Realized P&L
+$138.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.0K
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
1,273
Trades
33,581
lifetime
Volume
$2.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$28.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 10-27 08:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
54% 55% +$69,096
Politics
42% 60% +$66,870
Sports
2% 81% +$1,450
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
1% 0% -$49
Crypto
0% 100% +$890
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026 No +6,026 $4,302 98¢ $5.9K +$1,612 08-07 01:09
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +5,019 $953 90¢ $4.5K +$3,589 09-09 14:52
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +2,783 $1,056 72¢ $2.0K +$934 08-18 23:52
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +2,106 -$3,513 77¢ $1.6K +$5,129 10-02 02:16
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,808 $1,113 85¢ $1.5K +$423 09-26 20:02
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1,403 $902 82¢ $1.2K +$249 09-19 01:23
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -1,779 -$1,486 64¢ $-1130 +$356 08-11 20:04
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,394 -$367 68¢ $955 +$1,322 10-19 10:10
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,079 $415 85¢ $917 +$503 09-26 20:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -1,048 -$696 84¢ $-875 -$179 08-16 18:36
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +2,100 $1,005 32¢ $672 -$333 06-24 20:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,566 -$762 18¢ $-660 +$102 08-23 11:07
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -654 -$527 97¢ $-633 -$106 06-02 00:21
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +1,825 $662 29¢ $520 -$142 07-22 16:10
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +5,019 $1,569 10¢ $477 -$1,092 06-27 01:07
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1,000 $500 46¢ $465 -$35 06-13 16:12
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2027 No +952 $250 45¢ $433 +$183 09-09 03:12
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +620 $214 68¢ $422 +$208 06-26 14:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +591 $266 66¢ $393 +$127 05-01 04:59
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +456 $213 82¢ $372 +$159 09-04 02:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -500 -$325 74¢ $-368 -$42 05-26 05:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +811 -$1,161 44¢ $361 +$1,521 08-23 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,258 $526 28¢ $352 -$174 09-01 11:25
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +1,777 $368 18¢ $320 -$48 10-05 08:47
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +383 -$235 76¢ $293 +$528 08-27 16:03
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No -747 -$373 38¢ $-288 +$85 10-20 10:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +305 $207 93¢ $285 +$78 05-14 13:54
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +311 $208 80¢ $250 +$42 07-14 21:39
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -277 -$196 89¢ $-246 -$50 09-18 19:48
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +650 $143 36¢ $234 +$90 08-11 18:14