Unwitting-Salami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.65K

Unrealized P&L

+$364

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

245

Trades

536

lifetime

Volume

$543.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.01K

Open exposure

$14.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

45% 98% -$8,861

Politics

30% 99% +$903

Crypto

15% 100% +$163

Sports

8% 100% +$126

Tech

2% 100% +$20

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10,049	$8,843	92¢	$9.2K	+$352	08-16 07:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+5,000	$4,985	100¢	$5.0K	+$10	10-16 05:10
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	+198	$188	96¢	$191	+$3	08-16 09:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	4	$16.1K	16,154	+16,154	Yes	+$22	07-19 18:46
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	6	$15.9K	16,000	+16,000	Jannik Sinner	+$80	05-26 19:09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	2	$14.8K	14,999	+14,999	Yes	+$150	07-02 20:43
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	16	$14.8K	14,869	+14,869	No	+$119	06-21 16:17
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$12.4K	12,406	+12,406	Yes	+$12	04-12 20:25
French election called by June 30, 2026?	4	$10.7K	10,744	+10,744	No	+$35	06-28 02:39
will ethereum reach 2600 april 13 19	1	$10.6K	10,596	+10,596	No	+$11	04-19 19:04
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$10.6K	10,563	+10,563	No	+$11	01-07 14:24
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$10.5K	10,552	+10,552	Yes	+$21	01-03 15:42
will timothe chalamet be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$10.3K	10,273	+10,273	Yes	+$10	01-21 06:41
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	4	$10.3K	10,358	+10,358	No	+$98	06-16 21:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$10.0K	10,051	+10,051	No	+$50	03-27 08:41
will lus marques mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$9.8K	9,950	+9,950	No	+$124	01-15 06:32
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	1	$9.7K	9,731	+9,731	Yes	+$10	01-14 14:40
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	4	$9.6K	9,860	+9,860	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$9,622	05-27 18:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$9.5K	9,475	+9,475	Yes	+$9	03-02 06:17
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	6	$8.9K	8,950	+8,950	Yes	+$20	10-11 13:46
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$8.9K	8,924	+8,924	Yes	+$9	09-20 17:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$8.8K	10,049	+10,049	open	—	08-16 07:27
macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	1	$8.7K	8,740	+8,740	No	+$9	07-28 21:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$8.7K	8,774	+8,774	Yes	+$45	05-08 19:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	5	$8.7K	8,675	+8,675	No	+$10	08-30 11:41
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$8.5K	8,544	+8,544	No	+$34	05-05 07:52
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$8.0K	8,044	+8,044	No	+$8	01-22 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$7.7K	7,692	+7,692	No	+$15	05-14 11:57
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$7.6K	7,573	+7,573	Yes	+$8	03-09 14:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$7.5K	7,557	+7,557	No	+$8	02-23 06:52
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$7.3K	7,336	+7,336	No	+$7	03-05 13:35
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	48	$7.3K	7,441	+7,441	Yes	+$123	02-01 15:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$7.0K	7,005	+7,005	No	+$7	05-29 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:05:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x78be91…
10-26 20:03:50	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3,785	100¢	$3,777	0xd61443…
10-26 10:35:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xe19f0c…
10-25 19:31:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	373	98¢	$365	0x686973…
10-23 05:30:51	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	341	99¢	$338	0x58288f…
10-21 18:41:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	326	98¢	$320	0xac8275…
10-20 16:32:41	France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1e5152…
10-18 15:16:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0xa7b54e…
10-17 20:51:05	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xc41f3d…
10-17 17:57:32	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd0a800…
10-17 17:57:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xc832d7…
10-16 05:10:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0xfe09b3…
10-15 21:03:23	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	99¢	$237	0x7e524f…
10-15 20:30:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xccda19…
10-15 20:29:03	Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x178be3…
10-15 20:28:35	Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x21ff90…
10-15 20:24:02	Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9580fd…
10-15 20:03:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdadd8a…
10-15 20:00:59	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0xaf924e…
10-15 19:59:52	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,767	98¢	$1,730	0xa29c7c…
10-14 19:04:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xbc41d7…
10-14 18:56:43	lula flips bolsonaro for brazil president by october 15	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0xc89d78…
10-11 13:46:30	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$415	0x19c08e…
10-11 13:46:06	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x79d7c1…
10-11 13:45:54	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5,555	100¢	$5,549	0xf725fa…
10-11 13:43:13	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa03288…
10-11 13:41:45	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xe3d956…
10-11 13:39:33	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	900	99¢	$889	0x8ab13f…
10-11 08:42:07	Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9a5806…
10-11 08:41:40	Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x6b73dd…
10-03 08:06:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5914d3…
10-03 08:05:33	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xd8f702…
10-03 08:05:15	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2b1d8e…
10-03 08:05:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8133fc…
10-03 08:04:21	Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa85a60…
10-03 08:04:08	Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb599a9…
10-03 08:03:59	Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6ca78a…
10-03 08:03:47	Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd09ae5…
10-03 08:03:35	Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x1373ba…
10-03 08:02:56	Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x892e04…
10-03 08:02:45	Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x159b7b…
10-03 08:02:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0xa4a39d…
10-03 08:01:51	Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3bbc4b…
10-03 08:01:42	Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x822e8a…
10-03 08:01:33	Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf24bcd…
10-03 08:00:32	Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9186e3…
10-03 08:00:21	Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x57202b…
10-03 07:59:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x2becd5…
10-03 07:59:03	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xf69297…
10-03 07:58:50	Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x347923…
10-03 07:58:41	Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x0312c8…
10-03 07:58:32	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x152bab…
10-03 07:58:24	Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x68f3a7…
10-03 07:58:09	Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x345fa6…
10-03 07:58:02	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa51987…
10-03 07:57:47	Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x44bfbe…
10-03 07:57:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x111964…
10-03 07:57:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x2b30a3…
10-03 07:56:53	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	No	BUY	448	100¢	$447	0xe8f2c9…
10-03 07:56:44	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xd83316…
10-03 07:56:30	Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ab72c…
10-03 07:56:20	Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x52d1e7…
10-03 07:56:11	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x39faa2…
10-03 07:53:36	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe14af4…
10-03 07:53:00	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x748423…
10-03 07:52:03	Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x0c6ca2…
10-03 07:51:48	Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa99b9a…
10-03 07:51:33	Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x7c8031…
10-03 07:51:20	Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf57cc1…
10-03 07:51:11	Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x971ac4…
10-03 07:50:57	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x62c651…
10-03 07:50:45	Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x92a509…
10-03 07:50:11	Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x795a7f…
10-03 07:49:51	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0x6972dc…
10-03 07:49:24	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x800771…
10-03 07:49:12	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x933922…
10-03 07:49:00	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3edb6e…
10-03 07:48:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x39d423…
10-03 07:48:08	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xf9435c…
09-26 08:23:26	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	4,596	100¢	$4,578	0x8a3e83…
09-26 08:22:41	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	739	100¢	$738	0x93a236…
09-26 08:04:15	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x579e6b…
09-26 08:03:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	337	98¢	$331	0x17e391…
09-26 08:02:39	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	Yes	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x325d04…
09-26 08:01:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa09730…
09-26 08:01:08	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0x6c3e2e…
09-26 08:00:42	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1a20a9…
09-26 08:00:33	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xfcaf75…
09-26 08:00:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x078ed8…
09-26 08:00:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	Yes	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x191785…
09-26 08:00:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0xf2e8cc…
09-26 07:59:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	Yes	BUY	297	99¢	$294	0x18d5c3…
09-26 07:58:51	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xb69ccd…
09-26 07:58:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xb12bdf…
09-26 07:57:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	257	98¢	$251	0x742630…
09-26 07:56:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?	Yes	BUY	264	99¢	$261	0x06f196…
09-26 07:55:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	Yes	BUY	770	99¢	$761	0x470c47…
09-26 07:54:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x063f0c…
09-26 07:54:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x009594…
09-26 07:53:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x80aac9…