Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$280
Trades
34
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$685
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-06-16
last 08-18 20:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $6 | $27 | $20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $5 | $201 | $196 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $3 | $23 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $27 | $24 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $20 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $201 | $200 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 6 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +212 | $201 | $201 | 2 | 08-18 20:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +87 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-15 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +70 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-15 14:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-16 08:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 08-14 14:44 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-20 20:49 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-18 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-18 20:11 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-10 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xdebc…88b9 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-14 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +8 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 08-14 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +6 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 08-15 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-15 14:23 |
| Far-Off-Fugato 0x0e5f…6fa5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-19 16:58 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 05:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 20:11:09 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 34 | 95¢ | $33 | 0xfddc24… |
| 08-18 20:11:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfddc24… |
| 08-18 20:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfddc24… |
| 08-16 08:24:46 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x6b33c4… |
| 08-16 08:24:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x6b33c4… |
| 08-15 14:23:43 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc9dadb… |
| 08-15 14:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc9dadb… |
| 08-15 14:23:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc9dadb… |
| 08-15 14:23:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x57d51a… |
| 08-15 14:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x57d51a… |
| 08-15 14:23:27 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 177 | 95¢ | $168 | 0x57d51a… |
| 08-15 14:23:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x57d51a… |
| 08-15 14:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x57d51a… |
| 08-15 06:46:16 | Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe5c040… |
| 08-15 06:46:16 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe5c040… |
| 08-14 14:44:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x9216da… |
| 08-14 14:44:13 | (anonymous) 0xdebc…88b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9216da… |
| 08-14 00:24:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb3efc1… |
| 08-14 00:24:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb3efc1… |
| 08-10 20:35:25 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x52f09d… |
| 08-10 20:35:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x52f09d… |
| 07-26 11:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66cacc… |
| 07-26 11:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66cacc… |
| 07-20 20:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe2dcbf… |
| 07-20 20:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xe2dcbf… |
| 07-20 20:49:52 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xe2dcbf… |
| 07-20 20:49:45 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x5add8a… |
| 07-20 20:49:45 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5add8a… |
| 07-19 16:58:51 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa2953a… |
| 07-19 16:58:51 | Far-Off-Fugato 0x0e5f…6fa5 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa2953a… |
| 06-25 05:38:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x7baf42… |
| 06-25 05:38:40 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x7baf42… |
| 06-16 20:43:40 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd2f2df… |
| 06-16 20:43:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd2f2df… |