Will RBC fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$308
Trades
31
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$1,214
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-22
last 07-28 13:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $161 | $161 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $122 | $122 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $46 | $46 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +59 | $57 | $155 | 5 | 07-28 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x93bc…c5be | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-28 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:21 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 09:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8374c0… |
| 07-28 13:29:43 | (anonymous) 0x93bc…c5be | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8374c0… |
| 07-28 13:29:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8374c0… |
| 07-28 13:29:43 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x8374c0… |
| 07-21 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9388f7… |
| 07-21 05:21:28 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9388f7… |
| 07-18 23:32:16 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7f96cc… |
| 07-18 23:32:16 | Genuine-Orangutan 0x672f…26aa | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7f96cc… |
| 07-18 13:06:18 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x063d27… |
| 07-18 13:06:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x063d27… |
| 07-18 13:06:18 | Genuine-Orangutan 0x672f…26aa | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x063d27… |
| 07-14 21:37:17 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x91aa01… |
| 07-14 21:37:17 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x91aa01… |
| 07-10 08:05:47 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x9620b4… |
| 07-10 08:05:47 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x9620b4… |
| 07-10 08:05:47 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9620b4… |
| 07-10 08:05:47 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9620b4… |
| 07-10 08:05:32 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xc2860f… |
| 07-10 08:05:32 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc2860f… |
| 07-09 21:17:11 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf03291… |
| 07-09 21:17:11 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xf03291… |
| 07-08 20:49:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x276a01… |
| 07-08 20:49:50 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x276a01… |
| 07-08 20:49:50 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x276a01… |
| 07-08 20:49:26 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0ca59e… |
| 07-08 20:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x0ca59e… |
| 07-08 20:49:26 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0ca59e… |
| 06-22 09:01:20 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc25c64… |
| 06-22 09:01:20 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc25c64… |
| 06-22 09:00:47 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x645a8c… |
| 06-22 09:00:47 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x645a8c… |