Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$731
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,699
lifetime
Volume
$126.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$24.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 12:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
81%
100%
+$12
Politics
16%
—
—
Tech
1%
—
—
Crypto
1%
—
—
Sports
1%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk
• peak 283 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | Yes | +3,383 | $2,905 | 95¢ | $3.2K | +$322 | 06-29 20:41 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | +3,107 | $2,606 | 94¢ | $2.9K | +$329 | 07-01 13:02 | |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | +2,142 | $2,075 | 98¢ | $2.1K | +$29 | 06-30 22:26 | |
| Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? | No | +2,083 | $2,008 | 98¢ | $2.0K | +$25 | 07-01 09:33 | |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | +1,610 | $1,510 | 97¢ | $1.6K | +$46 | 07-01 09:32 | |
| Will BNY fail by end of 2026? | No | +1,346 | $1,302 | 97¢ | $1.3K | +$1 | 07-01 00:17 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | -1,392 | $-1,037 | 90¢ | $-1246 | $-209 | 06-06 16:05 | |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | +1,277 | $1,225 | 97¢ | $1.2K | +$18 | 07-01 00:55 | |
| Will Santander fail by end of 2026? | No | +1,169 | $1,122 | 97¢ | $1.1K | +$13 | 06-30 23:21 | |
| Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? | No | +1,121 | $1,077 | 97¢ | $1.1K | +$8 | 07-01 10:15 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | No | +1,148 | $1,030 | 92¢ | $1.1K | +$32 | 06-27 01:43 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | +1,000 | $934 | 94¢ | $940 | +$6 | 06-27 01:14 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | No | -990 | $-768 | 82¢ | $-817 | $-49 | 06-23 09:05 | |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | +424 | $401 | 96¢ | $406 | +$5 | 06-28 03:44 | |
| Will Truist fail by end of 2026? | No | +398 | $383 | 98¢ | $388 | +$5 | 07-01 03:11 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | +484 | $312 | 70¢ | $339 | +$27 | 07-01 00:05 | |
| Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? | No | +335 | $312 | 97¢ | $326 | +$14 | 06-30 22:42 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | -1,055 | $-327 | 26¢ | $-274 | +$52 | 06-29 02:09 | |
| Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? | No | +241 | $232 | 98¢ | $235 | +$4 | 06-30 23:24 | |
| Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | No | -239 | $-236 | 98¢ | $-233 | +$2 | 06-30 23:58 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | No | +264 | $222 | 80¢ | $210 | $-12 | 06-25 23:13 | |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30? | No | +204 | $198 | 100¢ | $203 | +$5 | 06-30 18:28 | |
| Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? | No | +146 | $140 | 97¢ | $141 | +$1 | 06-30 23:57 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | -268 | $-202 | 51¢ | $-137 | +$65 | 07-01 00:04 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | No | -106 | $-92 | 90¢ | $-96 | $-4 | 06-05 10:39 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | -114 | $-92 | 81¢ | $-93 | $-0 | 06-24 13:00 | |
| Will BMO fail by end of 2026? | No | -62 | $-62 | 99¢ | $-61 | +$0 | 06-30 23:15 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | -263 | $-50 | 20¢ | $-54 | $-4 | 06-05 17:17 | |
| Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? | No | +50 | $48 | 97¢ | $49 | +$0 | 06-30 23:23 | |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | -36 | $-35 | 98¢ | $-35 | $-0 | 06-24 01:01 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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