Will BMO fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$538
$25 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$226
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-05 08:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $65 | $63 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $95 | $94 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | $87 | $83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $65 | $65 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | $87 | $83 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | +91 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 06-23 19:45 |
| Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | +67 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-08 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 01:33 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:33 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 19:30 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-25 20:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:50:48 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0xf39855… |
| 08-05 08:50:48 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf39855… |
| 07-25 20:31:40 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x426145… |
| 07-25 20:31:40 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x426145… |
| 07-25 20:31:40 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x426145… |
| 07-21 05:21:51 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x676b9c… |
| 07-21 05:21:51 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x676b9c… |
| 07-08 20:46:50 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x20fe89… |
| 07-08 20:46:50 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | BUY | 67 | 97¢ | $65 | 0x20fe89… |
| 07-01 19:30:34 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x83e60d… |
| 07-01 19:30:34 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x83e60d… |
| 07-01 19:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6e5fc2… |
| 07-01 19:30:10 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6e5fc2… |
| 07-01 19:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x518f2d… |
| 07-01 19:30:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x518f2d… |
| 07-01 19:30:02 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 66 | 98¢ | $65 | 0x9fef39… |
| 07-01 19:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9fef39… |
| 07-01 19:30:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x9fef39… |
| 06-30 23:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x73cce3… |
| 06-30 23:15:07 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x73cce3… |
| 06-30 23:15:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 73 | 98¢ | $71 | 0x73cce3… |
| 06-23 19:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5b4317… |
| 06-23 19:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5b4317… |
| 06-23 19:45:31 | Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | BUY | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x5b4317… |
| 06-16 21:55:20 | Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x903e2a… |
| 06-16 21:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x903e2a… |
| 06-16 00:07:06 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe95641… |
| 06-16 00:07:06 | Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $46 | 0xe95641… |
| 06-16 00:07:06 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xe95641… |
| 05-29 01:33:30 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe6c405… |
| 05-29 01:33:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xe6c405… |
| 05-29 01:33:30 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0xe6c405… |