Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,838
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$222
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
82%
Crypto
12%
Politics
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -130 $-6 16¢ $-21 $-15 07-21 06:53
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -137 $-14 14¢ $-18 $-5 07-21 11:27
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +34 $16 52¢ $18 +$2 07-15 03:26
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +354 $15 $16 +$1 07-18 20:42
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes +145 $18 11¢ $15 $-2 07-20 15:27
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes -200 $-10 $-14 $-4 07-02 09:05
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +85 $24 16¢ $14 $-10 07-21 00:07
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -90 $-11 16¢ $-14 $-3 07-20 18:57
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -162 $-14 $-14 +$0 07-19 08:16
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -200 $-10 $-11 $-1 07-14 22:06
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes +150 $19 $10 $-9 07-17 09:47
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $11 $9 $-2 07-15 19:11
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes +73 $14 10¢ $7 $-7 07-15 12:22
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +51 $6 12¢ $6 +$0 07-20 14:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe Yes +200 $5 $5 $-0 07-20 14:51
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +42 $6 11¢ $5 $-2 07-21 06:13
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -30 $5 15¢ $-4 $-10 06-26 12:58
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-1 52¢ $-4 $-3 06-17 21:18
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +100 $4 $4 $-0 07-20 14:50
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +50 $3 $3 $-0 07-17 19:48
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -61 $-1 $-3 $-1 06-17 21:14
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch? Yes -10 $1 23¢ $-2 $-3 06-17 21:18
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +16 $5 12¢ $2 $-3 07-17 19:38
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes +20 $9 10¢ $2 $-7 07-19 08:16
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 36¢ $-0 $-0 06-17 21:16
City Protocol FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -0 $-1 48¢ $-0 +$1 06-17 21:18