Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
open
Total volume
$19,038
$13 in 24h
Trades
368
Unique wallets
130
Liquidity
$13,038
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 21:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $25 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $59 | $99 | $40 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $26 | $998 | $971 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 78 | $767 | $6.0K | $5.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $18 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $8 | $57 | $49 |
| Median | 10 | $59 | $253 | $194 |
| Below median | 22 | $160 | $512 | $352 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $27 | $33 | $6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $14 | $106 | $92 |
| unranked | 66 | $590 | $6.4K | $5.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +1,293 | $1,151 | $1,151 | 15 | 07-03 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e2d…743d | Yes | +908 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 06-19 12:45 |
| Tepid-Base 0xd9bc…bc69 | Yes | +870 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 06-14 04:05 |
| Worst-Baobab 0xb17c…b289 | Yes | +869 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 06-14 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf5…6c9d | No | +470 | $428 | $428 | 1 | 06-14 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c05…9a98 | No | +450 | $410 | $410 | 1 | 06-14 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x61ad…d38e | No | +419 | $381 | $381 | 1 | 06-14 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1de…d91d | No | +400 | $364 | $364 | 1 | 06-14 04:05 |
| Reasonable-Withdrawal 0x8d97…fbd8 | Yes | +366 | $32 | $32 | 8 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +302 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +107 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-03 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | +81 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-20 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x348d…5102 | Yes | +70 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 21:10 |
| 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-03 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…b1ca | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-20 16:47 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 06-17 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 07-03 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc4b…570c | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-20 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dd6…d74c | No | +49 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 07-20 16:47 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +44 | $40 | $49 | 3 | 06-24 07:08 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 19:14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-20 16:47 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 05-31 21:15 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $6 | 3 | 07-12 19:14 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-19 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-19 21:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +25 | $22 | $173 | 4 | 07-02 14:24 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-29 19:22 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $37 | 43 | 07-20 21:53 |
| Critical-Banker 0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-08 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +17 | $15 | $44 | 5 | 07-03 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-20 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 03:09 |
| Roasted-Weekend 0x59f3…05a7 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 02:07 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Stable-Diary 0x0f8a…06a4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 02:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe4b…4ab6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 10:50 |
| Discrete-Installation 0x3b01…3377 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 07:53 |
| Drab-Toga 0xc627…b742 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-29 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-10 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +3 | $0 | $7 | 6 | 06-08 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-12 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x338a…3106 | No | +2 | $2 | $6 | 4 | 07-03 18:43 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 07-03 20:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 21:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x2a9d…4124 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2982da… |
| 07-20 21:53:58 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2982da… |
| 07-20 21:53:54 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5cca26… |
| 07-20 21:53:54 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x5cca26… |
| 07-20 21:53:54 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x5cca26… |
| 07-20 16:47:57 | Lustrous-Parchment 0x2136…ee56 | No | SELL | 170 | 95¢ | $161 | 0x84146f… |
| 07-20 16:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x2dd6…d74c | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x84146f… |
| 07-20 16:47:57 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x84146f… |
| 07-20 16:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…b1ca | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x84146f… |
| 07-20 16:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xcc4b…570c | No | BUY | 49 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x84146f… |
| 07-20 16:47:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x84146f… |
| 07-20 02:09:54 | (anonymous) 0x2a13…f6f1 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x66ed23… |
| 07-20 02:09:54 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x66ed23… |
| 07-20 01:28:46 | Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xd6574b… |
| 07-20 01:28:46 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd6574b… |
| 07-19 07:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd2ace3… |
| 07-19 07:53:13 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd2ace3… |
| 07-19 07:53:13 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0xd2ace3… |
| 07-19 07:53:06 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x1b607e… |
| 07-19 07:53:06 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x1b607e… |
| 07-17 21:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x25b662… |
| 07-17 21:26:19 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 66 | 95¢ | $62 | 0x25b662… |
| 07-17 21:26:19 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x25b662… |
| 07-17 21:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x2dd6…d74c | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x25b662… |
| 07-17 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x7f9f…799c | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x007a08… |
| 07-17 09:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x007a08… |
| 07-17 09:10:12 | (anonymous) 0x7f9f…799c | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xc3329c… |
| 07-17 09:10:12 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xc3329c… |
| 07-16 08:31:44 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd0a785… |
| 07-16 08:31:44 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd0a785… |
| 07-14 17:22:46 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x81bd23… |
| 07-14 17:22:46 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x81bd23… |
| 07-12 19:14:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x690eea… |
| 07-12 19:14:28 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x690eea… |
| 07-12 19:14:28 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | Yes | SELL | 198 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x690eea… |
| 07-12 19:14:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x690eea… |
| 07-12 19:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x690eea… |
| 07-12 15:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…ae28 | No | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xc8ba1d… |
| 07-12 15:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xc8ba1d… |
| 07-11 09:18:47 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7942e… |
| 07-11 09:18:47 | (anonymous) 0x4ff5…a8cb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7942e… |
| 07-10 18:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfd6ab5… |
| 07-10 18:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x39b2…157c | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xfd6ab5… |
| 07-10 18:55:25 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfd6ab5… |
| 07-09 21:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x39b2…157c | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xff45f5… |
| 07-09 21:10:35 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xeeacc7… |
| 07-09 21:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…ae28 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xeeacc7… |
| 07-09 21:10:35 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xff45f5… |
| 07-09 21:10:32 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x07d316… |
| 07-09 21:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x348d…5102 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x07d316… |
| 07-09 15:03:56 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1c2a6a… |
| 07-09 15:03:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1c2a6a… |
| 07-09 15:03:56 | Sparse-Premier 0x3809…81bd | No | SELL | 43 | 90¢ | $39 | 0x1c2a6a… |
| 07-05 11:49:05 | Marvelous-Arrival 0xc67d…4fb2 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf6e4f3… |
| 07-05 11:49:05 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf6e4f3… |
| 07-04 22:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7de9b8… |
| 07-04 22:02:38 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 109 | 94¢ | $102 | 0x7de9b8… |
| 07-04 22:02:38 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7de9b8… |
| 07-04 22:02:38 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 61 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x7de9b8… |
| 07-04 12:45:50 | Critical-Banker 0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x079e0f… |
| 07-04 12:45:50 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x079e0f… |
| 07-03 20:11:26 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 27 | 95¢ | $26 | 0x4b9204… |
| 07-03 20:11:26 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4b9204… |
| 07-03 19:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x2c3f72… |
| 07-03 19:26:43 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2c3f72… |
| 07-03 18:43:29 | (anonymous) 0x338a…3106 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xd4ea32… |
| 07-03 18:43:29 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc26192… |
| 07-03 18:43:29 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd4ea32… |
| 07-03 18:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | SELL | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xc26192… |
| 07-03 18:43:26 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5c99a4… |
| 07-03 18:43:26 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x7020f9… |
| 07-03 18:43:26 | (anonymous) 0x338a…3106 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5c99a4… |
| 07-03 18:43:26 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7020f9… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | Yes | SELL | 715 | 4¢ | $26 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 248 | 97¢ | $241 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 63 | 97¢ | $61 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 107 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 18:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb30fee… |
| 07-03 15:56:37 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xbb5854… |
| 07-03 15:56:37 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xbb5854… |
| 07-03 15:56:37 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbb5854… |
| 07-03 15:56:37 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xbb5854… |
| 07-03 15:56:37 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbb5854… |
| 07-03 15:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbb5854… |
| 07-03 07:36:37 | Red-Chaplain 0x87bf…a0c8 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb89959… |
| 07-03 07:36:37 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb89959… |
| 07-03 07:36:35 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xcd0bb4… |
| 07-03 07:36:35 | (anonymous) 0x0287…9448 | No | SELL | 757 | 89¢ | $674 | 0xcd0bb4… |
| 07-03 07:36:35 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 500 | 89¢ | $445 | 0xcd0bb4… |
| 07-03 07:36:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xcd0bb4… |
| 07-03 07:36:35 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xcd0bb4… |
| 07-02 16:53:59 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xf82f4e… |
| 07-02 16:53:59 | Lustrous-Parchment 0x2136…ee56 | No | SELL | 149 | 92¢ | $136 | 0xf82f4e… |
| 07-02 16:53:59 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf82f4e… |