Shimmering-Contour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

2,492

Trades

43,939

lifetime

Volume

$58.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Sports

72% 55% +$3,887

Other

25% 27% -$766

Politics

2% 30% +$6

Pop-Culture

1% 75% +$9

Crypto

0% 30% +$0

Tech

0% 17% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes		-5	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	09-30 23:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3,279	$3.5K	58,137	84,758	-26,620	No	+$685	02-27 22:07
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,452	$2.5K	19,663	25,049	-5,386	No	+$354	04-08 03:10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,793	$2.5K	16,219	18,692	-2,473	No	+$150	04-28 09:51
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	473	$2.3K	3,980	4,507	-527	Yes	-$334	02-09 02:10
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,669	$2.1K	33,909	41,360	-7,451	No	+$214	04-14 13:03
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,887	$2.0K	55,359	76,408	-21,050	No	+$403	04-18 03:23
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	581	$1.7K	12,905	20,139	-7,234	No	+$407	01-17 23:08
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	496	$1.6K	5,795	6,274	-479	No	+$86	02-09 00:49
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1,543	$1.4K	45,777	80,357	-34,580	No	+$323	02-27 08:59
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1,661	$1.3K	21,935	25,772	-3,838	No	+$120	02-18 21:19
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,634	$1.3K	58,150	77,482	-19,332	No	+$209	04-26 23:33
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	158	$1.2K	956	1,086	-130	Yes	-$63	04-24 19:02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	904	$1.1K	10,901	12,609	-1,707	No	+$82	04-20 02:30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	175	$1.1K	5,185	5,936	-751	No	+$90	04-28 09:54
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	730	$1.1K	10,205	11,523	-1,318	No	+$65	04-15 09:28
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	595	$1.0K	18,678	19,332	-655	No	+$22	04-24 11:46
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	68	$994	1,146	1,488	-341	No	+$115	02-25 08:59
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	532	$945	49,821	58,067	-8,246	No	+$91	02-26 17:49
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	855	$775	15,704	20,731	-5,026	No	+$116	03-04 04:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	802	$770	15,806	19,133	-3,328	No	+$84	04-10 21:39
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	632	$768	27,288	35,981	-8,694	No	+$108	04-18 06:19
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	745	$643	33,371	40,121	-6,750	No	+$35	04-28 06:13
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	663	$630	14,598	14,746	-148	No	+$10	03-04 11:43
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	554	$625	24,892	28,017	-3,125	No	+$31	03-01 17:27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	438	$570	30,627	39,727	-9,099	No	+$84	04-28 09:08
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	119	$565	843	830	+12	No	-$3	04-12 08:19
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	190	$548	2,523	2,602	-78	Yes	+$10	05-11 01:10
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	220	$540	2,852	2,922	-70	No	+$8	01-25 20:16
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	318	$459	3,667	3,737	-71	No	+$9	01-11 19:06
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	54	$432	306	306	-1	Yes	-$2	04-12 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:43:27	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xb2ae7f…
10-24 15:12:53	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xfa8d11…
10-21 14:58:38	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xb8cbc7…
10-17 17:58:29	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x8a2377…
10-17 14:13:00	Will Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x5f7cc4…
10-14 00:23:18	Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x5b2424…
10-06 07:14:37	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x61b3e0…
10-06 06:55:09	Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x835997…
10-02 22:40:05	Will Kevin Kiermaier win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x4aa3b5…
10-01 09:45:38	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xb71df0…
09-30 23:01:11	Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xdab20d…
09-30 21:07:48	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x3ccbec…
09-30 17:56:00	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7dea9b…
09-29 14:13:59	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xbc1c88…
09-29 03:32:32	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xd47738…
09-28 21:24:05	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x18ef5b…
09-13 15:31:10	Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x3272f2…
09-12 18:41:21	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x458c50…
09-12 15:41:21	Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x5d8ddc…
09-12 15:40:28	Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x9ab337…
09-12 15:40:28	Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x8a6912…
09-12 15:37:34	Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x92aa3d…
09-12 14:56:21	Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	166	0¢	$0	0xea6725…
09-12 14:14:48	Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7849ec…
09-10 23:04:04	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xbb91a9…
09-09 12:53:55	Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xb9717a…
09-08 00:34:24	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x475802…
09-06 23:05:09	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xc9a010…
09-06 23:05:07	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7e7be9…
09-06 23:00:49	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xfc700b…
09-06 23:00:33	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2f5bd0…
09-06 15:21:01	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x127481…
09-05 17:25:09	Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9b222f…
09-05 04:23:33	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xada57c…
09-05 01:45:13	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd59552…
09-05 01:09:06	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x1a26b7…
09-04 12:31:46	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x92cc89…
09-04 05:03:22	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xbeabb2…
09-04 05:03:18	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc1d5cd…
09-03 11:15:22	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xdd8e6f…
09-03 10:31:31	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x2037fc…
09-03 10:28:04	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xcb10e7…
09-02 20:46:18	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x342854…
09-02 07:49:37	Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf22e34…
09-01 05:52:28	Will Truist fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x18d183…
08-31 17:54:42	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0fa405…
08-31 16:30:06	Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9d6318…
08-31 16:30:06	Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x96f758…
08-31 12:09:04	Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4fa2be…
08-30 23:36:40	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xdac6b4…
08-30 15:32:18	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xdf4665…
08-29 15:50:48	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x8a6e5e…
08-28 14:44:54	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcb37f5…
08-28 12:47:51	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xcba2fd…
08-28 04:42:04	Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0c59f6…
08-27 20:25:13	Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xdcfd89…
08-27 13:58:48	Will BMO fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x9c9b70…
08-26 21:54:42	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x09869d…
08-26 10:09:42	Will BNY fail by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2af949…
08-26 10:03:36	Will edgeX reach $2.50 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xfec2cf…
08-26 02:34:12	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x44fdd0…
08-24 22:10:45	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x69f863…
08-24 20:23:34	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3682d3…
08-24 17:03:00	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x9d7f0c…
08-24 15:23:52	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x427afb…
08-24 15:23:49	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xc5c1be…
08-23 16:38:40	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7b6616…
08-23 14:21:06	Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0ba80c…
08-23 05:57:21	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x410a9c…
08-23 05:57:13	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x84da4c…
08-23 01:59:06	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xa874fc…
08-23 00:41:04	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xf143a2…
08-23 00:41:04	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcb63be…
08-23 00:41:03	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd8bf0b…
08-23 00:41:03	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaec9e6…
08-22 12:42:42	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x586e61…
08-22 11:17:16	Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc8ec3d…
08-22 04:59:37	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xb1b739…
08-21 16:42:48	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf02673…
08-21 05:01:04	Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xc397ec…
08-20 19:04:27	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xe0da23…
08-20 19:04:27	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xb3cacd…
08-20 14:22:33	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc2d136…
08-20 14:18:33	Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6c7c95…
08-20 12:19:00	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xbfaf2d…
08-20 09:21:33	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa4e15a…
08-20 08:49:15	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xe4cd8b…
08-20 07:02:01	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x8a69b6…
08-19 18:17:09	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xb1d45d…
08-19 18:07:06	Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xee11fe…
08-19 17:10:40	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x62fe0a…
08-19 14:15:39	Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x894a0d…
08-19 03:39:58	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xbc1397…
08-19 03:39:58	Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7b4b34…
08-19 03:39:58	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4ab022…
08-19 03:39:58	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x304f40…
08-18 19:28:36	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x4d8ee0…
08-18 08:54:57	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x4b74de…
08-18 00:54:24	Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x13acaa…
08-17 20:10:13	Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8173cb…