Reckless-Compassionate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,308

lifetime

Volume

$135.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-14 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

83% 22% $-38

Sports

8% 50% +$149

Politics

7% 0% $-1

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 nem playti 2026 06 17 game2	18	$13.3K	9,189	4,525	+4,664	open	—	06-17 22:39
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskova	17	$4.5K	3,442	3,442	+0	open	—	04-27 11:42
dota2 grind mental 2026 06 18 game2	55	$4.4K	5,228	2,032	+3,195	open	—	06-19 03:37
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	7	$4.1K	4,110	4,110	+0	open	—	04-29 00:14
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	20	$3.9K	4,700	4,700	+0	magic	+$0	05-13 03:10
lol vks red 2026 06 11	10	$3.6K	3,604	0	+3,604	open	—	06-11 19:33
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	47	$3.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	Pat Sabatini	+$149	05-09 22:17
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5	3	$3.1K	2,714	2,714	+0	Under	+$0	05-12 19:38
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-13 20:46
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5	6	$2.5K	2,437	2,437	+0	Over	+$0	05-13 00:10
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts first half	15	$2.4K	1,400	1,348	+52	open	—	06-15 16:17
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 05:05
lol t1 fur 2026 07 06 game1 kill over 30pt5	17	$1.9K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	07-06 06:19
lol fsk kcb 2026 06 12 game2	7	$1.8K	1,636	798	+838	open	—	06-12 19:15
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$1.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-12 07:28
Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$1.7K	898	897	+0	open	—	05-13 23:49
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 2pt5	10	$1.6K	843	843	+0	open	—	06-16 03:16
dota2 yg iac 2026 06 19 game handicap away 1pt5	51	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-19 06:11
lol ly tl2 2026 06 14 game3	4	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-14 21:28
lol ly tl2 2026 06 14 game1	2	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-14 18:48
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 8pt5	14	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-13 21:38
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners total 8pt5	18	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-17 23:09
lol we blg 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	12	$1.4K	1,400	1,350	+50	open	—	06-13 06:01
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	6	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-15 18:52
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners team home 6pt5	14	$1.3K	1,470	1,470	+0	open	—	06-17 14:15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5	4	$1.3K	1,247	1,247	+0	open	—	04-30 19:16
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 corners total 8pt5	9	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-16 22:32
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	2	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-18 09:48
cs2 kol g1 2026 06 16	21	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-16 07:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	17	$1.3K	2,827	2,827	+0	Alexander Zverev	$-28	05-10 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 21:09:43	marine le pen out as member of the national assembly byptptpt 20260706153645649	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdb14e2…
07-14 21:09:37	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x48f5dc…
07-14 21:09:22	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x7080ba…
07-14 21:09:11	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x4049bb…
07-14 21:08:58	Will Cardi B perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x656069…
07-14 21:08:46	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x27ebb4…
07-14 21:08:41	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xfea437…
07-14 21:08:23	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	No	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x90acb7…
07-14 21:08:19	Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc0350c…
07-14 21:08:08	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0xf7fcd8…
07-14 21:08:04	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x1acaeb…
07-14 21:07:59	le pen endorses non bardella pm by april 17 2027 20260708195808582	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xd4655c…
07-14 21:07:23	will neuralinks valuation hit high 60b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xf7b2ef…
07-14 21:07:13	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044261	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x720cf7…
07-14 21:07:04	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$29	0x4c0226…
07-14 02:24:46	Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xb95009…
07-14 02:23:58	will bytedances valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 20260701011753590	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x30c651…
07-14 02:23:31	will meta dip to 460 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x0fe105…
07-14 02:22:52	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x45454f…
07-14 02:22:40	will russia capture serhiivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x38b6e5…
07-14 02:22:32	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x3bb519…
07-14 02:22:01	will david lisnard advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc16ad6…
07-14 02:21:38	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x62e4dd…
07-14 02:21:17	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x6fd4d8…
07-14 01:51:02	Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x5c9947…
07-14 01:50:56	will grard larcher be reelected as president of the french senate	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xe144fc…
07-14 01:50:37	will lambdas valuation hit low 6b by december 31	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x560b51…
07-14 01:46:08	will andurils valuation hit high 200b by december 31	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x95fc8c…
07-14 01:45:22	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xa75978…
07-14 01:45:16	will epic games valuation hit low 10pt5 by july 31 20260629184732970	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xff3b1e…
07-14 01:45:10	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xcd84e1…
07-14 01:43:58	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xa6cc0c…
07-14 01:43:41	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x1e2948…
07-14 01:43:32	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x5ed0bb…
07-14 01:43:22	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x869a05…
07-14 01:43:07	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb1ea51…
07-14 01:39:20	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x2246ea…
07-14 01:38:05	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xad6171…
07-14 01:36:41	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 11pt75b 20260618015333981	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x0f71c2…
07-14 01:36:35	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x76f4b8…
07-14 01:36:31	Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x4c8d8a…
07-13 17:37:41	will manuel bompard advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xed4329…
07-13 17:37:35	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x319eac…
07-13 03:39:47	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0fc0be…
07-13 03:39:41	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xbda48a…
07-13 03:39:35	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xe64b79…
07-13 03:39:25	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260701204710234	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x7b0fd6…
07-13 03:38:49	will bytedances valuation hit high 800b by december 31 20260701011753594	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xa42e7d…
07-13 03:38:41	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x7f2b30…
07-13 03:36:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xc3bf73…
07-13 03:36:43	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x7a2783…
07-13 03:36:28	will googl dip to 310 in july 2026	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0xda6d97…
07-13 03:35:56	Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?	Avengers: Doomsday	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x88f7aa…
07-13 03:00:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	87¢	$39	0x911f55…
07-12 23:29:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xd5be13…
07-12 19:36:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x62ec66…
07-11 21:11:53	will jean castex advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x0261c2…
07-11 21:10:58	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x914183…
07-11 21:10:31	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x2089d6…
07-11 18:50:43	will lisabeth borne advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x3647ac…
07-11 18:50:32	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by december 31 20260701011444458	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0x472469…
07-11 18:50:04	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x284e75…
07-11 15:55:29	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6a9b17…
07-11 14:44:41	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xcbc100…
07-11 14:37:14	will russia capture serhiivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x26ca45…
07-11 11:59:49	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x2c9179…
07-11 11:59:38	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x0efa60…
07-11 11:36:14	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x021885…
07-11 04:57:58	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by december 31 20260701011444458	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xd3f877…
07-11 03:46:04	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x603f2d…
07-11 03:33:47	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xa9bac0…
07-11 00:51:59	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x054abb…
07-11 00:17:38	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf80095…
07-11 00:06:01	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x013beb…
07-10 23:58:05	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x8d3cbb…
07-10 21:30:07	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 11pt75b 20260618015333981	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x667d7f…
07-10 19:33:49	kmi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 0pt31	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x62f5e5…
07-10 19:26:01	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0x555b5e…
07-10 19:24:35	will jean castex advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc97036…
07-10 16:43:07	le pen endorses non bardella pm by april 17 2027 20260708195808582	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x000291…
07-10 14:48:13	untitled market 1 20260629173634756	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xd8158c…
07-10 14:16:07	Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xdef373…
07-10 13:46:47	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd502c0…
07-10 13:46:40	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x7a984e…
07-10 13:46:14	will lyon make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025739	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xb1f752…
07-10 10:37:05	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	No	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x13381e…
07-10 08:09:32	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x643c4b…
07-10 07:56:40	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8606a6…
07-10 07:29:47	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xa5efc0…
07-10 07:29:47	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0xa5efc0…
07-10 07:14:53	will lyon make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025739	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf470c3…
07-10 05:45:14	will bytedances valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 20260701011753590	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x42055f…
07-10 02:23:59	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x246e41…
07-10 00:57:05	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x718e85…
07-10 00:43:08	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x63025b…
07-10 00:08:19	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0xc4ccdc…
07-10 00:01:49	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt15b 20260618001830829	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xec4ef7…
07-09 23:04:37	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe24d1b…
07-09 22:54:08	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xeda842…
07-09 22:34:02	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6e90c4…