Scared-Eyeglasses — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-15 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

72% 90% +$8

Other

28% 94% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-12	-$12	96¢	$-12	$0	10-15 15:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-6	-$7	92¢	$-5	+$2	10-15 15:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-5	-$5	90¢	$-5	$0	10-15 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$71	173	173	-0	open	—	10-15 15:52
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$63	37	37	+0	open	—	10-15 15:47
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$42	34	34	+0	open	—	09-01 15:35
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	10-15 15:50
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-15 15:50
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-15 15:50
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	07-07 12:09
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	3	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	10-15 15:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	07-07 12:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	10-15 15:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$37	19	24	-6	open	—	10-15 15:49
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	10-15 15:51
EU dissolves before 2027?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	10-15 15:51
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$25	11	17	-5	open	—	10-15 15:51
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	09-11 15:09
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	09-28 16:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	10-15 15:52
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	06-19 15:05
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:52
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:53
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:53
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	08-26 16:28
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:54
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:53
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	10-15 15:54
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	10-15 15:54
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:54
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:54
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-15 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 15:58:28	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x2cab7a…
10-15 15:58:20	Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1f6b1a…
10-15 15:58:13	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x95b0a6…
10-15 15:58:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd3325b…
10-15 15:57:58	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x41d4c3…
10-15 15:57:50	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xb5adf8…
10-15 15:57:41	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe8e14e…
10-15 15:57:34	Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xea86e3…
10-15 15:57:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcb9268…
10-15 15:57:17	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x482fc1…
10-15 15:57:07	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc4cde6…
10-15 15:56:56	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdfc26f…
10-15 15:56:47	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc3d988…
10-15 15:56:35	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xff6aac…
10-15 15:56:25	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x6dfb86…
10-15 15:56:17	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xebf684…
10-15 15:56:08	French election called by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x40ebea…
10-15 15:55:59	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xf3f2cf…
10-15 15:55:49	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x78b9c5…
10-15 15:55:41	Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x79d472…
10-15 15:55:34	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x27c31f…
10-15 15:55:25	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9f5685…
10-15 15:55:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x912dbc…
10-15 15:55:04	Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xa94f2c…
10-15 15:54:52	Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x3b8826…
10-15 15:54:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x849837…
10-15 15:54:28	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x199b6c…
10-15 15:54:19	Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfd6a9c…
10-15 15:54:10	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x337806…
10-15 15:53:44	Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x59807a…
10-15 15:53:29	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x39f476…
10-15 15:53:20	Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x8f56a3…
10-15 15:53:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe26ee2…
10-15 15:52:59	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x9f88f2…
10-15 15:52:47	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x2b552c…
10-15 15:52:22	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x49017d…
10-15 15:52:11	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	56	19¢	$11	0x86101d…
10-15 15:51:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x54b5ee…
10-15 15:51:37	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x7cc3fe…
10-15 15:51:25	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x617e32…
10-15 15:51:11	Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xd8f037…
10-15 15:50:49	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x3a7afd…
10-15 15:50:38	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x550261…
10-15 15:50:26	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x75cb5e…
10-15 15:50:10	Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x9a8162…
10-15 15:49:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	24	90¢	$22	0x216307…
10-15 15:47:20	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	88¢	$33	0xcf8c7c…
10-15 15:30:32	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd8fb11…
10-13 00:25:35	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0xe78d4d…
10-12 10:27:03	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5f6962…
10-12 10:25:23	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2e7ae1…
10-12 10:09:29	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb47533…
10-12 10:07:29	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe4d2eb…
10-10 10:05:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x41a1e1…
10-10 10:01:33	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf2dbd3…
10-09 17:17:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8bd826…
10-09 17:15:58	French election called by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8ada44…
10-05 16:11:17	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xcc49e2…
09-29 19:49:54	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x4183b5…
09-28 16:37:15	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf51b2c…
09-28 16:27:51	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x219711…
09-28 16:24:47	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3afd66…
09-28 16:21:33	Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe03efb…
09-28 16:18:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe5bd8b…
09-28 16:12:21	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2a92d4…
09-28 16:04:53	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xdc3b60…
09-28 16:04:11	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x25de1c…
09-22 07:37:27	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa59c85…
09-22 07:29:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x2150d2…
09-22 07:28:43	will the us announce a diesel export ban by september 30	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x652ce1…
09-22 07:26:03	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa101d0…
09-22 07:25:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbcc84d…
09-18 13:47:23	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbd8ee5…
09-11 15:16:09	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbe4422…
09-11 15:09:01	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe0f111…
09-01 15:43:16	Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x456a73…
09-01 15:40:28	Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x339118…
09-01 15:37:54	Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x80f74f…
09-01 15:35:54	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	66¢	$22	0xa5cc31…
09-01 15:35:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xe1beaa…
08-26 16:31:00	Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbebe33…
08-26 16:30:18	Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9870d6…
08-26 16:28:43	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf126bd…
08-26 16:28:15	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x03d593…
08-26 16:27:18	Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xae2b57…
08-26 16:24:39	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcabe28…
08-01 10:32:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xeab1e8…
07-22 08:54:06	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x476ec2…
07-11 10:11:58	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3024f…
07-11 10:09:29	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1aca5b…
07-11 10:07:49	Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x651700…
07-11 10:05:55	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xab5cc4…
07-11 10:05:04	Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1fc393…
07-11 10:02:37	Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x9961a6…
07-09 09:59:40	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xca981a…
07-09 09:58:52	Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x66faae…
07-09 09:58:32	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x51cf86…
07-09 09:57:38	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x099daf…
07-07 13:24:35	Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e5667…
07-07 13:24:10	Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xefc55b…