Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
open
Total volume
$28,522
Trades
679
Unique wallets
196
Liquidity
$15,545
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-30
last 10-24 12:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $15.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $99 | $5.4K | $5.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $61 | $653 | $592 |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $241 | $3.8K | $3.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 103 | $880 | $4.5K | $3.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 23 | $119 | $2.3K | $2.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $414 | $160 | +$254 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $1 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| Median | 56 | $64 | $3.9K | $3.8K |
| Below median | 53 | $544 | $3.0K | $2.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $59 | $264 | $205 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $56 | $45 | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $24 | $3.1K | $3.1K |
| unranked | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +2,835 | $2,591 | $2,591 | 31 | 10-24 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e2d…743d | Yes | +1,687 | $257 | $257 | 11 | 06-19 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x29d5…9788 | Yes | +816 | $54 | $54 | 5 | 10-05 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | +507 | $37 | $74 | 8 | 09-25 13:40 |
| Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | +491 | $462 | $462 | 7 | 10-01 16:36 |
| Reasonable-Withdrawal 0x8d97…fbd8 | Yes | +426 | $35 | $35 | 9 | 09-04 04:15 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +302 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-17 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc05f…ddd3 | Yes | +297 | $47 | $49 | 5 | 05-21 18:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +213 | $191 | $342 | 13 | 10-21 21:08 |
| Wry-Register 0x02f0…d710 | No | +187 | $157 | $157 | 2 | 05-19 18:40 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +132 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 09-25 13:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +125 | $14 | $14 | 6 | 09-21 08:00 |
| Rusty-Vegetation 0xcc8a…7d9c | No | +78 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 10-11 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x07d7…97ed | No | +72 | $58 | $58 | 13 | 05-26 03:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x348d…5102 | Yes | +70 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e5…0b81 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f70…cd2b | Yes | +59 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 11:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x00af…560d | No | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-01 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xec00…4301 | No | +57 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-01 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa16d…43a4 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 10-24 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x64dd…4ddb | No | +51 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 09-04 08:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 07-03 18:43 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 06-17 19:58 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +44 | $40 | $49 | 3 | 06-24 07:08 |
| Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | +43 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 05-19 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-19 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…54d3 | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-21 07:53 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +31 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-03 03:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $283 | 11 | 10-09 07:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $10 | 6 | 09-25 13:40 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-22 14:31 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-19 07:13 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +20 | $3 | $9 | 4 | 05-31 21:15 |
| Critical-Banker 0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +17 | $15 | $44 | 5 | 07-03 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 04:40 |
| Powerful-Polyp 0xa4c3…2e51 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-25 06:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-20 21:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $46 | 8 | 10-24 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| Roasted-Weekend 0x59f3…05a7 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 02:07 |
| Stable-Diary 0x0f8a…06a4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 02:08 |
| Submissive-Zipper 0x3395…06a0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe4b…4ab6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf60b…7291 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-16 15:38 |
| Separate-Sprag 0x4f8a…7f02 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xadc3…8ccb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 02:05 |
| Essential-Underweight 0xc612…9439 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b22…432d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-24 12:52 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +4 | -$1 | $6 | 5 | 10-21 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +3 | $0 | $7 | 6 | 06-08 13:04 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 08:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 12:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x4b22…432d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x432300… |
| 10-24 12:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x432300… |
| 10-24 12:52:45 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x432300… |
| 10-24 12:52:45 | (anonymous) 0xa16d…43a4 | No | BUY | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x432300… |
| 10-24 12:52:45 | (anonymous) 0xfa01…800a | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x432300… |
| 10-24 12:52:45 | Quarterly-Warrant 0x0e4e…5bf4 | No | SELL | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0x432300… |
| 10-24 12:52:45 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x432300… |
| 10-21 21:08:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x7c02a6… |
| 10-21 21:08:21 | (anonymous) 0xa16d…43a4 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x7c02a6… |
| 10-21 21:08:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7c02a6… |
| 10-21 21:08:21 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x7c02a6… |
| 10-21 05:03:56 | (anonymous) 0xab0a…8a2c | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x6f8536… |
| 10-21 05:03:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6f8536… |
| 10-20 02:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x99c14a… |
| 10-20 02:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x99c14a… |
| 10-20 02:10:20 | Essential-Underweight 0xc612…9439 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x99c14a… |
| 10-20 02:05:59 | (anonymous) 0xadc3…8ccb | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdd0892… |
| 10-20 02:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdd0892… |
| 10-15 15:50:49 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x3a7afd… |
| 10-15 15:50:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x3a7afd… |
| 10-15 11:37:57 | (anonymous) 0x5f70…cd2b | Yes | BUY | 59 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x2ef5b4… |
| 10-15 11:37:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x2ef5b4… |
| 10-15 11:37:57 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x2ef5b4… |
| 10-14 06:34:41 | Separate-Sprag 0x4f8a…7f02 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x91560d… |
| 10-14 06:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x91560d… |
| 10-14 06:03:35 | Unaware-Fingerling 0x3144…0c55 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xcf7fe7… |
| 10-14 06:03:35 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xcf7fe7… |
| 10-14 06:03:32 | (anonymous) 0xc562…c486 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x70a5a0… |
| 10-14 06:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x70a5a0… |
| 10-14 05:58:52 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa1eb5e… |
| 10-14 05:58:52 | Untrue-Exasperation 0x29d1…0ec1 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa1eb5e… |
| 10-14 05:58:37 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x1ced9c… |
| 10-14 05:58:37 | Past-Bid 0xa5ca…36ff | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x1ced9c… |
| 10-14 05:58:34 | Incomparable-Sub 0x1dd5…f1dc | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4a11cb… |
| 10-14 05:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x759263… |
| 10-14 05:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xefbf…39d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x759263… |
| 10-14 05:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4a11cb… |
| 10-14 05:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0cd6b3… |
| 10-14 05:54:07 | Heavy-Contrary 0xc117…13cd | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0cd6b3… |
| 10-14 05:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x102eea… |
| 10-14 05:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa5b184… |
| 10-14 05:54:05 | Amused-Innocence 0xb6d8…74b5 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa5b184… |
| 10-14 05:54:05 | Irresponsible-Transmission 0x868c…ecfb | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x102eea… |
| 10-14 05:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x84aed0… |
| 10-14 05:54:02 | Suspicious-Humour 0xa436…feda | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x84aed0… |
| 10-11 08:18:58 | Rusty-Vegetation 0xcc8a…7d9c | No | BUY | 78 | 96¢ | $75 | 0x91e6cb… |
| 10-11 08:18:58 | (anonymous) 0x559a…2107 | No | SELL | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x91e6cb… |
| 10-11 08:18:58 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x91e6cb… |
| 10-09 07:00:09 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 240 | 96¢ | $230 | 0x685416… |
| 10-09 07:00:09 | Long-Plugin 0xe129…6278 | No | SELL | 210 | 96¢ | $201 | 0x685416… |
| 10-09 07:00:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x685416… |
| 10-07 18:55:27 | 0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x9925…baa3 | No | SELL | 38 | 94¢ | $35 | 0xba4eb6… |
| 10-07 18:55:27 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 38 | 94¢ | $35 | 0xba4eb6… |
| 10-05 06:32:31 | (anonymous) 0x29d5…9788 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd67892… |
| 10-05 06:32:31 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0xd67892… |
| 10-02 07:24:17 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x33195b… |
| 10-02 07:24:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x33195b… |
| 10-02 07:24:17 | (anonymous) 0x29d5…9788 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x33195b… |
| 10-01 16:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x466d84… |
| 10-01 16:36:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x466d84… |
| 10-01 16:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x2c4f…9f58 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x466d84… |
| 10-01 16:36:48 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | BUY | 96 | 95¢ | $91 | 0x466d84… |
| 10-01 12:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x00af…560d | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x82642e… |
| 10-01 12:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x29d5…9788 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x82642e… |
| 10-01 12:38:36 | (anonymous) 0xec00…4301 | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x82642e… |
| 09-25 13:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | BUY | 213 | 8¢ | $16 | 0xf63758… |
| 09-25 13:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf63758… |
| 09-25 13:40:36 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | BUY | 36 | 93¢ | $33 | 0xf63758… |
| 09-25 13:40:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf63758… |
| 09-25 13:40:36 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf63758… |
| 09-25 13:40:36 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xf63758… |
| 09-25 13:39:56 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xaaa11f… |
| 09-25 13:39:56 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | BUY | 64 | 93¢ | $60 | 0xaaa11f… |
| 09-25 13:39:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xaaa11f… |
| 09-25 13:38:54 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x4df47b… |
| 09-25 13:38:54 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x4df47b… |
| 09-22 20:06:52 | (anonymous) 0xcc4b…570c | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xb29285… |
| 09-22 20:06:52 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | No | BUY | 95 | 95¢ | $90 | 0xb29285… |
| 09-22 20:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x4e35…5f71 | No | SELL | 31 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xb29285… |
| 09-22 20:06:52 | (anonymous) 0xf311…516b | No | SELL | 52 | 95¢ | $49 | 0xb29285… |
| 09-21 08:00:32 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 73 | 94¢ | $69 | 0xe518f6… |
| 09-21 08:00:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xe518f6… |
| 09-16 15:38:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1e9e01… |
| 09-16 15:38:53 | (anonymous) 0xf60b…7291 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1e9e01… |
| 09-16 15:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x388787… |
| 09-16 15:38:48 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x388787… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x4181…d668 | No | SELL | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…b1ca | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x2dd6…d74c | No | SELL | 49 | 95¢ | $46 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x16aca8… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x4e35…5f71 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x79d5…710e | No | SELL | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x16aca8… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 91 | 94¢ | $86 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-15 16:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xf63a…d769 | Yes | SELL | 327 | 6¢ | $19 | 0x557aa1… |
| 09-14 20:10:40 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x596f84… |
| 09-14 20:10:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x596f84… |
| 09-12 04:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x2213…e5de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x38b928… |
| 09-12 04:03:16 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x38b928… |