Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$474
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$240
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-11 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
34% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +37 $30 84¢ $31 +$1 07-09 09:57
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 95¢ $21 +$1 07-09 09:58
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 06-29 19:22
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 06-29 19:17
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 07-11 10:05
EU dissolves before 2027? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 06-19 15:25
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 06-29 19:13
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 06-04 17:50
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-02 15:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-19 15:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-04 17:51
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-09 09:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-07 12:22
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $-0 07-09 09:58
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-19 15:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-10 15:22
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-11 10:05
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-29 19:15
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 07-01 15:02
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-11 10:09
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-11 10:11