Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$1.04K
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,695
lifetime
Volume
$162.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$10.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-30 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
52% 20% $-5
Politics
19%
Crypto
12%
Sports
10% 0% $-10
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +2,073 $1,648 100¢ $2.1K +$424 06-16 14:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +922 $809 100¢ $920 +$111 06-16 10:22
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +800 $751 94¢ $753 +$2 06-25 01:49
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +744 $722 99¢ $738 +$16 05-31 18:52
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +481 $478 100¢ $480 +$2 06-17 04:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +629 $460 76¢ $475 +$15 06-29 10:58
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +584 $283 80¢ $470 +$187 06-16 14:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +416 $383 99¢ $413 +$29 06-06 04:59
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +395 $212 100¢ $395 +$183 06-16 21:00
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +292 $298 99¢ $290 $-9 06-13 15:23
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +275 $271 99¢ $271 $-0 06-20 16:15
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +275 $242 88¢ $241 $-1 06-28 07:44
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +250 $210 88¢ $219 +$9 06-28 20:14
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +250 $179 88¢ $219 +$40 06-07 22:16
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +350 $214 58¢ $205 $-9 06-26 15:53
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +213 $179 96¢ $204 +$25 06-22 20:19
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +201 $198 100¢ $200 +$2 06-06 17:32
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +344 $232 56¢ $192 $-39 06-27 07:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +779 $214 24¢ $191 $-23 06-29 10:58
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +200 $178 94¢ $187 +$10 06-29 16:34
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +195 $182 94¢ $184 +$2 06-28 20:23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +274 $133 67¢ $184 +$51 06-17 03:06
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +215 $201 86¢ $184 $-17 06-27 20:28
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +225 $177 82¢ $183 +$7 06-13 21:02
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30? No +180 $170 97¢ $175 +$5 06-03 06:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $185 86¢ $172 $-13 06-30 14:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $162 86¢ $171 +$9 06-20 20:42
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +175 $161 96¢ $168 +$7 06-14 06:48
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +167 $158 98¢ $164 +$6 06-18 05:25
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +250 $158 66¢ $164 +$6 06-27 10:43