Miserable-Mushroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$9.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$163

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-26 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% —

Politics

31% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No		-101	$-97	97¢	$-98	$-1	06-05 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+131	$113	50¢	$65	$-48	06-15 04:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	9	$1.3K	2,516	2,516	+0	open	—	04-24 00:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.2K	617	617	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 01:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	11	$622	547	547	+0	open	—	06-23 00:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$452	462	462	+0	open	—	06-10 02:07
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	3	$307	165	165	+0	open	—	06-17 01:09
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$299	106	207	-101	open	—	06-05 17:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	4	$279	145	145	+0	open	—	06-17 19:43
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$275	264	264	+0	open	—	06-23 08:13
israel closes its airspace by july 15	5	$274	150	150	+0	open	—	06-21 16:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$258	138	138	+0	open	—	06-18 04:44
Netanyahu out by June 30?	3	$226	114	114	+0	open	—	06-20 02:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$217	282	282	+0	open	—	06-07 04:01
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	5	$216	365	216	+149	open	—	06-13 16:26
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$215	117	117	+0	open	—	06-23 11:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$212	289	289	+0	open	—	05-20 06:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	2	$210	309	309	+0	open	—	06-25 10:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$205	186	186	+0	open	—	06-12 13:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$203	126	126	+0	open	—	06-05 12:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$201	127	127	+0	open	—	06-06 08:28
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	9	$195	648	648	+0	open	—	06-10 23:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	3	$191	104	104	+0	open	—	06-18 19:30
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$190	157	157	+0	open	—	05-19 15:44
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	16	$185	868	868	+0	open	—	06-24 12:44
israel closes its airspace by july 31	3	$175	101	101	+0	open	—	06-26 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$113	131	0	+131	open	—	06-15 04:03
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	1	$111	112	0	+112	open	—	05-30 11:38
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	7	$102	505	505	+0	open	—	06-24 03:05
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	3	$85	202	202	+0	open	—	06-10 18:40
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$69	104	104	+0	open	—	06-08 18:01
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$68	1,245	1,245	+0	No	$-1	04-22 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 04:21:20	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	101	86¢	$87	0x8845f3…
06-25 14:31:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8c2b60…
06-25 14:31:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	81	87¢	$70	0x4bccda…
06-25 10:24:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	309	34¢	$105	0x164323…
06-25 06:11:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	309	34¢	$105	0x6d593c…
06-24 19:24:26	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0xaffd63…
06-24 19:24:26	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0x7f4c4c…
06-24 14:58:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$4	0x37f1a3…
06-24 12:44:50	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	9¢	$10	0xab6b0a…
06-24 12:44:50	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	9¢	$10	0x40a593…
06-24 12:44:50	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x22b232…
06-24 07:57:17	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	9¢	$23	0x4ed218…
06-24 03:05:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0xa19d55…
06-24 03:05:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	188	10¢	$19	0x7222b4…
06-24 03:05:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	106	10¢	$11	0x46cdb9…
06-24 01:06:26	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	353	9¢	$32	0x660877…
06-23 19:58:35	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	131	13¢	$17	0xbe9b0c…
06-23 19:58:35	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0x4bd16a…
06-23 17:51:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0xd01328…
06-23 11:48:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x085c63…
06-23 11:48:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0xee10f2…
06-23 09:33:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	117	92¢	$108	0x2cda54…
06-23 08:13:02	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	264	53¢	$140	0xaa9311…
06-23 04:51:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	264	51¢	$135	0x1039e8…
06-23 00:29:41	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	65	80¢	$52	0x053047…
06-23 00:28:55	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	56	80¢	$45	0x7dae08…
06-23 00:28:55	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0x78ac67…
06-22 20:37:17	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	168	81¢	$136	0xd3e631…
06-21 16:17:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xaa2c5d…
06-21 16:17:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0xa3a535…
06-21 16:17:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	SELL	63	91¢	$57	0x8a9c99…
06-21 14:16:31	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x69040f…
06-21 14:16:31	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x38081a…
06-20 16:53:53	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0xef88d3…
06-20 16:53:53	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	12¢	$12	0xdacb1d…
06-20 16:53:53	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	12¢	$13	0x59cec4…
06-20 16:53:53	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	12¢	$12	0x460a4c…
06-20 13:14:20	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	11¢	$41	0xc9f132…
06-20 02:58:14	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x3c1b6f…
06-19 23:16:19	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x82e5a4…
06-19 23:16:19	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0ff6bc…
06-19 17:09:31	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0x96492d…
06-19 17:09:31	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	113	80¢	$90	0x0038ae…
06-19 14:29:58	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xc4f78d…
06-19 14:29:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0xd86a0c…
06-19 14:29:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0x490c77…
06-19 10:28:59	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	18¢	$37	0x336c81…
06-19 06:57:22	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	18¢	$37	0x7f7999…
06-19 01:06:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0xe77ad5…
06-19 01:06:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0xd90351…
06-19 01:06:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xc9dae2…
06-19 01:06:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	11¢	$10	0x9d5ac4…
06-19 01:06:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	11¢	$5	0x2e20b0…
06-19 01:06:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x139e82…
06-18 23:09:11	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	11¢	$29	0x4837d5…
06-18 19:30:07	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	83	92¢	$76	0x55c970…
06-18 19:29:20	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x1ae7ff…
06-18 15:33:35	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0xee77a8…
06-18 04:44:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	138	94¢	$129	0x9978cf…
06-18 00:36:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	138	94¢	$129	0xc54a67…
06-17 19:43:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0x29bd63…
06-17 19:43:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xffb9c3…
06-17 16:11:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xed4fbe…
06-17 16:11:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	96¢	$127	0x4e1c5f…
06-17 01:09:46	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	82	93¢	$76	0xbe02b6…
06-17 01:09:16	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0xd34682…
06-17 01:08:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	165	93¢	$153	0x190e2e…
06-15 04:03:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	84	86¢	$72	0xb29f9c…
06-15 04:03:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3aca01…
06-15 04:03:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0x22c81a…
06-15 00:31:45	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	197	25¢	$50	0xa952b7…
06-14 21:08:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	197	7¢	$14	0x662e11…
06-13 23:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	59	22¢	$13	0x5a2c8c…
06-13 23:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0x013d55…
06-13 20:55:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	92	24¢	$22	0xb3ede2…
06-13 16:26:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	149	78¢	$116	0x8f4d65…
06-13 09:51:45	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xe1f78b…
06-13 07:26:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x99311b…
06-13 03:18:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	84	22¢	$18	0x443ca6…
06-13 03:18:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	111	22¢	$24	0x1945e5…
06-13 03:07:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x84a7d8…
06-12 22:17:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	216	24¢	$52	0xbd1815…
06-12 13:00:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	186	56¢	$104	0x192000…
06-12 09:09:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x3a8e62…
06-10 23:01:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x9861fb…
06-10 20:20:07	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	97¢	$87	0x393e44…
06-10 18:40:01	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	147	21¢	$31	0xaac05a…
06-10 18:40:01	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	55	21¢	$12	0x928396…
06-10 15:52:30	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	202	21¢	$42	0x2ec97a…
06-10 12:05:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0x6ae8de…
06-10 12:05:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	58	13¢	$8	0x063d85…
06-10 07:45:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x701024…
06-10 07:45:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x6ce44e…
06-10 02:07:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	39¢	$115	0x938ecc…
06-09 22:31:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x833ebf…
06-09 22:31:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	38¢	$111	0x69fa8d…
06-09 11:58:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	4¢	$13	0x76e598…
06-09 10:05:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	3¢	$12	0x7280f4…
06-09 03:15:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	166	67¢	$111	0x51a9a2…
06-09 01:56:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	68¢	$113	0x9cc2a6…