Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
open
Total volume
$16,157
$13 in 24h
Trades
255
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$13,038
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-29 19:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $18 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $45 | $279 | $234 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $18 | $109 | $91 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 63 | $757 | $6.6K | $5.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $15 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | $28 | $24 |
| Median | 8 | $45 | $248 | $202 |
| Below median | 16 | $155 | $505 | $350 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $27 | $6 | +$21 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $10 | $134 | $124 |
| unranked | 51 | $580 | $6.2K | $5.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4e2d…743d | Yes | +908 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 06-19 12:45 |
| Tepid-Base 0xd9bc…bc69 | Yes | +870 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 06-14 04:05 |
| Worst-Baobab 0xb17c…b289 | Yes | +869 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 06-14 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf5…6c9d | No | +470 | $428 | $428 | 1 | 06-14 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c05…9a98 | No | +450 | $410 | $410 | 1 | 06-14 04:03 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +439 | $381 | $381 | 6 | 06-08 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x61ad…d38e | No | +419 | $381 | $381 | 1 | 06-14 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1de…d91d | No | +400 | $364 | $364 | 1 | 06-14 04:05 |
| Reasonable-Withdrawal 0x8d97…fbd8 | Yes | +366 | $32 | $32 | 8 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +302 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | Yes | +300 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 11:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +99 | $90 | $105 | 3 | 06-29 19:22 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +64 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-28 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | +63 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 06-18 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b7e…d78f | No | +56 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-19 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x348d…5102 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +44 | $40 | $49 | 3 | 06-24 07:08 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 05-31 21:15 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-19 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +27 | $25 | $34 | 4 | 06-21 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-19 21:55 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-29 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-08 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-19 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 04:40 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $10 | 7 | 06-28 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Trim-Forgery 0xc3ac…dcee | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a13…f6f1 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 01:12 |
| Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-24 07:08 |
| Roasted-Weekend 0x59f3…05a7 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 02:07 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Stable-Diary 0x0f8a…06a4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 02:08 |
| Discrete-Installation 0x3b01…3377 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 06:35 |
| Drab-Toga 0xc627…b742 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-29 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x338a…3106 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +3 | $0 | $7 | 6 | 06-08 13:04 |
| Twin-Platelet 0x20a5…72ac | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 03:38 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 19:22:04 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xdf3eb0… |
| 06-29 19:22:04 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xdf3eb0… |
| 06-29 19:22:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xdf3eb0… |
| 06-29 03:03:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x80a8d2… |
| 06-29 03:03:13 | Drab-Toga 0xc627…b742 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x80a8d2… |
| 06-28 02:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | No | SELL | 26 | 87¢ | $22 | 0xb21b0f… |
| 06-28 02:03:41 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xb21b0f… |
| 06-28 02:03:41 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xb21b0f… |
| 06-26 08:45:59 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4f2a1c… |
| 06-26 08:45:59 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4f2a1c… |
| 06-26 08:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x2b61a2… |
| 06-26 08:27:41 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x2b61a2… |
| 06-26 08:27:41 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x2b61a2… |
| 06-24 16:29:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x7a8068… |
| 06-24 16:29:13 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7a8068… |
| 06-24 07:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xbcc096… |
| 06-24 07:08:50 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xbcc096… |
| 06-24 03:46:41 | (anonymous) 0x2dfb…4387 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa38372… |
| 06-24 03:46:41 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa38372… |
| 06-23 15:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xb0f3…384e | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa8f407… |
| 06-23 15:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa8f407… |
| 06-23 09:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x362fda… |
| 06-23 09:16:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x362fda… |
| 06-23 03:18:58 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | SELL | 435 | 8¢ | $35 | 0x83b6d1… |
| 06-23 03:18:58 | Open-Peen 0xd0cb…c986 | No | SELL | 435 | 92¢ | $400 | 0x83b6d1… |
| 06-23 03:17:52 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | SELL | 445 | 8¢ | $36 | 0x172e98… |
| 06-23 03:17:52 | (anonymous) 0xe0cd…30db | No | SELL | 445 | 92¢ | $409 | 0x172e98… |
| 06-23 03:17:40 | Waterlogged-Stupidity 0xf2eb…7d85 | No | SELL | 455 | 92¢ | $419 | 0xa5d99b… |
| 06-23 03:17:40 | Cluttered-Sneaker 0xfac8…ed4d | Yes | SELL | 455 | 8¢ | $36 | 0xa5d99b… |
| 06-23 03:17:19 | Cluttered-Sneaker 0xfac8…ed4d | Yes | SELL | 425 | 8¢ | $34 | 0xbb338a… |
| 06-23 03:17:19 | Grubby-Bit 0x8575…2ce4 | No | SELL | 425 | 92¢ | $391 | 0xbb338a… |
| 06-23 02:18:53 | Cluttered-Sneaker 0xfac8…ed4d | Yes | BUY | 435 | 6¢ | $26 | 0xeed165… |
| 06-23 02:18:53 | Open-Peen 0xd0cb…c986 | No | BUY | 435 | 94¢ | $409 | 0xeed165… |
| 06-23 02:18:22 | Cluttered-Sneaker 0xfac8…ed4d | Yes | BUY | 445 | 6¢ | $27 | 0x7c3e6f… |
| 06-23 02:18:22 | (anonymous) 0xe0cd…30db | No | BUY | 445 | 94¢ | $418 | 0x7c3e6f… |
| 06-23 02:17:55 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | BUY | 455 | 6¢ | $27 | 0xc2a713… |
| 06-23 02:17:55 | Waterlogged-Stupidity 0xf2eb…7d85 | No | BUY | 455 | 94¢ | $428 | 0xc2a713… |
| 06-23 02:17:41 | Grubby-Bit 0x8575…2ce4 | No | BUY | 425 | 94¢ | $400 | 0xa2d7d3… |
| 06-23 02:17:41 | Speedy-Exhibit 0x2b76…6943 | Yes | BUY | 425 | 6¢ | $26 | 0xa2d7d3… |
| 06-21 19:45:41 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcfb479… |
| 06-21 19:45:41 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xcfb479… |
| 06-21 08:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x6f88f8… |
| 06-21 08:41:52 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6f88f8… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-21 08:41:49 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 182 | 87¢ | $159 | 0x3927cc… |
| 06-20 17:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x1f3523… |
| 06-20 17:45:17 | Lustrous-Parchment 0x2136…ee56 | No | SELL | 34 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x1f3523… |
| 06-20 17:45:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1f3523… |
| 06-19 21:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x9e6d98… |
| 06-19 21:55:35 | Lustrous-Parchment 0x2136…ee56 | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x9e6d98… |
| 06-19 21:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…1078 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xcc8c52… |
| 06-19 21:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x2dfb…4387 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xcda477… |
| 06-19 21:55:32 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xcda477… |
| 06-19 21:55:32 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xcc8c52… |
| 06-19 21:55:29 | Lustrous-Parchment 0x2136…ee56 | No | SELL | 260 | 91¢ | $237 | 0x14ad69… |
| 06-19 21:55:29 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 250 | 91¢ | $228 | 0x14ad69… |
| 06-19 21:55:29 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x14ad69… |
| 06-19 15:20:02 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xedcd2a… |
| 06-19 15:20:02 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xedcd2a… |
| 06-19 12:45:07 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x84ca03… |
| 06-19 12:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x0b7e…d78f | No | BUY | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0x84ca03… |
| 06-19 12:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x4e2d…743d | Yes | BUY | 132 | 9¢ | $12 | 0x84ca03… |
| 06-19 12:45:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x84ca03… |
| 06-19 12:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x84ca03… |
| 06-19 12:45:07 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0x84ca03… |
| 06-19 07:14:05 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 17 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xbe3557… |
| 06-19 07:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | No | BUY | 17 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xbe3557… |
| 06-19 07:14:04 | (anonymous) 0x338a…3106 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x04974e… |
| 06-19 07:14:04 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x04974e… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1d747e… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x19e453… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | (anonymous) 0xb0f3…384e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2dfeb1… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x89b8…f32d | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x19e453… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xafa831… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1d747e… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x2dfb…4387 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xafa831… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xe7127c… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2dfeb1… |
| 06-19 07:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x338a…3106 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xe7127c… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 89 | 91¢ | $81 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | (anonymous) 0x4e2d…743d | Yes | BUY | 536 | 9¢ | $50 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x712637… |
| 06-19 07:13:59 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 180 | 91¢ | $163 | 0x712637… |
| 06-18 22:22:38 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | BUY | 63 | 97¢ | $61 | 0xf46337… |
| 06-18 22:22:38 | Lustrous-Parchment 0x2136…ee56 | No | SELL | 63 | 97¢ | $61 | 0xf46337… |
| 06-18 21:07:43 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2aa774… |
| 06-18 21:07:43 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x2aa774… |
| 06-18 15:02:41 | Monthly-Paranoia 0xc85d…18b2 | No | SELL | 117 | 97¢ | $113 | 0xfdd436… |
| 06-18 15:02:41 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xfdd436… |
| 06-18 03:26:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x939bc3… |
| 06-18 03:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xfe1c…adee | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x939bc3… |