Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$864

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-28 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 44% -$41

Other

17% 17% +$18

Politics

10% 29% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+20	$4	16¢	$3	-$1	09-28 13:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+20	$1	4¢	$1	$0	08-14 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	3	$188	110	100	+10	Up	+$10	03-01 10:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$120	200	200	+0	No	+$40	02-13 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC	6	$60	40	40	+0	Down	+$3	02-17 21:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	22	$40	140	106	+34	Down	+$2	02-17 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:55 UTC	2	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	7	$34	30	20	+10	Up	-$2	03-01 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	7	$24	39	0	+39	Down	-$24	03-01 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	8	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	02-17 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC	5	$22	30	30	+0	Down	-$4	02-17 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	5	$22	30	10	+20	Down	-$13	03-01 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:50 UTC	6	$21	30	20	+10	Down	+$7	02-17 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC	5	$19	40	20	+20	Down	-$7	02-17 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC	5	$18	20	20	+0	Up	-$2	02-17 21:48
will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	08-20 21:28
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 20:55 UTC	4	$13	20	10	+10	Up	-$1	02-17 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 19:15 UTC	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$7	02-14 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC	3	$12	20	10	+10	Down	+$4	02-17 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:05 UTC	2	$12	20	0	+20	Up	-$2	03-01 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:15 UTC	3	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	02-17 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:10 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	02-17 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:30 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	02-17 18:31
us strike on somalia by february 14	1	$10	30	0	+30	Yes	-$10	02-12 10:34
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	1	$10	80	0	+80	No	+$70	02-13 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:25 UTC	3	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	02-17 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	02-17 21:11
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$9	100	0	+100	No	-$9	02-11 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:15 UTC	2	$6	20	0	+20	Down	-$6	02-17 21:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$6	40	0	+40	Yes	+$34	02-14 12:07
will trump say great shape this week february 15	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	02-11 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:15:17	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x884d17…
09-28 13:15:33	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x4cd8be…
08-26 22:37:24	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x849cfc…
08-26 22:37:18	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x471b5b…
08-23 13:37:10	Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb0d41c…
08-21 19:14:40	will the popular initiative for a restriction on fireworks be approved in switzerlands november 29 2026 popular vote copy 20260713145734571	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x258396…
08-20 21:28:21	will marine le pen advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x08223e…
08-15 23:42:13	will the popular initiative yes to fair federal taxation for married couples to finally put an end to marriage discrimination be approved in switzerlands november 29 2026 popular vote copy copy 20260713145734572	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x36a109…
08-14 17:35:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0acc76…
08-14 14:44:42	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x43cd87…
08-14 14:44:13	Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9216da…
03-01 16:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe3cef9…
03-01 16:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xfbcf00…
03-01 16:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfee740…
03-01 16:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeb3af3…
03-01 16:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x814776…
03-01 16:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x52bdf8…
03-01 16:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x273f35…
03-01 16:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4603d8…
03-01 16:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf3bd40…
03-01 12:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7abf8f…
03-01 11:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x128754…
03-01 11:58:27	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2f1b58…
03-01 11:58:21	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb5ddc2…
03-01 11:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x5e9249…
03-01 11:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa49a81…
03-01 11:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x9cd376…
03-01 11:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x71466b…
03-01 11:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x19e710…
03-01 11:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x942b7b…
03-01 11:06:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8c2d5f…
03-01 10:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x71c5bc…
03-01 10:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xfb6d97…
03-01 10:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf7d180…
03-01 10:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xab2387…
03-01 10:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x47a8b2…
03-01 10:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x63d5b9…
03-01 10:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x67df0e…
03-01 10:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x000d0c…
03-01 09:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x06a6ec…
03-01 09:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x35d2e1…
03-01 09:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9fbae5…
03-01 09:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xebe15f…
03-01 09:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xb9ebfc…
03-01 09:47:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xce9306…
03-01 09:33:05	will hillarys remarks not air	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5f90fa…
03-01 09:32:43	will hillarys remarks not air	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x77bc35…
02-17 21:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xeca468…
02-17 21:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xb43ccc…
02-17 21:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x77e359…
02-17 21:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xbf0ec4…
02-17 21:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x313671…
02-17 21:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc7083e…
02-17 21:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x191346…
02-17 21:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4c67c6…
02-17 21:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc4b929…
02-17 21:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa1a087…
02-17 21:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc85a99…
02-17 21:36:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3e9890…
02-17 21:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xe479b8…
02-17 21:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc36b04…
02-17 21:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9005cf…
02-17 21:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x3517b2…
02-17 21:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x333ddc…
02-17 21:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xde33ba…
02-17 21:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcc58a5…
02-17 21:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x26097b…
02-17 21:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x58cd0d…
02-17 21:27:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x7fad7a…
02-17 21:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xdfdf9c…
02-17 21:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa7e291…
02-17 21:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x9ce998…
02-17 21:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x3246e2…
02-17 21:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0151b0…
02-17 21:22:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x6b034f…
02-17 21:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xfdc304…
02-17 21:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x9801bc…
02-17 21:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x43ac96…
02-17 21:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x28abd0…
02-17 21:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0102f8…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xffeda7…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xcacd12…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xad73a6…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xa01549…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x7dc5cc…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x5f573b…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x4599ac…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x3518c3…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x2170b6…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x1d8d6c…
02-17 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x11315d…
02-17 21:21:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x34a097…
02-17 21:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x894bef…
02-17 21:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa92063…
02-17 21:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb04d6c…
02-17 21:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x14954c…
02-17 21:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x67280f…
02-17 21:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xea557e…
02-17 21:07:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x13588d…
02-17 21:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x56cf3c…