Realized P&L
+$263
Unrealized P&L
-$194
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,877
lifetime
Volume
$850.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$296
Open exposure
$2.14K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-15 13:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
36% 75% +$191
Sports
0% 100% +$72
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,000 $1,060 68¢ $1.4K +$290 06-04 05:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,500 $225 24¢ $352 +$128 06-15 14:14
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +240 $161 80¢ $191 +$30 06-25 13:00
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $178 94¢ $187 +$9 06-11 16:16
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +38 $32 94¢ $36 +$4 06-15 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,734 $717 $23 $-693 06-28 06:12
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +14 $4 28¢ $4 $-1 05-28 06:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-40 99¢ $0 +$40 06-22 07:17