Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,324
Trades
140
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$195
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-21 11:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $963 | $91 | +$872 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $1.0K | $193 | +$838 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $361 | $57 | +$304 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $118 | $519 | $401 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $146 | $14 | +$132 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| Median | 4 | $81 | $3 | +$78 |
| Below median | 5 | $186 | $113 | +$73 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $132 | $191 | $59 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $918 | $65 | +$853 |
| unranked | 15 | $985 | $467 | +$518 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +1,461 | $254 | $291 | 8 | 07-21 11:05 |
| Unwitting-Salami 0x22e4…66e5 | Yes | +1,062 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 06-19 05:58 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +514 | $442 | $985 | 13 | 07-21 11:05 |
| Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | +261 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 07-20 19:35 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +220 | $27 | $27 | 4 | 07-15 19:34 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +153 | $118 | $290 | 6 | 07-21 11:05 |
| Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | +150 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 07-20 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ad0…2ab9 | No | +125 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 12:41 |
| Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | +101 | $92 | $266 | 4 | 07-12 12:50 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +100 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 07-21 11:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-20 20:52 |
| Roasted-Dare 0xe41e…5aa1 | Yes | +68 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 06-10 12:41 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +54 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-01 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d71…8ce9 | No | +52 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | +50 | $25 | $91 | 4 | 07-12 11:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-21 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-20 19:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 07-15 15:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +23 | $10 | $19 | 3 | 07-01 13:02 |
| Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | +16 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-15 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-03 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $5 | $21 | 5 | 07-12 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-20 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +5 | $4 | $13 | 3 | 07-12 12:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 11:05:21 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x73ad5c… |
| 07-21 11:05:21 | (anonymous) 0x0e23…bb35 | No | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x73ad5c… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 503 | 22¢ | $110 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 78¢ | $108 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 63 | 21¢ | $13 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-21 11:05:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 78¢ | $157 | 0x11cd7b… |
| 07-20 22:47:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x48add7… |
| 07-20 22:47:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0x48add7… |
| 07-20 22:47:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 22 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x48add7… |
| 07-20 20:52:28 | Vast-Chain 0x9cd1…1eb0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x11a775… |
| 07-20 20:52:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x11a775… |
| 07-20 19:53:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x504eeb… |
| 07-20 19:53:36 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x504eeb… |
| 07-20 19:53:27 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 78 | 19¢ | $15 | 0xc2bc3e… |
| 07-20 19:53:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0xc2bc3e… |
| 07-20 19:53:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0xc2bc3e… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:52:45 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 66 | 20¢ | $13 | 0x031722… |
| 07-20 19:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x88896d… |
| 07-20 19:35:04 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x88896d… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 80¢ | $96 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | BUY | 200 | 20¢ | $40 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 81¢ | $0 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xa7a6b9… |
| 07-20 19:34:33 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x7c9f1d… |
| 07-20 19:34:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x7c9f1d… |
| 07-20 19:34:33 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | No | BUY | 55 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x7c9f1d… |
| 07-15 22:15:16 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xc4d0b8… |
| 07-15 22:15:16 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xc4d0b8… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 86¢ | $57 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 124 | 14¢ | $17 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 19:34:41 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe85514… |
| 07-15 15:37:04 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x6f8922… |
| 07-15 15:37:04 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6f8922… |
| 07-15 15:37:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $16 | 0x6f8922… |
| 07-15 15:36:35 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 33 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x740ab6… |
| 07-15 15:36:35 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 33 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x740ab6… |
| 07-15 14:59:32 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xedc33d… |
| 07-15 14:59:32 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xedc33d… |
| 07-15 14:34:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 177 | 84¢ | $148 | 0x892601… |
| 07-15 14:34:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x892601… |
| 07-15 14:34:44 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 528 | 18¢ | $94 | 0x892601… |
| 07-15 14:34:44 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 76 | 20¢ | $15 | 0x892601… |
| 07-15 14:34:44 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x892601… |
| 07-14 07:32:38 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | SELL | 142 | 13¢ | $19 | 0x2fc7d8… |
| 07-14 07:32:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 71 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x2fc7d8… |
| 07-14 07:32:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 87¢ | $62 | 0x2fc7d8… |
| 07-13 11:42:04 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 104 | 14¢ | $15 | 0x9e6351… |
| 07-13 11:42:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x9e6351… |
| 07-13 11:42:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x9e6351… |
| 07-13 08:45:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xc471f0… |
| 07-13 08:45:02 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xc471f0… |
| 07-13 08:45:02 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 11 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc471f0… |
| 07-13 06:18:52 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x70d6f5… |
| 07-13 06:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x70d6f5… |
| 07-13 06:18:35 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 468 | 11¢ | $52 | 0xb6b5ff… |
| 07-13 06:18:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 89¢ | $161 | 0xb6b5ff… |
| 07-13 06:18:35 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 287 | 11¢ | $32 | 0xb6b5ff… |
| 07-12 12:50:11 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xd9bc8e… |
| 07-12 12:50:11 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 254 | 9¢ | $23 | 0xd9bc8e… |
| 07-12 12:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd9bc8e… |
| 07-12 12:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd9bc8e… |
| 07-12 12:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd9bc8e… |
| 07-12 12:50:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 91¢ | $108 | 0xd9bc8e… |
| 07-12 11:24:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x3aab9a… |
| 07-12 11:24:14 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3aab9a… |
| 07-12 05:41:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x9c68d6… |
| 07-12 05:41:32 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x9c68d6… |
| 07-12 04:48:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 91¢ | $52 | 0xfd28bb… |
| 07-12 04:48:28 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 57 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xfd28bb… |
| 07-11 10:40:31 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 475 | 11¢ | $52 | 0x32ba67… |
| 07-11 10:40:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 99 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x32ba67… |
| 07-11 10:40:31 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 89 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x32ba67… |
| 07-11 10:40:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 287 | 11¢ | $32 | 0x32ba67… |
| 07-09 08:01:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x73a788… |
| 07-09 08:01:44 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x73a788… |
| 07-09 08:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xffc97a… |
| 07-09 08:01:40 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 159 | 13¢ | $20 | 0xffc97a… |
| 07-09 08:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xffc97a… |
| 07-09 08:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xffc97a… |
| 07-09 08:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xffc97a… |
| 07-09 08:01:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 88¢ | $43 | 0xffc97a… |
| 07-07 21:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xe450c7… |
| 07-07 21:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xe450c7… |
| 07-07 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xfe8aec… |
| 07-07 20:54:02 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xfe8aec… |
| 07-07 15:03:13 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x02eb4c… |
| 07-07 15:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x02eb4c… |
| 07-07 15:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x8d71…8ce9 | No | BUY | 52 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x02eb4c… |
| 07-07 15:03:13 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 22 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x02eb4c… |
| 07-03 14:54:17 | (anonymous) 0x0e23…bb35 | No | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xf21fc0… |
| 07-03 14:54:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xf21fc0… |
| 07-03 14:54:14 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 63 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x47e635… |