Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,744
Trades
123
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$11,316
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 11:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $12
vs crowd: 7% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $25 | $137 | $112 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $54 | $366 | $312 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $5 | $664 | $659 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $8 | $58 | $49 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $23 | $26 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $396 | $396 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $371 | $371 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $12 | $141 | $129 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $25 | $79 | $54 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $18 | $83 | $64 |
| unranked | 10 | $14 | $114 | $99 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +297 | $268 | $268 | 2 | 06-22 12:22 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +150 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 06-11 16:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 06-23 17:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +78 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-16 23:00 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +74 | $2 | $9 | 2 | 06-18 12:25 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +54 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-22 12:22 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-30 15:21 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-30 15:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-20 18:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +37 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 07-06 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +30 | $28 | $161 | 4 | 07-06 05:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-11 22:12 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $8 | 3 | 06-11 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 20:18 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-28 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xec0a…37fc | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 15:46 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $7 | 7 | 06-22 14:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 11:56:34 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x87a6da… |
| 07-06 11:56:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x87a6da… |
| 07-06 09:02:47 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x873367… |
| 07-06 09:02:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x873367… |
| 07-06 09:02:40 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x6b6b9a… |
| 07-06 09:02:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x6b6b9a… |
| 07-06 09:02:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 87 | 93¢ | $80 | 0x6b6b9a… |
| 07-06 09:02:40 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x6b6b9a… |
| 07-06 05:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8c4a57… |
| 07-06 05:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x8c4a57… |
| 07-06 05:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8c4a57… |
| 07-06 05:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8c4a57… |
| 07-06 05:21:55 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc68892… |
| 07-06 05:21:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc68892… |
| 07-06 05:21:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc68892… |
| 06-28 11:53:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc44184… |
| 06-28 11:53:20 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xc44184… |
| 06-28 11:53:20 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc44184… |
| 06-28 11:53:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc44184… |
| 06-23 17:28:01 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8cdfeb… |
| 06-23 17:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x8cdfeb… |
| 06-23 17:27:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x1ed7d6… |
| 06-23 17:27:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1ed7d6… |
| 06-23 17:26:17 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xd7f02f… |
| 06-23 17:26:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd7f02f… |
| 06-23 17:26:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd7f02f… |
| 06-23 17:26:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xd7f02f… |
| 06-22 14:35:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xb86285… |
| 06-22 14:35:14 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb86285… |
| 06-22 12:27:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x565c23… |
| 06-22 12:27:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x565c23… |
| 06-22 12:27:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x565c23… |
| 06-22 12:22:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xac4e7c… |
| 06-22 12:22:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xac4e7c… |
| 06-22 12:22:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x510178… |
| 06-22 12:22:22 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x510178… |
| 06-22 12:22:20 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf7c7b5… |
| 06-22 12:22:20 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x96317c… |
| 06-22 12:22:20 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf7c7b5… |
| 06-22 12:22:20 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x96317c… |
| 06-22 12:22:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0dd362… |
| 06-22 12:22:19 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $179 | 0x0dd362… |
| 06-22 12:22:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0dd362… |
| 06-22 12:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0dd362… |
| 06-22 12:22:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x0dd362… |
| 06-22 12:22:19 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x0dd362… |
| 06-20 18:35:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x707b78… |
| 06-20 18:35:59 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x707b78… |
| 06-20 18:35:59 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x707b78… |
| 06-20 18:35:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 47 | 89¢ | $41 | 0x707b78… |
| 06-19 15:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x4d1d5e… |
| 06-19 15:13:25 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x4d1d5e… |
| 06-18 12:25:17 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x4b0bac… |
| 06-18 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | SELL | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0x4b0bac… |
| 06-18 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4b0bac… |
| 06-17 02:28:31 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2fe52c… |
| 06-17 02:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2fe52c… |
| 06-16 23:00:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x53d869… |
| 06-16 23:00:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x53d869… |
| 06-16 23:00:13 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 97 | 91¢ | $89 | 0x53d869… |
| 06-16 23:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x53d869… |
| 06-16 12:07:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x121445… |
| 06-16 12:07:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x121445… |
| 06-16 12:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x0945…8470 | No | BUY | 42 | 90¢ | $38 | 0x121445… |
| 06-16 12:07:07 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0x121445… |
| 06-12 20:18:09 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 73 | 18¢ | $13 | 0xb9cd88… |
| 06-12 20:18:09 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0xb9cd88… |
| 06-12 20:18:09 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb9cd88… |
| 06-12 20:18:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xb9cd88… |
| 06-12 20:18:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xb9cd88… |
| 06-11 22:12:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x5e0bc3… |
| 06-11 22:12:54 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x5e0bc3… |
| 06-11 16:10:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x493f91… |
| 06-11 16:10:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x493f91… |
| 06-11 16:10:39 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 87 | 94¢ | $82 | 0xbb6b5a… |
| 06-11 16:10:39 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xda6b17… |
| 06-11 16:10:39 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xda6b17… |
| 06-11 16:10:39 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 87 | 94¢ | $82 | 0xbb6b5a… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 69 | 93¢ | $64 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 495 | 94¢ | $464 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 16:10:37 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0x710f3e… |
| 06-11 15:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xec0a…37fc | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x64a5e8… |
| 06-11 15:46:58 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x64a5e8… |
| 06-09 07:50:42 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x63e23f… |
| 06-09 07:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x63e23f… |
| 06-09 07:49:30 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3329e0… |
| 06-09 07:49:30 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x3329e0… |
| 06-09 07:49:30 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3329e0… |
| 06-09 07:49:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3329e0… |
| 06-09 07:49:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x3329e0… |
| 06-08 20:43:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 208 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xfffaa4… |
| 06-08 20:43:01 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 303 | 94¢ | $287 | 0xfffaa4… |