Awkward-Greatness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$9.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$60

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-25 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-20

Politics

38% — —

Sports

17% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No		+78	$57	76¢	$60	+$3	06-06 20:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.4K	807	807	+0	No	+$1	04-26 18:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$1.3K	673	673	+0	open	—	04-25 04:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	11	$574	579	501	+78	open	—	06-06 20:21
Will Alberta join the US?	9	$468	571	571	+0	open	—	06-08 01:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$413	409	374	+35	open	—	05-17 20:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	4	$371	190	190	+0	open	—	05-16 04:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$358	333	333	+0	open	—	06-05 03:08
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	9	$340	335	335	+0	open	—	06-24 09:19
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$323	330	330	+0	open	—	06-25 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$255	687	687	+0	open	—	05-18 03:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$231	195	195	+0	open	—	06-19 18:12
Iran leadership change by June 30?	8	$227	279	279	+0	open	—	06-07 03:54
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$218	197	197	+0	open	—	06-07 22:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$217	282	282	+0	open	—	06-04 16:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$212	109	109	+0	open	—	05-14 06:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$208	111	111	+0	open	—	05-28 19:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$200	142	142	+0	open	—	05-31 01:00
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	05-31 21:02
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$198	2,478	2,478	+0	No	+$0	04-26 06:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	3	$195	99	99	+0	open	—	06-04 23:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	5	$190	432	432	+0	open	—	06-08 22:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$165	188	188	+0	open	—	05-30 12:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$157	87	87	+0	open	—	06-09 17:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$153	80	80	+0	open	—	06-11 09:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$153	85	85	+0	open	—	06-18 01:00
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	3	$151	111	111	+0	open	—	06-24 14:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	3	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	06-23 08:06
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$117	178	178	+0	open	—	06-09 03:52
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	1	$105	107	0	+107	open	—	05-28 04:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$88	97	97	+0	open	—	05-29 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 11:24:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	168	2¢	$4	0x5409e8…
06-25 09:57:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0xb0c20a…
06-25 09:57:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x34e53c…
06-25 09:57:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0x64ff50…
06-24 22:59:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	77	98¢	$76	0xfcdec9…
06-24 19:14:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x2c54de…
06-24 14:53:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	111	68¢	$75	0xb75fa4…
06-24 12:48:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	76	68¢	$52	0xfb7667…
06-24 12:48:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x82c2c8…
06-24 09:19:25	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	91¢	$75	0x2cdb90…
06-24 06:11:49	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0xc9dd3b…
06-24 06:11:49	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$24	0xc34323…
06-24 06:11:49	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x1cd1e2…
06-24 06:09:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x6cb3c7…
06-24 03:52:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$83	0x38537a…
06-23 08:06:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4f47e3…
06-23 08:06:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x05f1da…
06-23 04:06:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xb69c9b…
06-23 01:24:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	55	48¢	$26	0xf9ed96…
06-22 23:39:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0xa0a5c7…
06-21 18:45:11	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	85	89¢	$76	0x051536…
06-21 18:44:25	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	90¢	$76	0x43f1a8…
06-20 11:28:11	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	11¢	$19	0xdc1de5…
06-20 09:43:19	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xf7d67d…
06-20 09:43:19	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	11¢	$15	0xc36e8d…
06-20 04:16:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xe92c44…
06-20 03:01:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x614ad4…
06-20 03:01:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x4e9888…
06-19 22:36:38	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x97eab8…
06-19 20:18:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd1b377…
06-19 20:18:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	71	17¢	$12	0x870e66…
06-19 18:12:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	111	74¢	$82	0x7a23a9…
06-19 15:31:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	111	76¢	$84	0xd84a8f…
06-18 12:01:35	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0x352675…
06-18 08:22:02	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xff92a2…
06-18 01:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x7568ee…
06-18 01:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x2d24fb…
06-17 22:33:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	85	90¢	$76	0xbedcb8…
06-17 17:51:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	84	39¢	$33	0xc10e06…
06-17 16:08:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x67236b…
06-11 09:58:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0xcf9473…
06-10 20:25:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xe2f6c7…
06-10 12:25:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	173	3¢	$5	0xff8b33…
06-09 22:32:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$3	0xd212c8…
06-09 22:32:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xb16147…
06-09 17:33:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	80	89¢	$71	0x8335ea…
06-09 17:33:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x32a632…
06-09 16:11:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x9233f6…
06-09 03:52:12	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	178	33¢	$59	0xebcc19…
06-09 00:36:24	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0xfed52b…
06-09 00:36:24	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	135	33¢	$45	0xb7033b…
06-08 22:01:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0xc6341a…
06-08 15:31:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x3309a1…
06-08 01:16:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	179	5¢	$8	0xeaacd1…
06-08 00:40:12	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	179	5¢	$8	0x0c246c…
06-07 22:50:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x5094e8…
06-07 22:50:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0xca0d16…
06-07 20:28:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0xd1d6a7…
06-07 03:54:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x98550d…
06-07 01:33:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x53732d…
06-06 20:21:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	46	71¢	$33	0xc31335…
06-06 20:21:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	90	71¢	$64	0x985e9c…
06-06 19:02:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	37	72¢	$27	0xd69f3f…
06-06 19:02:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	99	72¢	$71	0xb48952…
06-06 18:49:03	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	111	96¢	$107	0x1a1a5d…
06-06 17:04:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0x1d8b4b…
06-06 03:15:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x456088…
06-06 03:15:16	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x1612e8…
06-06 00:47:39	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0x581c9d…
06-06 00:47:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xe8649c…
06-05 15:31:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0xebf6c1…
06-05 15:31:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	101	31¢	$31	0xe82f1c…
06-05 15:31:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	31¢	$25	0x140c45…
06-05 12:55:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	236	31¢	$73	0x64d4ce…
06-05 03:08:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xebe47b…
06-05 03:08:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	141	55¢	$78	0x153114…
06-05 02:03:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	177	55¢	$97	0xec2c8e…
06-04 23:43:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x84c452…
06-04 21:56:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x166cc0…
06-04 18:21:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xac1398…
06-04 16:12:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	282	38¢	$107	0x19d41b…
06-04 14:50:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	282	39¢	$110	0x97e302…
06-03 14:30:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	43	78¢	$34	0xd34c66…
06-03 14:30:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	85	78¢	$66	0x23f9dd…
06-03 10:44:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc82a0e…
06-03 10:44:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0xa7c1eb…
06-03 10:44:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x996077…
06-03 08:51:28	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	129	69¢	$89	0xd2cc94…
06-03 04:21:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	129	69¢	$89	0xf33e23…
06-03 00:57:14	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	164	4¢	$7	0xe3ad60…
06-02 21:39:45	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	164	4¢	$7	0x021e6a…
06-02 14:19:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0xa404c5…
06-02 12:13:22	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0x95dd15…
06-02 12:10:30	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb35553…
06-02 12:10:30	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	112	96¢	$107	0x97614d…
06-02 10:15:42	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x5a530c…
06-02 06:07:49	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	114	96¢	$109	0x6c8afd…
06-02 04:39:00	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x865a0f…
05-31 21:02:44	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0xcbfe6c…
05-31 21:02:44	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x139e87…