Quarterly-Everyone — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

733

50,830 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$178

$18.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-29 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Other

72% 25% +$2,257

Sports

11% 20% +$452

Crypto

10% 29% +$211

Politics

5% 52% +$406

Tech

1% 70% +$29

Pop-Culture

0% 10% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		-47	-$1	2¢	$-1	$0	05-21 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trumps remarks not air 20260803134026628	67	$156	1,566	1,252	+314	No	+$151	08-03 18:18
atp schoolk ymer 2026 03 03 first set total 9pt5	5	$148	137	148	-11	Over	+$176	03-04 00:20
will ethereum reach 1800 on june 17	20	$121	400	400	+0	Yes	+$119	06-17 20:26
Birmingham: Completed Match: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken	4	$120	58	121	-63	Yes	+$56	06-02 13:47
lal bil vil 2026 04 12 halftime result draw	10	$105	205	115	+89	No	+$178	04-12 19:52
sc2 reynor zoun 2026 03 07 game2	3	$101	162	100	+62	Zoun	+$78	03-07 10:50
Wang vs. Yuan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	3	$100	180	99	+81	Under	+$96	04-30 06:55
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$88	100	100	+0	Over	+$87	09-02 19:54
lol es ijc 2026 04 16 game1 odd even total kills	5	$85	50	85	-35	Odd	+$49	04-16 17:27
dota2 1win yes 2026 04 01 game2 first blood	2	$75	118	74	+44	1win	+$116	04-01 19:18
dota2 wb nemiga 2026 03 21 game2 ends in daytime	5	$68	60	73	-13	No	+$39	03-21 16:40
cs2 yn pha 2026 02 21 game2	5	$67	57	80	-23	Young Ninjas	+$19	02-21 19:10
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 shots romelu lukaku gte2	3	$66	70	70	+0	No	+$65	06-21 20:35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	5	$60	115	59	+56	No	+$87	04-26 18:02
lol jdg al 2026 02 26 game handicap away 2pt5	3	$59	133	59	+74	Anyone's Legend	+$64	02-26 11:22
Exact Score: NAC Breda 0 - 2 SC Heerenveen?	5	$59	72	59	+13	No	+$59	05-11 12:52
Exact Score: NAC Breda 0 - 1 SC Heerenveen?	3	$59	60	59	+1	No	+$59	05-11 12:45
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	219	$56	553	520	+33	Yes	+$64	04-25 02:25
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	94	$55	6,656	7,635	-979	Yes	+$22	02-28 11:55
will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	9	$54	68	106	-39	No	+$31	04-03 23:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	44	$53	66	70	-5	No	+$24	05-31 15:18
Will Marco Penge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?	19	$53	699	614	+85	No	+$49	05-07 18:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	203	$53	5,049	3,952	+1,098	No	+$18	03-01 09:34
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 30c	24	$52	757	83	+675	Yes	+$39	03-18 20:07
lol me1 s2g 2026 03 06 game2	20	$51	1,187	642	+546	Misa Esports	+$42	03-06 17:08
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15?	17	$49	94	54	+40	Yes	+$45	10-15 17:16
u20wwc mex ben 2026 09 05 team total away 0pt5	14	$47	107	76	+32	Over	+$59	09-05 06:46
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 shots ismail yuksek gte3	6	$46	101	45	+56	Yes	+$43	06-14 05:19
nba nop phx 2026 03 06 assists trey murphy iii 3pt5	3	$46	28	46	-17	Yes	+$44	03-07 04:54
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 shots ismail yuksek gte2	5	$45	100	44	+56	Yes	+$42	06-14 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:15:50	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5ef1eb…
10-29 15:10:34	Will Carlos Rotondi (Cruz Azul) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xac9275…
10-29 15:03:07	Will 07 Vestur be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2f8dd1…
10-29 15:02:19	Will Jeremiyah Love have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0ab65b…
10-29 14:48:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 18%-21%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc33f6d…
10-29 14:48:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x211844…
10-29 14:28:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3d601b…
10-29 14:18:23	Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x31fcd9…
10-29 13:55:43	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf9fbc…
10-29 12:33:29	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x1f8cca…
10-29 12:01:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf0ecdd…
10-29 10:55:17	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$0	0xe02246…
10-29 10:49:17	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xcb22e4…
10-29 10:49:14	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x046a95…
10-29 10:44:25	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x37d5cb…
10-29 10:42:41	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xec948f…
10-29 10:39:02	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x407f52…
10-29 10:35:58	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x2fa4b5…
10-29 10:32:56	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xa0feb4…
10-29 10:32:02	Will Kuching City FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xe24fd8…
10-29 10:31:29	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes - Completed match?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2ddd58…
10-29 10:17:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0824e2…
10-29 10:16:53	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4e4c8a…
10-29 10:03:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x38e114…
10-29 10:02:50	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x83ff53…
10-29 10:00:28	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x70b05a…
10-29 10:00:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6f3af3…
10-29 10:00:02	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0c2673…
10-29 10:00:01	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x3a216c…
10-29 09:58:59	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	56	1¢	$0	0xcd5324…
10-29 09:57:52	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x140ec3…
10-29 08:05:10	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xfb76c2…
10-29 08:00:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x099ed3…
10-29 07:31:55	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x01ae93…
10-29 07:28:59	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 92%+?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xf4b317…
10-29 05:39:34	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc78f5c…
10-29 03:52:53	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x51eb25…
10-29 03:52:41	Gemini Carbon released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1ea9e9…
10-29 03:52:10	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x62f7bd…
10-29 03:51:05	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x350e06…
10-29 03:49:02	Will Brest qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe4dbaf…
10-29 02:17:50	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xee71f5…
10-29 01:36:07	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6ab1f9…
10-29 01:31:28	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa18687…
10-28 23:49:17	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x3fbad2…
10-28 23:25:11	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x112af3…
10-28 22:57:55	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe88d75…
10-28 22:57:55	Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xdfc5de…
10-28 22:57:55	Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6ff39a…
10-28 22:57:55	Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x374f6d…
10-28 22:34:01	christine lagarde out as ecb president by march 31 2027	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7e3a9b…
10-28 21:46:02	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 92%+?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x31441f…
10-28 21:46:01	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 92%+?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xad25d4…
10-28 21:43:32	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x11ab94…
10-28 21:39:31	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc5fcd8…
10-28 21:11:58	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa966cb…
10-28 21:11:58	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8423d9…
10-28 21:06:38	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x73c705…
10-28 21:04:34	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd134cd…
10-28 20:31:58	Will NAC Breda win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xc192f7…
10-28 20:13:37	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xcd80cd…
10-28 20:07:08	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5b9888…
10-28 20:03:11	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0xb7dcef…
10-28 20:02:37	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x73a27d…
10-28 20:02:37	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x65122a…
10-28 20:02:25	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6d3952…
10-28 20:02:20	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x904ae5…
10-28 20:02:02	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9047d9…
10-28 20:02:01	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb41f2c…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xc8355d…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $64B?	Yes	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0xc39ba8…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $66B?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xb37b07…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9f4d01…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $64B?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x42a8de…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x3c4ee6…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $68B?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2b6c8d…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $67B?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2a585d…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $65B?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x246ab6…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $64B?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x02cb99…
10-28 19:30:16	Will NAC Breda win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x7ef20c…
10-28 19:30:10	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x46d4a1…
10-28 19:29:10	Will NAC Breda win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x397b76…
10-28 19:01:52	Morris College Hornets vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs	Morris College Hornets	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xf585a4…
10-28 18:41:37	Will Aleksander Čeferin be the next President of FIFA?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbe4924…
10-28 18:41:37	Will Nasser Al-Khelaifi be the next President of FIFA?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x58620c…
10-28 18:35:28	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xaa78cc…
10-28 17:41:11	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc990fb…
10-28 17:10:08	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x74b23c…
10-28 17:09:50	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc52fe5…
10-28 17:08:47	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf17e42…
10-28 17:03:25	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xcf849f…
10-28 14:06:20	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xefc996…
10-28 13:32:35	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0xdc7b81…
10-28 12:25:32	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x01e8a0…
10-28 12:20:13	Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x873d99…
10-28 11:52:31	Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xa0f2ee…
10-28 11:28:08	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes - Completed match?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb9794a…
10-28 11:02:16	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	Alliance	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x1ca8e8…
10-28 10:53:16	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xb1189c…
10-28 10:45:08	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe962fa…