Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$690
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,699
lifetime
Volume
$126.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$24.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 12:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
81% 100% +$12
Politics
16%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +3,383 $2,905 95¢ $3.2K +$303 06-29 20:41
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +3,107 $2,606 94¢ $2.9K +$329 07-01 13:02
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +2,142 $2,075 98¢ $2.1K +$29 06-30 22:26
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? No +2,083 $2,008 98¢ $2.0K +$25 07-01 09:33
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? No +1,610 $1,510 97¢ $1.6K +$47 07-01 09:32
Will BNY fail by end of 2026? No +1,346 $1,302 97¢ $1.3K +$1 07-01 00:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -1,392 $-1,037 90¢ $-1260 $-223 06-06 16:05
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No +1,277 $1,225 97¢ $1.2K +$18 07-01 00:55
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? No +1,169 $1,122 97¢ $1.1K +$13 06-30 23:21
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? No +1,121 $1,077 97¢ $1.1K +$7 07-01 10:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +1,148 $1,030 92¢ $1.1K +$32 06-27 01:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $934 94¢ $940 +$6 06-27 01:14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No -990 $-768 82¢ $-817 $-49 06-23 09:05
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +424 $401 98¢ $414 +$13 06-28 03:44
Will Truist fail by end of 2026? No +398 $383 98¢ $388 +$5 07-01 03:11
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +484 $312 68¢ $329 +$17 07-01 00:05
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? No +335 $312 97¢ $326 +$14 06-30 22:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes -1,055 $-327 26¢ $-274 +$52 06-29 02:09
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? No +241 $232 98¢ $236 +$4 06-30 23:24
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No -239 $-236 98¢ $-233 +$2 06-30 23:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No +264 $222 80¢ $210 $-12 06-25 23:13
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30? No +204 $198 100¢ $203 +$5 06-30 18:28
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? No +146 $140 97¢ $141 +$1 06-30 23:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes -268 $-202 52¢ $-141 +$61 07-01 00:04
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No -106 $-92 90¢ $-96 $-4 06-05 10:39
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -114 $-92 81¢ $-93 $-0 06-24 13:00
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? No -62 $-62 98¢ $-61 +$0 06-30 23:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes -263 $-50 20¢ $-54 $-4 06-05 17:17
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 06-30 23:23
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -36 $-35 98¢ $-35 $-0 06-24 01:01