Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,587
Trades
56
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$10,114
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-30 22:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $5
vs crowd: 2% YES on $837)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $11 | $563 | $552 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $251 | $251 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $178 | $178 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $227 | $227 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $47 | $45 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $111 | $111 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $5 | $238 | $233 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | $18 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | +200 | $178 | $178 | 3 | 06-11 16:16 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +150 | $137 | $137 | 6 | 07-26 01:44 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +125 | $111 | $111 | 3 | 06-11 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-11 16:15 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +85 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 07-30 22:42 |
| Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-06 12:50 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 07-06 09:02 |
| Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 04:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 22:42:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2142a… |
| 07-30 22:42:36 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2142a… |
| 07-26 04:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xfc03…9cc0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd20fb2… |
| 07-26 04:12:42 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd20fb2… |
| 07-26 01:44:15 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbf13ef… |
| 07-26 01:44:15 | (anonymous) 0xfc03…9cc0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x7fac4e… |
| 07-26 01:44:15 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x7fac4e… |
| 07-26 01:44:15 | (anonymous) 0xfc03…9cc0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbf13ef… |
| 07-25 13:34:15 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0xa9cc87… |
| 07-25 13:34:15 | (anonymous) 0xfc03…9cc0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa9cc87… |
| 07-25 13:34:13 | (anonymous) 0xfc03…9cc0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3ede27… |
| 07-25 13:34:13 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3ede27… |
| 07-25 04:41:00 | (anonymous) 0xfc03…9cc0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x71c7d2… |
| 07-25 04:41:00 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x71c7d2… |
| 07-25 04:41:00 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xdfa56c… |
| 07-25 04:41:00 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdfa56c… |
| 07-11 10:02:37 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9961a6… |
| 07-11 10:02:37 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9961a6… |
| 07-06 09:02:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x641d8e… |
| 07-06 09:02:11 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x641d8e… |
| 07-05 02:21:37 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x364fa9… |
| 07-05 02:21:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x364fa9… |
| 07-04 15:20:32 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xae2d6c… |
| 07-04 15:20:32 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xae2d6c… |
| 07-04 06:47:20 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x7dec2d… |
| 07-04 06:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7dec2d… |
| 06-29 19:14:44 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x20d8fb… |
| 06-29 19:14:44 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x20d8fb… |
| 06-26 21:53:11 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x4acf4c… |
| 06-26 21:53:11 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 44 | 90¢ | $40 | 0x4acf4c… |
| 06-26 21:53:11 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x4acf4c… |
| 06-16 23:02:35 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9acb95… |
| 06-16 23:02:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9acb95… |
| 06-16 23:02:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x67a317… |
| 06-16 23:02:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x67a317… |
| 06-16 23:02:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x67a317… |
| 06-16 23:02:29 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x67a317… |
| 06-11 16:17:40 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x842ef2… |
| 06-11 16:17:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x842ef2… |
| 06-11 16:16:21 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x4b36cb… |
| 06-11 16:16:21 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x4b36cb… |
| 06-11 16:16:21 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x4b36cb… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 80 | 89¢ | $71 | 0x57705c… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x57705c… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0x57705c… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x57705c… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x57705c… |
| 06-11 16:16:03 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x8a1f27… |
| 06-11 16:16:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x8a1f27… |
| 06-11 16:15:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xd4e7b4… |
| 06-11 16:15:37 | Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | No | BUY | 125 | 89¢ | $112 | 0xd4e7b4… |
| 06-11 16:15:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd4e7b4… |
| 06-11 16:15:37 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 445 | 90¢ | $400 | 0xd4e7b4… |
| 06-11 16:15:37 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xd4e7b4… |
| 06-06 12:50:30 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x9609b5… |
| 06-06 12:50:30 | Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x9609b5… |