Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
open
Total volume
$379
Trades
37
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$12,553
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-08 17:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $136 | $136 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $7 | $68 | $61 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $106 | $106 |
| Median | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $31 | $31 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | $68 | $65 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic-Root 0xd085…e963 | Yes | +186 | $6 | $8 | 2 | 06-08 17:12 |
| Blaring-Inhibition 0x5c7b…d463 | Yes | +116 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 18:37 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +90 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 06-07 06:04 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 15:48 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-30 15:48 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +26 | $25 | $187 | 2 | 05-30 15:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 17:12:03 | Athletic-Root 0xd085…e963 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1520e0… |
| 06-08 17:12:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x1520e0… |
| 06-08 13:41:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9fe53f… |
| 06-08 13:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9fe53f… |
| 06-08 13:38:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xed1f31… |
| 06-08 13:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xed1f31… |
| 06-08 13:38:36 | Athletic-Root 0xd085…e963 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xed1f31… |
| 06-08 13:38:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xed1f31… |
| 06-08 13:38:36 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xed1f31… |
| 06-08 13:38:36 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xed1f31… |
| 06-07 06:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x148290… |
| 06-07 06:04:48 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x148290… |
| 06-07 06:04:43 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf129ba… |
| 06-07 06:04:43 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf129ba… |
| 06-07 06:03:54 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x76a55a… |
| 06-07 06:03:54 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x76a55a… |
| 06-07 06:03:51 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5b623f… |
| 06-07 06:03:51 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5b623f… |
| 06-07 06:03:51 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5b623f… |
| 06-07 06:03:37 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x86b2b2… |
| 06-07 06:03:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x86b2b2… |
| 06-07 04:59:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x27dd78… |
| 06-07 04:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x0931…8bea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x27dd78… |
| 06-07 04:34:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb354d1… |
| 06-07 04:34:04 | (anonymous) 0x7436…8b6a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb354d1… |
| 05-31 01:39:36 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7a5fb6… |
| 05-31 01:39:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7a5fb6… |
| 05-31 01:39:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7a5fb6… |
| 05-30 15:48:22 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3c4bee… |
| 05-30 15:48:22 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x3c4bee… |
| 05-30 15:48:20 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf64203… |
| 05-30 15:48:20 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 110 | 96¢ | $106 | 0xf64203… |
| 05-30 15:48:20 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf64203… |
| 05-30 15:48:20 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf64203… |
| 05-28 18:37:03 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 84 | 96¢ | $81 | 0x34fa5c… |
| 05-28 18:37:03 | Giant-Strength 0x7455…0432 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x34fa5c… |
| 05-28 18:37:03 | Blaring-Inhibition 0x5c7b…d463 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x34fa5c… |