Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved
315
Trades
5,085
lifetime
Volume
$3.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$2
16 positions
First seen
2026-07-24
last 10-29 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
60% 21% -$15
Politics
15% 19% -$20
Tech
14% 23% -$3
Sports
9% 28% -$12
Crypto
2% 0% -$18
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 07-28 03:14
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +0 $1 83¢ $0 $0 07-25 20:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +0 $2 68¢ $0 -$2 09-29 22:53
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 52¢ $0 $0 08-07 12:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $0 48¢ $0 $0 08-14 21:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +1 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 08-09 11:46
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 No +0 $2 16¢ $0 -$2 09-10 18:14
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 07-24 19:02
will trump visit north korea by december 31 Yes +0 -$2 7¢ $0 +$2 09-22 12:21
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-05 17:40
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-27 20:21
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 08-24 21:22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-02 14:40
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-29 13:43
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-28 22:37
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-27 17:50