Quarterly-Everyone — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

112

50,925 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$23

$18.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-30 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 252 days

Categories

Other

72% 25% +$2,256

Sports

11% 20% +$452

Crypto

10% 29% +$211

Politics

5% 52% +$404

Tech

1% 70% +$29

Pop-Culture

0% 10% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		-47	-$1	2¢	$-1	$0	05-21 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trumps remarks not air 20260803134026628	67	$156	1,566	1,252	+314	No	+$151	08-03 18:18
atp schoolk ymer 2026 03 03 first set total 9pt5	5	$148	137	148	-11	Over	+$176	03-04 00:20
will ethereum reach 1800 on june 17	20	$121	400	400	+0	Yes	+$119	06-17 20:26
Birmingham: Completed Match: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken	4	$120	58	121	-63	Yes	+$56	06-02 13:47
lal bil vil 2026 04 12 halftime result draw	10	$105	205	115	+89	No	+$178	04-12 19:52
sc2 reynor zoun 2026 03 07 game2	3	$101	162	100	+62	Zoun	+$78	03-07 10:50
Wang vs. Yuan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$100	180	99	+81	Under	+$96	04-30 06:55
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$88	100	100	+0	Over	+$87	09-02 19:54
lol es ijc 2026 04 16 game1 odd even total kills	5	$85	50	85	-35	Odd	+$49	04-16 17:27
dota2 1win yes 2026 04 01 game2 first blood	2	$75	118	74	+44	1win	+$116	04-01 19:18
dota2 wb nemiga 2026 03 21 game2 ends in daytime	5	$68	60	73	-13	No	+$39	03-21 16:40
cs2 yn pha 2026 02 21 game2	5	$67	57	80	-23	Young Ninjas	+$19	02-21 19:10
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 shots romelu lukaku gte2	3	$66	70	70	+0	No	+$65	06-21 20:35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	5	$60	115	59	+56	No	+$87	04-26 18:02
lol jdg al 2026 02 26 game handicap away 2pt5	3	$59	133	59	+74	Anyone's Legend	+$64	02-26 11:22
Exact Score: NAC Breda 0 - 2 SC Heerenveen?	5	$59	72	59	+13	No	+$59	05-11 12:52
Exact Score: NAC Breda 0 - 1 SC Heerenveen?	3	$59	60	59	+1	No	+$59	05-11 12:45
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	219	$56	553	520	+33	Yes	+$64	04-25 02:25
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	94	$55	6,656	7,635	-979	Yes	+$22	02-28 11:55
will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	9	$54	68	106	-39	No	+$31	04-03 23:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	44	$53	66	70	-5	No	+$24	05-31 15:18
Will Marco Penge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?	19	$53	699	614	+85	No	+$49	05-07 18:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	203	$53	5,049	3,952	+1,098	No	+$18	03-01 09:34
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 30c	24	$52	757	83	+675	Yes	+$39	03-18 20:07
lol me1 s2g 2026 03 06 game2	20	$51	1,187	642	+546	Misa Esports	+$42	03-06 17:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15?	17	$49	94	54	+40	Yes	+$45	10-15 17:16
u20wwc mex ben 2026 09 05 team total away 0pt5	14	$47	107	76	+32	Over	+$59	09-05 06:46
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 shots ismail yuksek gte3	6	$46	101	45	+56	Yes	+$43	06-14 05:19
nba nop phx 2026 03 06 assists trey murphy iii 3pt5	3	$46	28	46	-17	Yes	+$44	03-07 04:54
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 shots ismail yuksek gte2	5	$45	100	44	+56	Yes	+$42	06-14 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:35:33	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x80ff0a…
10-30 09:40:48	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0x4d9cc9…
10-30 08:27:30	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xed9513…
10-30 08:21:18	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8fb2f8…
10-30 08:21:10	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xd282a0…
10-30 08:21:03	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd660b6…
10-30 07:27:19	Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc06c47…
10-30 07:09:12	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x91a424…
10-30 06:56:33	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x5d3e22…
10-30 06:44:04	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xe5906c…
10-30 06:33:46	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xb47d27…
10-30 04:52:06	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x7eea37…
10-30 04:22:22	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xf6f683…
10-30 04:12:54	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x8d7690…
10-30 04:12:48	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2829d8…
10-30 04:12:39	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xba289a…
10-30 02:25:55	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $257.5B by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x221722…
10-30 02:25:15	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x88354f…
10-30 01:11:49	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x9119b2…
10-30 01:09:19	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x48d7bb…
10-30 01:01:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 45% or more?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x45f4c0…
10-30 00:56:25	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa19873…
10-30 00:21:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x52d65e…
10-30 00:14:52	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x998e1c…
10-30 00:14:52	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	839	0¢	$1	0x45afa7…
10-30 00:14:51	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	342	0¢	$0	0x7e164e…
10-30 00:14:45	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xb16ec2…
10-30 00:14:42	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9f5189…
10-29 23:55:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xff77ba…
10-29 23:55:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x523a6d…
10-29 23:25:03	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2ebce1…
10-29 22:57:27	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x424e63…
10-29 21:49:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x71f434…
10-29 21:23:30	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x252e1c…
10-29 21:19:07	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x53826d…
10-29 20:41:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x00c142…
10-29 20:16:51	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 1,099.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4e65f0…
10-29 20:16:30	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 1,099.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x67f205…
10-29 20:16:09	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 1,099.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd1fbc9…
10-29 20:08:04	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc4478b…
10-29 20:08:04	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8f4cba…
10-29 19:44:28	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0aa522…
10-29 19:44:27	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xccd79a…
10-29 19:44:27	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc827fb…
10-29 19:40:21	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x8f2ce9…
10-29 19:30:49	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x6f1e79…
10-29 19:24:36	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x3542a0…
10-29 19:23:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 40% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe5284b…
10-29 19:23:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xad5add…
10-29 19:23:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6412ae…
10-29 19:12:54	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x66ea23…
10-29 17:50:55	JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	No	BUY	1,286	0¢	$1	0x7c7cfc…
10-29 17:46:26	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x3001ef…
10-29 17:44:02	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xff2548…
10-29 17:41:46	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xaae7e5…
10-29 17:41:46	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x37d97b…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf4643d…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xafd9a4…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6d1e11…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c1e4c…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x4fff60…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4c8dec…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4a54d7…
10-29 17:41:44	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x14c96f…
10-29 17:37:04	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x3ffb68…
10-29 17:31:47	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb8b02b…
10-29 17:31:28	Will US win less than 35% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xe9f283…
10-29 17:31:25	Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xeec518…
10-29 17:31:20	Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xd46f0b…
10-29 17:31:16	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xf09c26…
10-29 17:11:32	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	42	6¢	$2	0x35c5b3…
10-29 15:15:50	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5ef1eb…
10-29 15:10:34	Will Carlos Rotondi (Cruz Azul) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xac9275…
10-29 15:03:07	Will 07 Vestur be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2f8dd1…
10-29 15:02:19	Will Jeremiyah Love have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0ab65b…
10-29 14:48:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 18%-21%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc33f6d…
10-29 14:48:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x211844…
10-29 14:28:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3d601b…
10-29 14:18:23	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x31fcd9…
10-29 13:55:43	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf9fbc…
10-29 12:33:29	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x1f8cca…
10-29 12:01:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf0ecdd…
10-29 10:55:17	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$0	0xe02246…
10-29 10:49:17	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xcb22e4…
10-29 10:49:14	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x046a95…
10-29 10:44:25	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x37d5cb…
10-29 10:42:41	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xec948f…
10-29 10:39:02	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x407f52…
10-29 10:35:58	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x2fa4b5…
10-29 10:32:56	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xa0feb4…
10-29 10:32:02	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xe24fd8…
10-29 10:31:29	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes - Completed match?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2ddd58…
10-29 10:17:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0824e2…
10-29 10:16:53	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4e4c8a…
10-29 10:03:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x38e114…
10-29 10:02:50	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x83ff53…
10-29 10:00:28	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x70b05a…
10-29 10:00:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6f3af3…
10-29 10:00:02	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0c2673…
10-29 10:00:01	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x3a216c…