Realized P&L
-$25.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.73K
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved
6,835
Trades
47,678
lifetime
Volume
$1.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$17.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-31 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
68% 6% -$20,249
Politics
19% 4% -$2,810
Sports
7% 4% -$1,110
Tech
3% 4% -$1,133
Crypto
2% 4% -$258
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$61
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 410 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,459 $2,044 96¢ $2.3K +$305 06-25 01:35
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,641 $1,340 98¢ $1.6K +$272 06-15 06:33
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,388 $1,287 98¢ $1.4K +$78 06-07 06:56
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,244 $1,052 100¢ $1.2K +$190 06-05 09:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +829 $614 100¢ $828 +$214 09-01 09:47
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +992 $758 66¢ $651 -$106 06-14 04:13
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +709 $365 84¢ $599 +$234 06-16 14:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +691 $526 79¢ $549 +$22 07-03 06:58
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +541 $512 100¢ $539 +$27 06-22 06:39
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +601 $326 84¢ $502 +$176 10-03 09:35
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +500 $462 98¢ $489 +$26 06-19 11:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +532 $461 90¢ $481 +$20 07-02 01:00
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +473 $225 100¢ $473 +$248 08-20 18:52
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +650 $399 72¢ $465 +$66 09-02 12:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +516 $305 90¢ $462 +$157 09-27 15:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +536 $438 82¢ $437 -$1 06-25 01:37
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +442 $216 89¢ $393 +$177 06-17 03:06
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +400 $354 88¢ $352 -$2 06-28 07:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +992 $248 34¢ $341 +$92 06-13 08:14
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +340 $93 95¢ $323 +$230 06-08 21:23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +364 $307 88¢ $322 +$16 06-30 03:19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +380 $240 82¢ $310 +$70 10-26 10:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +350 $214 82¢ $289 +$75 06-26 15:53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +300 $281 94¢ $282 +$2 06-27 19:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +300 $258 88¢ $265 +$8 06-29 03:05
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +425 $264 61¢ $260 -$4 06-30 03:45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +320 $236 80¢ $254 +$18 10-27 22:17
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +250 $158 94¢ $236 +$78 06-27 10:43
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +250 $188 92¢ $230 +$42 06-07 22:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +423 $224 53¢ $224 +$1 10-30 22:42