Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.84K
Unrealized P&L
+$404
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
12
3,952 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.58K
$1.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$260
Open exposure
$12.0K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-27 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
65% 68% +$67,657
Other
34% 60% +$13,170
Sports
1% 48% -$2,623
Tech
0% 50% -$368
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +4,500 $2,850 56¢ $2.5K -$352 06-08 20:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,000 $1,060 90¢ $1.8K +$750 06-04 05:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,000 $1,260 76¢ $1.5K +$270 05-14 08:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $840 88¢ $885 +$45 08-27 09:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,500 $1,380 34¢ $837 -$542 07-04 11:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,782 $1,080 14¢ $529 -$550 06-15 14:14
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,000 -$1,000 18¢ $-525 +$475 09-01 16:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +600 $330 86¢ $516 +$186 06-02 11:49
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $60 43¢ $428 +$368 05-07 17:26
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 36¢ $365 -$55 07-07 06:46
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $300 88¢ $354 +$54 06-05 01:39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $400 17¢ $347 -$53 08-24 14:38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +500 $335 68¢ $337 +$2 10-27 18:34
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $124 15¢ $309 +$185 05-17 02:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -1,000 -$440 24¢ $-235 +$205 05-02 08:47
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +500 $160 41¢ $205 +$45 05-28 06:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $217 6¢ $150 -$67 05-17 15:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +500 $235 18¢ $92 -$142 05-14 21:08
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $460 2¢ $41 -$419 05-08 07:44