Realized P&L
+$132
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
279
Trades
36,447
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$9
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 07-20 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
70% 29% +$104
Sports
13% 27% +$4
Crypto
12% 26% +$24
Politics
4%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $-0 40¢ $5 +$6 06-06 15:54
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes -24 $-3 10¢ $-2 +$0 07-06 11:53
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-12 17:17
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-01 03:08
Will RBC fail by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-09 21:17
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-30 23:15
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250? Yes -19 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-25 17:58
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-29 22:29
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-01 21:56
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-15 14:16
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-02 05:58
Spread: CDT RealOruro (-2.5) CDT RealOruro +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-30 21:05
Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-24 18:06
Will Gigi Patta as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? Yes +3 $-0 $0 +$0 04-08 20:46