Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
42
lifetime
Volume
$319
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$166
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-29 19:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60%
Other
40% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 90¢ $19 $-1 06-29 19:17
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +21 $20 89¢ $19 $-1 06-29 19:22
EU dissolves before 2027? No +15 $15 97¢ $15 $-0 06-19 15:25
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 05-28 16:25
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-19 15:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 16:37
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 16:32
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +12 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 06-04 17:50
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-29 19:13
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-04 17:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-19 15:22
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 05-29 08:17
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-29 08:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-10 15:22
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-29 19:15
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-19 15:26
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-29 19:14