 14:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +57 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +29 $0 5¢ $1 +$2 10-28 01:05
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +38 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:45
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +24 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 10-24 23:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +99 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-27 22:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +53 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-27 05:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +31 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 10-23 15:40
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +30 -$1 3¢ $1 +$2 10-24 17:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +48 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-28 00:05
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +24 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-26 21:49
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-26 23:47
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +26 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-23 08:02
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +83 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-26 20:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-27 11:24
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-20 20:44
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +29 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 10-28 00:50
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +77 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-27 23:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 -$1 3¢ $1 +$2 10-27 22:05
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +16 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 09-24 22:20
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +21 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:26
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +23 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-03 22:09
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 06-11 13:06