Realized P&L (7d)
+$9.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.7K
Hit rate
95.1%
Resolved (7d)
77
Trades (7d)
123
33,701 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.66K
$2.18M lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$23.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 11-01 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
54% 56% +$71,541
Politics
42% 61% +$70,024
Sports
2% 81% +$1,450
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
1% 50% +$1,137
Crypto
0% 100% +$890
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 732 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +5,019 $953 89¢ $4.5K +$3,514 09-09 14:52
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +2,783 $1,056 76¢ $2.1K +$1,073 08-18 23:52
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,808 $1,113 86¢ $1.5K +$433 09-26 20:02
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,526 $425 82¢ $1.3K +$833 10-12 09:00
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1,224 -$4,243 95¢ $1.2K +$5,403 10-28 22:40
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1,403 $902 80¢ $1.1K +$228 09-19 01:23
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -1,779 -$1,486 62¢ $-1112 +$374 08-11 20:04
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +2,100 $1,005 50¢ $1.1K +$55 06-24 20:24
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1,079 $415 88¢ $955 +$540 09-26 20:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -1,048 -$696 84¢ $-875 -$179 08-16 18:36
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,394 -$367 48¢ $676 +$1,043 10-19 10:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -654 -$527 98¢ $-642 -$115 06-02 00:21
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +5,019 $1,569 11¢ $552 -$1,017 06-27 01:07
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No -747 -$373 62¢ $-459 -$87 10-20 10:13
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1,000 $500 46¢ $455 -$45 06-13 16:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +591 $266 74¢ $440 +$174 05-01 04:59
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +1,825 $662 24¢ $429 -$234 07-22 16:10
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,566 -$762 12¢ $-410 +$352 08-23 11:07
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +456 $213 78¢ $358 +$145 09-04 02:58
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2027 No +952 $250 36¢ $348 +$97 09-09 03:12
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +1,777 $368 20¢ $346 -$22 10-05 08:47
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +426 $197 78¢ $330 +$133 05-31 12:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -500 -$325 66¢ $-330 -$5 05-26 05:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +811 -$1,161 40¢ $327 +$1,487 08-23 11:08
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,258 $526 24¢ $308 -$218 09-01 11:25
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +620 $214 50¢ $307 +$93 06-26 14:27
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +383 -$235 76¢ $293 +$528 08-27 16:03
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +305 $207 96¢ $291 +$84 05-14 13:54
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No — +826 $366 35¢ $289 -$76 10-09 12:11
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +311 $208 86¢ $266 +$58 07-14 21:39