Realized P&L
+$77.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$546
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
586
Trades
3,966
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$260
Open exposure
$12.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-27 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
65% 68% +$67,657
Other
34% 60% +$13,170
Sports
1% 48% -$2,623
Tech
0% 50% -$368
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,500 $2,850 58¢ $2.6K -$240 06-08 20:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,000 $1,060 90¢ $1.8K +$750 06-04 05:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,000 $1,260 78¢ $1.5K +$290 05-14 08:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $840 88¢ $885 +$45 08-27 09:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,500 $1,380 34¢ $837 -$542 07-04 11:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,000 -$1,000 18¢ $-525 +$475 09-01 16:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,782 $1,080 14¢ $511 -$569 06-15 14:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +600 $330 85¢ $510 +$180 06-02 11:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $60 43¢ $430 +$370 05-07 17:26
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 37¢ $370 -$50 07-07 06:46
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $300 92¢ $366 +$66 06-05 01:39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $400 18¢ $361 -$39 08-24 14:38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +500 $335 65¢ $325 -$10 10-27 18:34
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $124 15¢ $304 +$180 05-17 02:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -1,000 -$440 22¢ $-225 +$215 05-02 08:47
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +500 $160 40¢ $202 +$42 05-28 06:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $217 6¢ $159 -$59 05-17 15:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $235 20¢ $102 -$132 05-14 21:08
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $460 2¢ $35 -$425 05-08 07:44