Realized P&L
+$176.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$33.7K
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
1,529
Trades
33,807
lifetime
Volume
$2.19M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$69.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 11-14 03:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
54% 59% +$84,059
Politics
42% 63% +$88,889
Sports
2% 82% +$1,865
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
1% 50% +$1,137
Crypto
0% 100% +$890
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 561 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? No +16,659 $14,545 97¢ $16.2K +$1,690 11-09 11:13
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? No +10,195 $6,928 97¢ $9.9K +$3,002 09-26 00:08
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +5,019 $953 94¢ $4.7K +$3,765 09-09 14:52
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No +2,775 $1,471 99¢ $2.8K +$1,284 08-30 13:12
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +2,548 $1,471 97¢ $2.5K +$1,011 06-18 21:30
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No +2,411 $1,113 98¢ $2.4K +$1,246 08-24 15:26
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +2,372 $305 95¢ $2.2K +$1,939 09-15 18:52
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +3,040 $981 71¢ $2.1K +$1,164 06-30 12:00
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +2,106 $2 86¢ $1.8K +$1,803 10-07 17:28
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes +1,896 $692 94¢ $1.8K +$1,089 10-26 22:25
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,776 $1,085 88¢ $1.6K +$478 11-12 15:36
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,779 $1,044 86¢ $1.5K +$495 09-26 20:01
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? No +2,484 $1,709 60¢ $1.5K -$218 08-06 18:27
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +1,732 $117 84¢ $1.4K +$1,330 10-23 23:12
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,526 $425 88¢ $1.3K +$910 10-12 09:00
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? Yes +1,693 $1,201 77¢ $1.3K +$103 08-29 21:20
Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? No +1,227 $766 100¢ $1.2K +$458 09-05 00:25
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1,403 $902 82¢ $1.2K +$249 09-19 01:23
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? Yes +1,146 $470 96¢ $1.1K +$631 09-29 00:03
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? No +1,093 $837 98¢ $1.1K +$236 11-13 10:21
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +1,222 -$1,043 88¢ $1.1K +$2,112 09-12 16:06
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes +2,068 $520 52¢ $1.1K +$545 09-18 13:56
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? No +1,249 $424 85¢ $1.1K +$637 09-21 22:42
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1,224 -$4,243 86¢ $1.1K +$5,301 10-28 22:40
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No +1,075 $571 97¢ $1.0K +$471 09-18 08:56
Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? No +1,040 $693 100¢ $1.0K +$343 09-05 16:29
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,079 $415 92¢ $998 +$583 09-26 20:02
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +2,484 $575 40¢ $994 +$419 08-08 08:29
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? Yes +1,442 $378 67¢ $966 +$588 10-06 04:01
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? Yes +1,124 $898 84¢ $944 +$46 08-30 00:07