Shimmering-Contour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$353

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

107

Trades

41,774

lifetime

Volume

$57.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Sports

74% 36% +$344

Other

24% 32% +$16

Politics

2% 20% $-6

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3,279	$3.5K	58,137	84,758	-26,620	open	—	02-27 22:07
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,452	$2.5K	19,663	25,049	-5,386	open	—	04-08 03:10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,793	$2.5K	16,219	18,692	-2,473	open	—	04-28 09:51
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	473	$2.3K	3,980	4,507	-527	open	—	02-09 02:10
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,669	$2.1K	33,909	41,360	-7,451	open	—	04-14 13:03
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,887	$2.0K	55,359	76,408	-21,050	open	—	04-18 03:23
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	581	$1.7K	12,905	20,139	-7,234	open	—	01-17 23:08
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	496	$1.6K	5,795	6,274	-479	open	—	02-09 00:49
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1,543	$1.4K	45,777	80,357	-34,580	open	—	02-27 08:59
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1,661	$1.3K	21,935	25,772	-3,838	open	—	02-18 21:19
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,634	$1.3K	58,150	77,482	-19,332	No	+$209	04-26 23:33
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	158	$1.2K	956	1,086	-130	Yes	$-63	04-24 19:02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	904	$1.1K	10,901	12,609	-1,707	open	—	04-20 02:30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	175	$1.1K	5,185	5,936	-751	open	—	04-28 09:54
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	730	$1.1K	10,205	11,523	-1,318	open	—	04-15 09:28
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	595	$1.0K	18,678	19,332	-655	open	—	04-24 11:46
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	68	$994	1,146	1,488	-341	open	—	02-25 08:59
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	532	$945	49,821	58,067	-8,246	open	—	02-26 17:49
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	855	$775	15,704	20,731	-5,026	No	+$116	03-04 04:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	802	$770	15,806	19,133	-3,328	No	+$84	04-10 21:39
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	632	$768	27,288	35,981	-8,694	open	—	04-18 06:19
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	745	$643	33,371	40,121	-6,750	open	—	04-28 06:13
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	663	$630	14,598	14,746	-148	open	—	03-04 11:43
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$625	24,892	28,017	-3,125	open	—	03-01 17:27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	438	$570	30,627	39,727	-9,099	open	—	04-28 09:08
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	119	$565	843	830	+12	No	$-3	04-12 08:19
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	187	$544	2,504	2,591	-87	open	—	05-11 01:10
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	220	$540	2,852	2,922	-70	open	—	01-25 20:16
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	318	$459	3,667	3,737	-71	open	—	01-11 19:06
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	54	$432	306	306	-1	open	—	04-12 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 18:10:45	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xa99dc7…
08-10 06:22:27	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xe1a5a8…
08-10 02:42:15	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf5a03c…
08-09 15:50:01	Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xeb2d44…
08-09 14:37:06	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf63773…
08-09 12:46:52	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x50fe05…
08-09 10:56:36	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x427bf7…
08-09 08:18:04	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x696e19…
08-08 05:45:36	Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x645012…
08-07 16:30:55	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x3350cc…
08-07 15:54:54	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x41b69c…
08-07 12:58:03	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x38a73f…
08-07 12:41:25	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xba8f2b…
08-07 11:02:30	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd5b3b6…
08-07 09:36:49	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xef6dcc…
08-06 21:43:06	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x0bfde0…
08-06 07:44:17	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xc23abe…
08-06 05:50:38	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xae413e…
06-30 23:15:07	Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x73cce3…
06-30 21:12:32	Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xfee8b9…
06-28 13:10:49	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x4204bf…
06-28 13:07:05	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xeaa744…
06-28 12:40:10	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x2b8e97…
06-28 12:37:04	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd22694…
06-26 09:35:47	Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x00388e…
06-25 14:02:04	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xec11c4…
06-25 11:46:44	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xafaab8…
06-25 10:08:47	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x7e6bed…
06-25 10:08:43	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x344b96…
06-25 10:04:59	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$2	0xb65700…
06-25 09:39:10	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xb5d43e…
06-25 04:37:31	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf238e0…
06-24 23:51:49	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x4a26e5…
06-24 23:48:11	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	3¢	$3	0xdbb8ee…
06-24 17:24:16	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9a2878…
06-24 16:22:08	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x121039…
06-24 16:08:50	Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf47323…
06-24 14:58:55	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x308832…
06-24 14:17:41	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x3c4029…
05-28 23:04:15	Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xcec11b…
05-26 16:14:51	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6f69ba…
05-21 20:10:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4bd750…
05-21 17:10:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x756740…
05-21 10:31:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x3dd0bb…
05-21 08:31:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xb7864a…
05-21 05:26:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x763b62…
05-21 03:04:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xc3af7b…
05-20 14:32:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xc1f859…
05-20 14:00:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x884a65…
05-20 11:41:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xbc46b9…
05-18 22:47:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x330380…
05-18 22:33:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe30a95…
05-18 17:42:31	Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x25fb35…
05-17 20:02:03	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xd5029d…
05-17 19:58:37	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5c184f…
05-17 19:54:06	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x1f0468…
05-17 19:47:06	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0c6d36…
05-17 19:45:29	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x42daee…
05-17 19:44:54	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x969866…
05-17 19:26:51	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x790aef…
05-17 19:26:51	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x58f393…
05-17 19:21:15	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xd18460…
05-17 19:19:56	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x3d5ed5…
05-17 19:19:41	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x3c6d7c…
05-17 19:13:19	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xdd70ff…
05-17 19:04:39	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x4130d0…
05-17 18:45:28	Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xb9d2b1…
05-17 18:45:24	Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ittihad Saudi Club	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xb829ea…
05-17 18:36:38	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x327551…
05-17 18:21:31	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xf81f93…
05-17 18:21:26	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xb35e7e…
05-17 18:13:33	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x7a849c…
05-17 18:11:05	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x3903a0…
05-17 17:55:00	Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xbe91f7…
05-17 16:43:38	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x2aee5b…
05-17 16:42:23	Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xbe9201…
05-16 07:46:24	Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc7f057…
05-14 23:23:24	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xd4d654…
05-14 23:23:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x5f5a71…
05-14 21:14:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xc5ca2f…
05-14 21:05:39	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x4cac93…
05-14 20:37:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xc36e61…
05-14 20:34:58	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x875dd0…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xa75e2d…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x74889b…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x6b81ad…
05-14 20:31:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x306580…
05-14 20:29:25	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc80351…
05-14 20:28:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb80416…
05-14 20:27:09	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x98392d…
05-14 20:27:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x78d840…
05-14 20:27:00	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa12e1f…
05-14 20:26:57	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xf4f8c1…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xe61ed0…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x624c0b…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x35e664…
05-14 20:26:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x097cc4…
05-14 20:25:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc456b3…
05-14 20:25:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x6a27f9…
05-13 18:03:12	Will Napoli qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaaca7d…