Admirable-Samurai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,181

lifetime

Volume

$171.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 100% +$12

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	105	$15.1K	14,193	1,867	+12,326	open	—	08-12 01:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	283	$7.5K	3,537	4,163	-625	open	—	06-26 07:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	93	$7.4K	6,234	2,911	+3,323	open	—	08-08 04:00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	40	$6.9K	3,627	3,752	-125	open	—	06-30 22:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	46	$6.1K	4,158	2,000	+2,158	open	—	04-26 17:29
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?	16	$6.0K	3,217	2,922	+295	open	—	07-20 07:39
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	12	$5.3K	2,650	2,720	-70	open	—	02-24 23:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	14	$4.8K	2,320	2,830	-510	open	—	07-22 17:50
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	8	$4.7K	750	3,947	-3,197	open	—	06-29 16:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	31	$4.2K	2,728	1,541	+1,187	open	—	06-25 23:12
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?	21	$3.8K	3,010	866	+2,144	open	—	07-18 13:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	34	$3.5K	1,100	2,573	-1,473	open	—	06-22 13:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-16 10:25
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	21	$2.9K	2,807	150	+2,657	open	—	08-06 07:40
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	22	$2.9K	2,449	449	+2,000	open	—	04-15 04:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	57	$2.8K	3,471	3,004	+467	open	—	06-26 21:48
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	12	$2.7K	2,011	795	+1,215	open	—	07-25 20:31
Will BNY fail by end of 2026?	13	$2.6K	1,436	1,258	+178	open	—	07-23 23:19
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?	51	$2.6K	1,840	823	+1,017	open	—	08-02 20:35
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	26	$2.5K	2,619	0	+2,619	open	—	08-04 00:52
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?	12	$2.5K	750	1,741	-991	open	—	06-18 01:25
US recession by end of 2026?	20	$2.4K	1,996	698	+1,299	open	—	08-11 23:34
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	7	$2.1K	200	1,939	-1,739	open	—	06-25 08:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-24 04:26
Will Santander fail by end of 2026?	26	$1.9K	1,216	765	+451	open	—	08-07 00:08
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	16	$1.9K	1,670	252	+1,417	open	—	08-06 17:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-22 01:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	10	$1.8K	427	1,746	-1,319	open	—	05-26 10:16
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	31	$1.8K	1,923	498	+1,426	open	—	08-04 20:43
Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	26	$1.8K	1,067	743	+324	open	—	08-11 21:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 01:43:54	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0xf49d8a…
08-11 23:34:10	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x580956…
08-11 22:04:01	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	686	92¢	$632	0x48a693…
08-11 21:42:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb70e1a…
08-11 21:36:13	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	180	98¢	$176	0x6af79d…
08-11 14:32:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	167	60¢	$100	0x2b773f…
08-11 11:32:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	57	60¢	$34	0x281b23…
08-11 08:14:40	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe8bde2…
08-11 07:55:31	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xe75209…
08-10 22:47:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x01844c…
08-10 08:26:24	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3eba4f…
08-10 02:22:57	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0x63a697…
08-10 01:14:22	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa78839…
08-09 07:11:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xb31ece…
08-08 21:14:09	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x55d22c…
08-08 14:13:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xa6e5ab…
08-08 09:18:12	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xe9e0fb…
08-08 07:04:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	SELL	385	52¢	$200	0xbdfa57…
08-08 04:00:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x3ed7e4…
08-08 01:06:42	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x94bb5b…
08-08 00:48:25	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x80ccc1…
08-08 00:17:30	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x66e475…
08-08 00:10:16	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29900f…
08-08 00:10:00	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x6cfb84…
08-08 00:09:40	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xf5b3fa…
08-08 00:09:13	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xc40598…
08-07 23:56:19	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x3e3e0c…
08-07 23:02:51	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x0d97b9…
08-07 20:32:39	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xa2fe64…
08-07 20:26:27	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x5a39f0…
08-07 19:35:48	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	183	91¢	$166	0x9596c4…
08-07 18:07:04	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb6621a…
08-07 17:40:54	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x407bc8…
08-07 16:47:43	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x69d3c6…
08-07 14:44:34	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$94	0xf6a25f…
08-07 13:50:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xa97f7b…
08-07 13:08:25	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa9cb74…
08-07 08:15:52	social security insolvent by december 31 2027 20260609210544390	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xb3eec5…
08-07 08:15:34	social security insolvent by december 31 2027 20260609210544390	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4e8235…
08-07 08:01:33	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x4af106…
08-07 07:58:19	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4f350d…
08-07 07:36:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	116	37¢	$43	0xf3d0c5…
08-07 06:36:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x2701d3…
08-07 05:11:58	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	192	91¢	$175	0x41cf42…
08-07 01:28:25	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3dff51…
08-07 00:08:06	Will Santander fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xde6530…
08-06 20:41:57	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	32	85¢	$28	0x102e85…
08-06 20:04:20	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4ffcd8…
08-06 17:44:24	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x439199…
08-06 17:24:42	Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	296	99¢	$292	0x56c496…
08-06 15:32:12	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0ec643…
08-06 15:16:44	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2ec5f9…
08-06 13:56:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x7a113c…
08-06 12:44:15	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xd754b4…
08-06 12:44:05	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x36e2da…
08-06 12:11:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x3baaac…
08-06 12:05:45	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xa9ba9f…
08-06 11:10:39	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x16bd7b…
08-06 10:06:24	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xe522f8…
08-06 08:58:30	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x391752…
08-06 08:45:03	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd2275c…
08-06 08:44:00	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x409126…
08-06 08:18:33	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x219e57…
08-06 08:03:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	86	91¢	$78	0x66d997…
08-06 07:58:48	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	90	85¢	$76	0x4f2c0f…
08-06 07:50:38	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5ba195…
08-06 07:48:51	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x2bf9b2…
08-06 07:40:15	Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4dfdff…
08-06 07:40:12	Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5e2b70…
08-06 07:33:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	349	37¢	$130	0x775293…
08-06 01:43:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	779	35¢	$273	0x359f9b…
08-06 01:26:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x4c49b1…
08-06 01:25:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0x95f047…
08-06 00:35:33	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58558b…
08-05 22:17:09	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0c2fc5…
08-05 21:18:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x195d3b…
08-05 21:17:57	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8d2b2e…
08-05 21:16:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xa67044…
08-05 19:05:06	social security insolvent by december 31 2028 20260609210544391	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfa069d…
08-05 18:47:32	social security insolvent by december 31 2028 20260609210544391	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x0aa368…
08-05 15:20:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	186	35¢	$65	0xb2c125…
08-05 14:08:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x5fbd64…
08-05 12:45:45	Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9c9f20…
08-05 08:50:48	Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xf39855…
08-05 05:35:44	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0ea1de…
08-05 05:35:23	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xb550fd…
08-05 03:43:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x756616…
08-04 21:58:36	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb50f20…
08-04 20:43:56	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xf49031…
08-04 12:00:18	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x48eca9…
08-04 09:57:18	Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x0f6fb8…
08-04 05:02:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x93493e…
08-04 02:57:03	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	917	93¢	$849	0x872b3b…
08-04 02:55:27	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xcb535f…
08-04 02:55:20	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xc00bb6…
08-04 01:36:32	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0cc92b…
08-04 01:05:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0xce423b…
08-04 00:57:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe4e3c9…
08-04 00:52:03	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x885ff8…
08-03 21:30:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	54	64¢	$35	0x23d7f6…