Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$350
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,490
lifetime
Volume
$177.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$5.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-17 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
53% 20% $-5
Politics
18%
Crypto
12%
Sports
10% 0% $-10
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +679 $498 83¢ $564 +$66 07-01 12:21
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +584 $283 76¢ $444 +$161 06-16 14:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +395 $212 100¢ $395 +$183 06-16 21:00
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +275 $242 92¢ $252 +$10 06-28 07:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +350 $214 68¢ $240 +$26 06-26 15:53
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +250 $179 86¢ $214 +$35 06-07 22:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +274 $133 73¢ $201 +$68 06-17 03:06
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +215 $201 93¢ $200 $-1 06-27 20:28
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +250 $158 79¢ $198 +$40 06-27 10:43
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +225 $186 87¢ $196 +$9 07-07 01:50
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +200 $178 97¢ $195 +$17 06-29 16:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +225 $177 84¢ $188 +$11 06-13 21:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $185 87¢ $174 $-11 06-30 14:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +200 $162 86¢ $173 +$11 06-20 20:42
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +195 $182 88¢ $173 $-9 06-28 20:23
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +175 $161 99¢ $172 +$12 06-14 06:48
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +200 $156 80¢ $160 +$4 06-20 20:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +306 $174 52¢ $159 $-15 07-01 21:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +176 $149 86¢ $151 +$2 06-22 04:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +306 $137 48¢ $147 +$10 06-20 18:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +829 $227 17¢ $141 $-86 07-01 12:21
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +584 $328 24¢ $140 $-188 06-16 20:41
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +150 $108 90¢ $136 +$28 06-24 07:13
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +125 $120 100¢ $124 +$4 06-06 20:35
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? No +125 $110 96¢ $119 +$9 06-06 20:25
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +125 $112 94¢ $118 +$6 06-16 00:21
ByteDance IPO before 2027? No +125 $115 93¢ $116 +$1 06-16 23:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +125 $115 92¢ $116 +$1 06-19 07:23
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +150 $106 76¢ $113 +$7 06-24 11:14
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +350 $171 32¢ $110 $-60 06-26 15:53