Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$926
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,967
lifetime
Volume
$154.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$27.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
79% 100% +$12
Politics
17%
Crypto
2%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +7,247 $6,648 97¢ $7.1K +$414 07-22 16:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +3,489 $2,960 95¢ $3.3K +$354 07-21 10:52
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +2,485 $2,411 98¢ $2.4K +$20 07-20 12:01
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +2,419 $2,349 98¢ $2.4K +$32 07-20 07:35
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? No +2,144 $2,066 98¢ $2.1K +$27 07-18 13:06
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? No +1,391 $1,341 98¢ $1.4K +$20 07-08 16:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -1,392 $-1,037 84¢ $-1177 $-139 06-06 16:05
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +1,655 $1,216 71¢ $1.2K $-41 07-22 15:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No -990 $-768 80¢ $-792 $-24 06-23 09:05
Will Truist fail by end of 2026? No +629 $606 98¢ $614 +$8 07-20 07:41
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No +600 $558 97¢ $580 +$22 07-09 20:29
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +561 $522 96¢ $536 +$14 07-09 09:20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No -510 $-534 94¢ $-482 +$52 07-22 17:50
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? No +491 $476 98¢ $480 +$5 07-16 23:50
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? No -479 $-472 98¢ $-472 +$0 07-02 07:52
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? No +475 $439 97¢ $462 +$23 07-09 10:19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes -1,108 $-339 29¢ $-316 +$23 07-17 09:49
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? No +295 $212 97¢ $286 +$74 07-20 07:39
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +1,310 $269 18¢ $236 $-33 07-13 18:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes -288 $-217 78¢ $-225 $-8 07-21 20:46
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +212 $195 94¢ $199 +$4 07-12 07:43
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? No -128 $-126 98¢ $-125 +$1 07-01 19:30
Will BNY fail by end of 2026? No +128 $107 97¢ $123 +$16 07-20 07:40
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? No +120 $117 98¢ $117 +$1 07-09 20:28
Will RBC fail by end of 2026? No +109 $106 96¢ $104 $-1 07-18 13:06
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -114 $-92 83¢ $-95 $-3 06-24 13:00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No -106 $-92 90¢ $-95 $-3 06-05 10:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +124 $45 74¢ $92 +$47 07-20 19:38
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +94 $90 98¢ $92 +$2 07-03 08:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No +90 $60 88¢ $79 +$19 07-20 15:30