Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
59
lifetime
Volume
$1.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$371
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-03 18:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90%
Politics
8%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? No +91 $87 98¢ $89 +$1 06-23 19:45
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? No +81 $79 98¢ $79 +$1 06-12 17:24
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +100 $56 48¢ $48 $-9 06-24 11:23
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No +45 $43 98¢ $44 +$1 06-16 21:55
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? No +39 $38 99¢ $39 +$1 06-23 19:46
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes -110 $-50 32¢ $-35 +$15 05-31 00:15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +36 $30 78¢ $28 $-1 07-03 18:35
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-16 22:07