Quarterly-Everyone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.34K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

11,365

Trades

50,661

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-28 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Other

72% 25% +$2,244

Sports

11% 20% +$452

Crypto

10% 29% +$211

Politics

5% 52% +$406

Tech

1% 70% +$29

Pop-Culture

0% 10% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		-47	-$1	1¢	$-1	$0	05-21 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trumps remarks not air 20260803134026628	67	$156	1,566	1,252	+314	No	+$151	08-03 18:18
atp schoolk ymer 2026 03 03 first set total 9pt5	5	$148	137	148	-11	Over	+$176	03-04 00:20
will ethereum reach 1800 on june 17	20	$121	400	400	+0	Yes	+$119	06-17 20:26
Birmingham: Completed Match: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken	4	$120	58	121	-63	Yes	+$56	06-02 13:47
lal bil vil 2026 04 12 halftime result draw	10	$105	205	115	+89	No	+$178	04-12 19:52
sc2 reynor zoun 2026 03 07 game2	3	$101	162	100	+62	Zoun	+$78	03-07 10:50
Wang vs. Yuan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$100	180	99	+81	Under	+$96	04-30 06:55
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$88	100	100	+0	Over	+$87	09-02 19:54
lol es ijc 2026 04 16 game1 odd even total kills	5	$85	50	85	-35	Odd	+$49	04-16 17:27
dota2 1win yes 2026 04 01 game2 first blood	2	$75	118	74	+44	1win	+$116	04-01 19:18
dota2 wb nemiga 2026 03 21 game2 ends in daytime	5	$68	60	73	-13	No	+$39	03-21 16:40
cs2 yn pha 2026 02 21 game2	5	$67	57	80	-23	Young Ninjas	+$19	02-21 19:10
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 shots romelu lukaku gte2	3	$66	70	70	+0	No	+$65	06-21 20:35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	5	$60	115	59	+56	No	+$87	04-26 18:02
lol jdg al 2026 02 26 game handicap away 2pt5	3	$59	133	59	+74	Anyone's Legend	+$64	02-26 11:22
Exact Score: NAC Breda 0 - 2 SC Heerenveen?	5	$59	72	59	+13	No	+$59	05-11 12:52
Exact Score: NAC Breda 0 - 1 SC Heerenveen?	3	$59	60	59	+1	No	+$59	05-11 12:45
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	219	$56	553	520	+33	Yes	+$64	04-25 02:25
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	94	$55	6,656	7,635	-979	Yes	+$22	02-28 11:55
will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	9	$54	68	106	-39	No	+$31	04-03 23:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	44	$53	66	70	-5	No	+$24	05-31 15:18
Will Marco Penge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?	19	$53	699	614	+85	No	+$49	05-07 18:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	203	$53	5,049	3,952	+1,098	No	+$18	03-01 09:34
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 30c	24	$52	757	83	+675	Yes	+$39	03-18 20:07
lol me1 s2g 2026 03 06 game2	20	$51	1,187	642	+546	Misa Esports	+$42	03-06 17:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15?	17	$49	94	54	+40	Yes	+$45	10-15 17:16
u20wwc mex ben 2026 09 05 team total away 0pt5	14	$47	107	76	+32	Over	+$59	09-05 06:46
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 shots ismail yuksek gte3	6	$46	101	45	+56	Yes	+$43	06-14 05:19
nba nop phx 2026 03 06 assists trey murphy iii 3pt5	3	$46	28	46	-17	Yes	+$44	03-07 04:54
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 shots ismail yuksek gte2	5	$45	100	44	+56	Yes	+$42	06-14 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:41:11	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc990fb…
10-28 17:10:08	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x74b23c…
10-28 17:09:50	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc52fe5…
10-28 17:08:47	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf17e42…
10-28 17:03:25	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xcf849f…
10-28 14:06:20	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xefc996…
10-28 13:32:35	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0xdc7b81…
10-28 12:25:32	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x01e8a0…
10-28 12:20:13	Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x873d99…
10-28 11:52:31	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xa0f2ee…
10-28 11:28:08	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9794a…
10-28 11:02:16	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	Alliance	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x1ca8e8…
10-28 10:53:16	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xb1189c…
10-28 10:45:08	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe962fa…
10-28 10:44:59	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xaba045…
10-28 10:42:50	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x782ca1…
10-28 10:42:13	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x80ab43…
10-28 10:26:23	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x34088a…
10-28 10:25:10	Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x9d64ff…
10-28 09:48:04	Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x053ba6…
10-28 09:47:17	Will Mačva be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x5d9def…
10-28 08:40:11	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Team Flash (BO5) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs	Team Flash	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3cb7f6…
10-28 07:54:25	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xa73b98…
10-28 07:51:40	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xeb0688…
10-28 07:51:38	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xca0375…
10-28 07:51:08	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x3906de…
10-28 07:51:01	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc695b0…
10-28 07:51:01	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x987223…
10-28 07:51:01	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x7ba336…
10-28 07:51:01	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x64484e…
10-28 07:51:01	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x30c000…
10-28 07:46:31	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xead7cd…
10-28 06:47:14	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 1,099.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x6eee30…
10-28 06:44:43	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x50a6a4…
10-28 05:18:50	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x107917…
10-28 01:58:51	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xa3457e…
10-28 01:58:17	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x1b996b…
10-27 22:00:17	Spread: JOS Watergraafsmeer (-1.5)	JOS Watergraafsmeer	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x5d8a5e…
10-27 20:54:59	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x12194e…
10-27 20:53:02	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x9f0869…
10-27 20:53:00	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa26205…
10-27 20:52:57	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 Winner	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xad4ded…
10-27 20:36:15	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7c376a…
10-27 20:34:27	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x9ccd4a…
10-27 20:25:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa3d0a0…
10-27 20:24:42	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x20c464…
10-27 20:24:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x259c7a…
10-27 19:06:20	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x9bcc10…
10-27 18:27:12	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xfdcfd7…
10-27 16:17:59	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x767f27…
10-27 14:02:18	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x20b7c7…
10-27 13:58:57	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4dd911…
10-27 12:55:17	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd989d6…
10-27 12:54:00	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf93a37…
10-27 12:54:00	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x131a31…
10-27 12:53:59	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe1da7c…
10-27 12:53:59	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x415339…
10-27 12:48:41	Spread: JOS Watergraafsmeer (-2.5)	JOS Watergraafsmeer	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x132b76…
10-27 10:07:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xff0890…
10-27 10:06:23	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x87ff31…
10-27 02:14:47	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x84a7dc…
10-26 23:59:17	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xd53da2…
10-26 23:55:41	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xff2fee…
10-26 23:55:41	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x2c44ce…
10-26 23:55:41	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x00529d…
10-26 23:45:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbae3d4…
10-26 23:45:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44807f…
10-26 23:06:36	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8b981e…
10-26 22:59:21	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x1c8888…
10-26 22:57:30	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5ebe15…
10-26 22:22:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x50f463…
10-26 22:22:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x163290…
10-26 21:49:35	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil - Map 2 Winner	G2 Gozen	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x6a8ecc…
10-26 21:49:23	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	G2 Gozen	BUY	365	0¢	$0	0xa59d06…
10-26 21:46:03	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil - Map 2 Winner	G2 Gozen	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xf87504…
10-26 21:45:53	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil - Map 2 Winner	G2 Gozen	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc12fb3…
10-26 21:44:12	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x097bd1…
10-26 21:21:11	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf9abe6…
10-26 21:17:15	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xacc96f…
10-26 21:17:15	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x02f59c…
10-26 21:07:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf4849d…
10-26 21:04:02	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x50c50d…
10-26 20:50:20	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil - Map 1 Winner	G2 Gozen	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xcd268f…
10-26 20:48:26	Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Team Liquid Brazil - Map 1 Winner	G2 Gozen	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xa23463…
10-26 20:28:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Messi	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x332304…
10-26 19:32:26	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7aaf52…
10-26 19:32:26	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6be168…
10-26 18:30:11	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0xd7ce79…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf3d853…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xedec17…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x94209b…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5d60eb…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2575eb…
10-26 17:45:09	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0b33d8…
10-26 17:21:06	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x99d8dd…
10-26 16:24:26	Nueva Chicago vs. San Martin de San Juan: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x546eca…
10-26 15:57:12	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	4¢	$0	0x5e5d0d…
10-26 14:39:14	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf1d243…
10-26 14:20:02	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x1a31b0…
10-26 14:01:54	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x8c08ca…