Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,396
Trades
203
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$195
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-11 05:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1.0K | $134 | +$879 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $1.1K | $211 | +$844 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $696 | $174 | +$523 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $175 | $426 | $251 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $417 | $14 | +$403 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $124 | $1 | +$123 |
| Median | 5 | $81 | $4 | +$77 |
| Below median | 6 | $196 | $123 | +$73 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $149 | $196 | $47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $918 | $106 | +$812 |
| unranked | 22 | $1.1K | $491 | +$563 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +1,376 | $229 | $330 | 12 | 08-11 05:27 |
| Unwitting-Salami 0x22e4…66e5 | Yes | +1,062 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 06-19 05:58 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +345 | $320 | $1,107 | 20 | 08-09 07:48 |
| Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | +261 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 07-20 19:35 |
| Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | +254 | $171 | $171 | 1 | 07-28 17:13 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +236 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 08-07 17:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +153 | $118 | $290 | 6 | 07-21 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ad0…2ab9 | No | +125 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 12:41 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +113 | $37 | $101 | 3 | 07-28 17:13 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | +100 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-25 14:37 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-20 20:52 |
| Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | +68 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 06-10 12:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x193d…feeb | Yes | +59 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 08-07 17:37 |
| Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | +57 | $65 | $348 | 9 | 08-11 01:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +54 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 07-25 15:12 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +54 | $50 | $115 | 3 | 08-05 12:30 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +54 | $8 | $18 | 3 | 08-09 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d71…8ce9 | No | +52 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 15:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-21 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | +30 | $11 | $106 | 5 | 08-09 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-20 19:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $10 | $19 | 3 | 07-01 13:02 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 11:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 06:57 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-28 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-20 19:34 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-07 17:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 05:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x2802…ce16 | No | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe3e529… |
| 08-11 05:27:07 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe3e529… |
| 08-11 01:30:54 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x7fe013… |
| 08-11 01:30:54 | (anonymous) 0x2802…ce16 | No | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7fe013… |
| 08-09 13:53:18 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x73edbb… |
| 08-09 13:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x73edbb… |
| 08-09 07:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | No | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xbef7b8… |
| 08-09 07:48:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xbef7b8… |
| 08-08 06:03:43 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x3b659a… |
| 08-08 06:03:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x3b659a… |
| 08-07 17:37:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbcadc0… |
| 08-07 17:37:25 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbcadc0… |
| 08-07 17:37:10 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x3b42a1… |
| 08-07 17:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x193d…feeb | Yes | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x3b42a1… |
| 08-07 17:37:10 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x3b42a1… |
| 08-07 17:36:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x75d157… |
| 08-07 17:36:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x75d157… |
| 08-07 17:36:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 74¢ | $25 | 0x8398ce… |
| 08-07 17:36:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x8398ce… |
| 08-07 17:36:52 | (anonymous) 0x193d…feeb | Yes | BUY | 51 | 74¢ | $38 | 0x8398ce… |
| 08-05 12:30:05 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x889bbe… |
| 08-05 12:30:05 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 71¢ | $33 | 0x889bbe… |
| 08-05 12:30:05 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x889bbe… |
| 08-05 12:30:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 72¢ | $26 | 0x889bbe… |
| 08-05 12:30:05 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | SELL | 113 | 29¢ | $32 | 0x889bbe… |
| 08-05 12:30:05 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x889bbe… |
| 07-28 17:20:10 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xa3c2f5… |
| 07-28 17:20:10 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xa3c2f5… |
| 07-28 17:19:20 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xe31830… |
| 07-28 17:19:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0xe31830… |
| 07-28 17:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xe31830… |
| 07-28 17:17:49 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xd3223f… |
| 07-28 17:17:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd3223f… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 113 | 33¢ | $37 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 68¢ | $26 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 67¢ | $171 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-28 17:13:38 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf5cf18… |
| 07-26 15:06:39 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xd56829… |
| 07-26 15:06:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xd56829… |
| 07-26 15:06:39 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 66¢ | $17 | 0xd56829… |
| 07-26 11:22:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x73fc2a… |
| 07-26 11:22:51 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x73fc2a… |
| 07-25 15:12:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x0447f2… |
| 07-25 15:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x7c19…cd48 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x0447f2… |
| 07-25 14:43:13 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | SELL | 16 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x8eff48… |
| 07-25 14:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x7c19…cd48 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x8eff48… |
| 07-25 14:43:13 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 66¢ | $50 | 0x8eff48… |
| 07-25 14:43:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x8eff48… |
| 07-25 14:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x9d7f38… |
| 07-25 14:41:12 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x9d7f38… |
| 07-25 14:37:16 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 69¢ | $18 | 0x3693d2… |
| 07-25 14:37:16 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 69¢ | $87 | 0x3693d2… |
| 07-25 14:37:16 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0x3693d2… |
| 07-22 20:35:40 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xa03d1e… |
| 07-22 20:35:40 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xa03d1e… |
| 07-22 10:01:37 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0xcdccce… |
| 07-22 10:01:37 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xcdccce… |
| 07-22 10:01:37 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 70¢ | $71 | 0xcdccce… |
| 07-21 11:05:21 | (anonymous) 0x0e23…bb35 | No | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x73ad5c… |
| 07-21 11:05:21 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x73ad5c… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 503 | 22¢ | $110 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 78¢ | $157 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 78¢ | $108 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 63 | 21¢ | $13 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-20 22:47:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x48add7… |
| 07-20 22:47:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 22 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x48add7… |
| 07-20 22:47:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x48add7… |
| 07-20 20:52:28 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x11a775… |
| 07-20 20:52:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x11a775… |
| 07-20 19:53:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x504eeb… |
| 07-20 19:53:36 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x504eeb… |
| 07-20 19:53:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0xc2bc3e… |
| 07-20 19:53:27 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 78 | 19¢ | $15 | 0xc2bc3e… |
| 07-20 19:53:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xc2bc3e… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 66 | 20¢ | $13 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:35:04 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x88896d… |
| 07-20 19:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x88896d… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | BUY | 200 | 20¢ | $40 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 81¢ | $0 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 80¢ | $96 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:33 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | BUY | 55 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x7c9f1d… |
| 07-20 19:34:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x7c9f1d… |
| 07-20 19:34:33 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x7c9f1d… |
| 07-15 22:15:16 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xc4d0b8… |
| 07-15 22:15:16 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xc4d0b8… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 124 | 14¢ | $17 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xe85514… |