Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
376
lifetime
Volume
$2.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$90
27 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-18 01:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
16%
Crypto
13%
Tech
6%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $14 24¢ $12 $-2 07-16 16:17
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +19 $12 58¢ $11 $-1 06-12 20:37
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $8 69¢ $10 +$3 06-18 07:29
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $14 18¢ $9 $-6 07-01 01:59
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 $-0 07-18 01:27
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +18 $7 30¢ $5 $-2 06-06 18:50
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-3 42¢ $-5 $-2 06-12 20:19
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $8 24¢ $5 $-3 06-22 14:03
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +20 $5 18¢ $4 $-1 07-02 02:46
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +14 $6 27¢ $4 $-2 06-11 04:04
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $6 16¢ $3 $-3 06-27 13:03
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 06-27 12:56
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +49 $9 $3 $-6 06-18 23:47
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $6 12¢ $2 $-3 06-27 13:22
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes +20 $7 $2 $-6 06-19 13:01
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? Yes +2 $1 81¢ $2 +$0 07-01 21:15
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $3 $1 $-2 06-12 20:18
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15 $2 $1 $-1 06-14 19:38
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No -2 $-1 38¢ $-1 $-0 07-05 20:26
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-0 50¢ $1 +$1 06-09 14:52
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +3 $-2 21¢ $1 +$3 06-18 11:39
3Jane FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 10¢ $0 $-4 06-10 15:29
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-20 07:18
City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-0 66¢ $0 +$0 06-04 07:34
Tuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +0 $-2 68¢ $0 +$2 06-05 01:28
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-2 32¢ $0 +$2 06-08 10:36
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +0 $-0 28¢ $0 +$0 06-07 17:11