Muffled-Description — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

384

Trades

804

lifetime

Volume

$9.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-23 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

76% 73% -$9

Crypto

18% 78% +$0

Politics

5% 72% +$0

Sports

1% 43% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	10-23 10:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	08-10 11:27
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	3	$61	35	26	+10	Yes	+$0	07-25 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-27 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-27 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-26 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-26 16:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 2?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	09-02 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	09-08 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 20?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 16:12
Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	09-08 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on August 6?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-06 20:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or below on July 22?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 07:20
will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-08 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-14 14:05
ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-07 00:21
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 24?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 25?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-24 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	09-05 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	09-05 13:27
bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	08-10 11:43
will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-26 10:09
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$53	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 11:34
bitcoin above 60k on july 30 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	09-13 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 20?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 10:22:20	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a8d30…
09-27 05:41:11	Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x380e47…
09-23 03:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb92f66…
09-23 01:07:02	Will Brittney Sykes have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x73f44c…
09-22 08:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf6a6f…
09-22 07:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2cc801…
09-21 18:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x23a447…
09-21 08:47:14	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xe33545…
09-21 01:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa3b65f…
09-20 22:19:40	Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x730478…
09-20 06:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8aee1c…
09-20 04:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc92a99…
09-20 01:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4daf0…
09-17 16:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x29ad6c…
09-17 08:16:00	where will it rain on september 16 2026 chicago il	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4cee1d…
09-16 15:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x135b37…
09-14 13:35:06	Will “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4677b7…
09-14 10:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00cc0e…
09-14 06:34:00	Will Netflix win the most Emmys?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x989350…
09-13 23:17:00	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x90343b…
09-13 14:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1ea7c4…
09-13 06:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa75c11…
09-12 15:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaed364…
09-12 09:38:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90b91f…
09-12 06:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x30bcde…
09-12 02:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9b8b9a…
09-11 20:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e02fe…
09-11 17:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x623c14…
09-11 14:45:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7c5b18…
09-08 15:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x191c45…
09-08 15:43:01	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xbeba39…
09-08 15:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5b4b2d…
09-07 20:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x31bd8f…
09-07 15:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1fc96c…
09-07 12:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 7?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x19851d…
09-07 09:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 7?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x296aa3…
09-07 09:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x048b70…
09-07 09:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 7?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x05e39f…
09-07 04:41:22	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbf7ed9…
09-07 01:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27c038…
09-07 00:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6568b7…
09-06 20:05:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5bc1b5…
09-06 16:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 7?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x92e52b…
09-06 08:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x565def…
09-06 08:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x3b2fe5…
09-06 08:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x622261…
09-06 07:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe26062…
09-06 07:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on September 6?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5be50d…
09-06 07:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x62cf72…
09-06 05:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xcb4987…
09-06 00:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdcbdf7…
09-05 22:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8a9674…
09-05 14:19:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcc4f95…
09-05 13:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8aadfa…
09-05 13:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb08bce…
09-05 13:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x27b8d1…
09-05 07:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbf1f95…
09-05 07:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x33b241…
09-05 06:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xdaa6c6…
09-05 04:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c183a…
09-05 02:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5bd01b…
09-05 00:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1694bf…
09-05 00:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdb9f4f…
09-05 00:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x53edb0…
09-04 23:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb7ea87…
09-04 23:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x476316…
09-04 21:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 4?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9f9727…
09-04 17:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xee808d…
09-04 12:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5f3b8…
09-04 10:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0e1de7…
09-04 04:21:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf66ce4…
09-03 11:46:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1f00a4…
09-03 05:15:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32babf…
09-02 10:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe36b2e…
09-02 05:06:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 2?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x00bd6c…
09-01 23:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on September 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x8c41d1…
09-01 18:26:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcfec1d…
09-01 09:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf85809…
09-01 01:11:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe33175…
08-31 22:53:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x59961a…
08-31 20:49:07	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xeb2c1d…
08-31 20:20:57	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfdfd8f…
08-31 15:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc8b16d…
08-31 11:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x561e8a…
08-31 04:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xf568da…
08-30 22:19:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaa9a31…
08-30 11:59:33	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6526da…
08-30 08:41:37	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4f25f8…
08-30 02:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8d2332…
08-30 02:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x51f9a7…
08-29 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7bdb2d…
08-29 17:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdac007…
08-29 11:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc80c26…
08-29 10:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e199e…
08-28 15:04:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9d6bd4…
08-28 08:02:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc07568…
08-28 01:54:24	Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x15dc3d…
08-28 01:39:19	Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x25714f…
08-28 00:05:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x251b7e…
08-27 20:35:19	Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x416ff1…