Realized P&L (30d)
+$49.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$27.8K
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved (30d)
359
Trades (30d)
586
33,777 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$36.4K
$2.19M lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$58.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 11-07 20:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
54% 58% +$78,863
Politics
42% 63% +$86,741
Sports
2% 81% +$1,450
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
1% 50% +$1,137
Crypto
0% 100% +$890
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? No +16,751 $14,634 97¢ $16.3K +$1,690 11-07 07:36
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +5,019 $953 92¢ $4.6K +$3,640 09-09 14:52
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +2,982 $1,578 97¢ $2.9K +$1,318 07-23 01:06
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +3,040 $981 82¢ $2.5K +$1,506 06-30 12:00
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +2,548 $1,471 96¢ $2.5K +$988 06-18 21:30
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +2,372 $305 89¢ $2.1K +$1,799 09-15 18:52
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +1,825 $662 100¢ $1.8K +$1,153 07-22 16:10
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes +1,896 $692 90¢ $1.7K +$1,021 10-26 22:25
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,808 $1,113 86¢ $1.6K +$442 09-26 20:02
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,779 $1,044 86¢ $1.5K +$495 09-26 20:01
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? No +2,484 $1,709 60¢ $1.5K -$231 08-06 18:27
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +2,106 $2 69¢ $1.5K +$1,454 10-07 17:28
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes — +1,732 $117 82¢ $1.4K +$1,304 10-23 23:12
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes — +2,068 $520 67¢ $1.4K +$862 09-18 13:56
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,526 $425 83¢ $1.3K +$841 10-12 09:00
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1,403 $902 88¢ $1.2K +$326 09-19 01:23
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? No +1,222 $965 98¢ $1.2K +$230 08-23 10:38
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? No — +1,249 $424 85¢ $1.1K +$637 09-21 22:42
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +2,484 $575 40¢ $1.0K +$431 08-08 08:29
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? No +1,012 $55 99¢ $997 +$942 11-05 00:49
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1,224 -$4,243 77¢ $941 +$5,184 10-28 22:40
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,079 $415 84¢ $906 +$492 09-26 20:02
will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146 No +896 $146 93¢ $833 +$688 07-23 20:34
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? No — +841 $695 98¢ $827 +$131 09-18 15:30
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? Yes +1,124 $898 69¢ $776 -$123 08-30 00:07
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,498 $965 50¢ $757 -$208 09-03 20:42
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? No +954 $585 79¢ $754 +$168 07-07 21:06
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election? Yes +771 $327 97¢ $745 +$418 07-26 02:27
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,925 $877 38¢ $731 -$145 11-03 18:19
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +751 $373 97¢ $725 +$351 09-25 03:34