Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
open
Total volume
$3,059
Trades
168
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$12,553
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-06 03:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $35 | $582 | $547 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $77 | $263 | $186 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $16 | $250 | $234 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $20 | — | +$20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $83 | $48 | +$35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $307 | $306 |
| Median | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Below median | 9 | $6 | $157 | $151 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $23 | $102 | $79 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | $192 | $189 |
| unranked | 21 | $24 | $289 | $265 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | +324 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-29 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +179 | $4 | $33 | 6 | 08-06 03:25 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +161 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 07-02 02:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +103 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-06 03:25 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +86 | $83 | $83 | 3 | 08-01 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 03:25 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 15:48 |
| Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $5 | 4 | 08-06 03:25 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-06 03:27 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-30 15:48 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-06 03:27 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-06 03:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 03:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0be99f… |
| 08-06 03:27:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0be99f… |
| 08-06 03:27:21 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x02a0c6… |
| 08-06 03:27:21 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x02a0c6… |
| 08-06 03:27:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x02a0c6… |
| 08-06 03:27:20 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x40d895… |
| 08-06 03:27:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x40d895… |
| 08-06 03:27:15 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x853cf0… |
| 08-06 03:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x853cf0… |
| 08-06 03:27:15 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x853cf0… |
| 08-06 03:27:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9dcb2c… |
| 08-06 03:27:12 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9dcb2c… |
| 08-06 03:27:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbe6fd0… |
| 08-06 03:27:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbe6fd0… |
| 08-06 03:27:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc82375… |
| 08-06 03:27:06 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc82375… |
| 08-06 03:27:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9290d3… |
| 08-06 03:27:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9290d3… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 600 | 97¢ | $584 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 48 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 179 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 1,436 | 3¢ | $39 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-06 03:25:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x271ecf… |
| 08-01 13:02:38 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7cf400… |
| 08-01 13:02:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x7cf400… |
| 08-01 13:02:38 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x7cf400… |
| 07-31 22:11:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x91213a… |
| 07-31 22:11:29 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x91213a… |
| 07-31 05:41:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdfcc39… |
| 07-31 05:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdfcc39… |
| 07-30 22:45:42 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbcfd5c… |
| 07-30 22:45:42 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0xbcfd5c… |
| 07-30 10:40:26 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbda9b… |
| 07-30 10:40:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfbda9b… |
| 07-30 03:46:24 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 620 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x35c112… |
| 07-30 03:46:24 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 159 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x35c112… |
| 07-30 03:46:24 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x35c112… |
| 07-30 03:46:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 329 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x35c112… |
| 07-30 03:46:24 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x35c112… |
| 07-30 03:46:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x35c112… |
| 07-29 14:52:45 | (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | BUY | 324 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x9e5cc8… |
| 07-29 14:52:45 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x9e5cc8… |
| 07-29 14:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9e5cc8… |
| 07-29 14:52:45 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 244 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x9e5cc8… |
| 07-27 16:32:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0xca623c… |
| 07-27 16:32:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 58 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xca623c… |
| 07-26 15:29:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x160f9b… |
| 07-26 15:29:31 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x160f9b… |
| 07-26 09:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 162 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x405b91… |
| 07-26 09:00:48 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 213 | 97¢ | $207 | 0x405b91… |
| 07-26 09:00:48 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 774 | 3¢ | $23 | 0x405b91… |
| 07-26 09:00:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 399 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x405b91… |
| 07-26 08:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaa522b… |
| 07-26 08:59:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xaa522b… |
| 07-26 08:58:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xae16f8… |
| 07-26 08:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xae16f8… |
| 07-26 08:57:42 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa088ef… |
| 07-26 08:57:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa088ef… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 487 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 87 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 167 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-26 08:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc67864… |
| 07-25 14:26:16 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x8caeb2… |
| 07-25 14:26:16 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x8caeb2… |
| 07-25 12:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x35c092… |
| 07-25 12:40:21 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x35c092… |
| 07-25 12:40:15 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x516df1… |
| 07-25 12:40:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x516df1… |
| 07-25 12:40:07 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x291530… |
| 07-25 12:40:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x291530… |
| 07-25 12:33:45 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xc4232d… |
| 07-25 12:33:45 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xc4232d… |
| 07-25 12:32:48 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x977b17… |
| 07-25 12:32:48 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x977b17… |
| 07-25 12:32:22 | Frozen-Mansion 0xdf3f…0aa4 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x5a1300… |
| 07-25 12:32:22 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x5a1300… |
| 07-25 12:30:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xc2cf6e… |
| 07-25 12:30:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xc2cf6e… |
| 07-25 12:30:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x42e827… |
| 07-25 12:30:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x42e827… |
| 07-25 12:30:45 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xd55737… |