Realized P&L
+$263
Unrealized P&L
-$1.83K
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,528
lifetime
Volume
$791.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$313
Open exposure
$20.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-28 06:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
32% 75% +$191
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$72
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -14,000 $-12,265 100¢ $-13937 $-1,672 06-18 22:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,000 $1,060 59¢ $1.2K +$120 06-04 05:50
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +1,000 $990 100¢ $998 +$8 06-25 13:22
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +1,000 $991 100¢ $998 +$7 06-25 19:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,000 $420 100¢ $997 +$577 06-19 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,734 $717 34¢ $590 $-127 06-28 06:12
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2,000 $1,290 17¢ $343 $-947 06-28 06:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,500 $225 16¢ $248 +$22 06-15 14:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +205 $149 97¢ $198 +$50 06-02 08:52
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +200 $130 99¢ $197 +$67 06-02 05:46
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $178 94¢ $187 +$9 06-11 16:16
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +240 $161 72¢ $174 +$13 06-25 13:00
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +38 $32 92¢ $35 +$3 06-15 16:27
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +14 $4 28¢ $4 $-1 05-28 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-40 66¢ $0 +$40 06-22 07:17