Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
827
lifetime
Volume
$749
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$60
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 10-31 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
50% 33% -$5
Politics
30% — —
Crypto
11% 0% -$4
Sports
7% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-28 23:00
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $5 79¢ $5 +$0 10-29 04:37
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +12 $4 44¢ $5 +$2 10-31 18:32
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +18 $4 24¢ $4 +$1 10-31 23:55
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +8 $2 50¢ $4 +$2 10-31 05:12
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +9 $4 40¢ $4 -$1 10-29 20:24
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +9 $4 38¢ $3 -$1 10-29 20:19
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +14 $2 22¢ $3 +$1 10-30 12:45
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +6 $2 50¢ $3 +$1 10-31 05:12
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +12 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 10-30 22:07
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +156 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-31 22:51
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 10-31 20:42
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +111 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-30 22:17
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes +90 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-31 02:43
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +65 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-30 21:52
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes +44 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-31 06:48
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +536 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-31 18:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +270 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-31 18:43
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +13 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-31 00:23
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-30 19:55
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +23 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-31 04:26
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +24 -$1 4¢ $1 +$2 10-31 04:47
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-29 15:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +193 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-31 03:44
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-31 00:51
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-28 15:01
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +6 $0 6¢ $0 +$1 11-01 00:12
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-29 16:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 14:33
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +37 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-31 19:25