Shimmering-Contour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$353

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

107

Trades

41,734

lifetime

Volume

$57.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-28 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Sports

74% 36% +$344

Other

24% 32% +$16

Politics

2% 20% $-6

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 3922 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes		-5	$-1	20¢	$-1	+$0	05-28 23:04
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Hilal Saudi Club		+0	$4	0¢	$0	$-4	05-05 18:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3,279	$3.5K	58,137	84,758	-26,620	open	—	02-27 22:07
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,452	$2.5K	19,663	25,049	-5,386	open	—	04-08 03:10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,793	$2.5K	16,219	18,692	-2,473	open	—	04-28 09:51
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	473	$2.3K	3,980	4,507	-527	open	—	02-09 02:10
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,669	$2.1K	33,909	41,360	-7,451	open	—	04-14 13:03
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,887	$2.0K	55,359	76,408	-21,050	open	—	04-18 03:23
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	581	$1.7K	12,905	20,139	-7,234	open	—	01-17 23:08
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	496	$1.6K	5,795	6,274	-479	open	—	02-09 00:49
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1,543	$1.4K	45,777	80,357	-34,580	open	—	02-27 08:59
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1,661	$1.3K	21,935	25,772	-3,838	open	—	02-18 21:19
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,634	$1.3K	58,150	77,482	-19,332	No	+$209	04-26 23:33
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	158	$1.2K	956	1,086	-130	Yes	$-63	04-24 19:02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	904	$1.1K	10,901	12,609	-1,707	open	—	04-20 02:30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	175	$1.1K	5,185	5,936	-751	open	—	04-28 09:54
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	730	$1.1K	10,205	11,523	-1,318	open	—	04-15 09:28
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	595	$1.0K	18,678	19,332	-655	open	—	04-24 11:46
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	68	$994	1,146	1,488	-341	open	—	02-25 08:59
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	532	$945	49,821	58,067	-8,246	open	—	02-26 17:49
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	855	$775	15,704	20,731	-5,026	No	+$116	03-04 04:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	802	$770	15,806	19,133	-3,328	No	+$84	04-10 21:39
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	632	$768	27,288	35,981	-8,694	open	—	04-18 06:19
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	745	$643	33,371	40,121	-6,750	open	—	04-28 06:13
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	663	$630	14,598	14,746	-148	open	—	03-04 11:43
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$625	24,892	28,017	-3,125	open	—	03-01 17:27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	438	$570	30,627	39,727	-9,099	open	—	04-28 09:08
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	119	$565	843	830	+12	No	$-3	04-12 08:19
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	187	$544	2,504	2,591	-87	open	—	05-11 01:10
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	220	$540	2,852	2,922	-70	open	—	01-25 20:16
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	318	$459	3,667	3,737	-71	open	—	01-11 19:06
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	54	$432	306	306	-1	open	—	04-12 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 23:04:15	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xcec11b…
05-26 16:14:51	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6f69ba…
05-21 20:10:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4bd750…
05-21 17:10:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x756740…
05-21 10:31:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x3dd0bb…
05-21 08:31:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xb7864a…
05-21 05:26:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x763b62…
05-21 03:04:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xc3af7b…
05-20 14:32:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xc1f859…
05-20 14:00:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x884a65…
05-20 11:41:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xbc46b9…
05-18 22:47:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x330380…
05-18 22:33:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe30a95…
05-18 17:42:31	Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x25fb35…
05-17 20:02:03	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xd5029d…
05-17 19:58:37	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5c184f…
05-17 19:54:06	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1f0468…
05-17 19:47:06	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0c6d36…
05-17 19:45:29	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x42daee…
05-17 19:44:54	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x969866…
05-17 19:26:51	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x790aef…
05-17 19:26:51	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x58f393…
05-17 19:21:15	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xd18460…
05-17 19:19:56	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x3d5ed5…
05-17 19:19:41	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x3c6d7c…
05-17 19:13:19	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xdd70ff…
05-17 19:04:39	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x4130d0…
05-17 18:45:28	Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xb9d2b1…
05-17 18:45:24	Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xb829ea…
05-17 18:36:38	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x327551…
05-17 18:21:31	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xf81f93…
05-17 18:21:26	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xb35e7e…
05-17 18:13:33	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x7a849c…
05-17 18:11:05	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x3903a0…
05-17 17:55:00	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xbe91f7…
05-17 16:43:38	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x2aee5b…
05-17 16:42:23	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xbe9201…
05-16 07:46:24	Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc7f057…
05-14 23:23:24	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xd4d654…
05-14 23:23:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x5f5a71…
05-14 21:14:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xc5ca2f…
05-14 21:05:39	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x4cac93…
05-14 20:37:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xc36e61…
05-14 20:34:58	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x875dd0…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa75e2d…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x74889b…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x6b81ad…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x306580…
05-14 20:29:25	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc80351…
05-14 20:28:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb80416…
05-14 20:27:09	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x98392d…
05-14 20:27:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x78d840…
05-14 20:27:00	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa12e1f…
05-14 20:26:57	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xf4f8c1…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xe61ed0…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x624c0b…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x35e664…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x097cc4…
05-14 20:25:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc456b3…
05-14 20:25:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x6a27f9…
05-13 18:03:12	Will Napoli qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaaca7d…
05-13 10:36:50	Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3a6d00…
05-12 22:12:58	Will Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x249a19…
05-12 22:11:02	Gainare Tottori vs. Reilac Shiga: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x71c49a…
05-12 21:42:48	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x4f1d34…
05-12 20:37:37	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 55B in Q1?	No	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe9bb64…
05-12 05:26:41	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7e5808…
05-11 19:50:38	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa576c3…
05-11 12:25:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x3820c9…
05-11 12:22:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf6ba5b…
05-11 01:10:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	166	2¢	$4	0x3677d8…
05-11 01:05:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x9ac49c…
05-11 01:03:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcd532c…
05-11 00:37:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x86f3f2…
05-11 00:27:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x33c3e2…
05-10 20:38:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x6a4d59…
05-10 20:34:14	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7f4461…
05-10 20:34:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xb4ed19…
05-10 20:32:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xdf4dfd…
05-10 20:32:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xf71a89…
05-10 20:31:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x67ec2c…
05-10 20:31:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x010f81…
05-10 20:30:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1cbb7f…
05-10 20:30:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x70c579…
05-10 20:30:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x7e7af2…
05-10 20:30:49	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x24632f…
05-10 18:19:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x7fc22a…
05-10 18:16:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x443d6d…
05-10 17:11:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0x736fb7…
05-10 16:56:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x1e1070…
05-10 16:54:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x78d358…
05-10 16:42:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x16e030…
05-10 16:26:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0xac14c6…
05-10 16:19:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xa67efb…
05-10 13:04:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xe77d10…
05-10 12:15:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x92b88c…
05-10 12:12:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xe67971…
05-10 11:58:37	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7dcb8f…
05-10 11:54:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x396927…
05-10 11:48:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xd93e36…