Will BNY fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,481
Trades
39
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$1,265
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-30
last 07-05 00:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $8 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $33 | $31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $33 | $31 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| unranked | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +1,386 | $1,341 | $1,341 | 7 | 07-01 19:30 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +1,000 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-01 00:17 |
| Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | +138 | $3 | $4 | 5 | 07-05 00:36 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +107 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-30 23:22 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +41 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-01 19:30 |
| Unnatural-Insulation 0xfec4…cfc8 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 07-04 08:09 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 22:40 |
| Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 07-04 08:09 |
| Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 17:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 00:36:28 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2822ce… |
| 07-05 00:36:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2822ce… |
| 07-04 08:09:07 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x580a6f… |
| 07-04 08:09:07 | Unnatural-Insulation 0xfec4…cfc8 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x580a6f… |
| 07-04 08:09:07 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x580a6f… |
| 07-04 00:24:47 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x7ad538… |
| 07-04 00:24:47 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7ad538… |
| 07-03 20:19:41 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88faff… |
| 07-03 20:19:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x88faff… |
| 07-03 20:19:41 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88faff… |
| 07-01 19:30:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x07b73c… |
| 07-01 19:30:44 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x07b73c… |
| 07-01 17:00:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1154ed… |
| 07-01 17:00:10 | Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1154ed… |
| 07-01 00:17:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2073c7… |
| 07-01 00:17:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2073c7… |
| 06-30 23:35:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x15ae91… |
| 06-30 23:35:31 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x15ae91… |
| 06-30 23:35:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $78 | 0x15ae91… |
| 06-30 23:22:55 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8e9ad4… |
| 06-30 23:22:55 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e9ad4… |
| 06-30 23:22:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 97¢ | $970 | 0xd7b635… |
| 06-30 23:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd7b635… |
| 06-30 23:22:49 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 984 | 3¢ | $30 | 0xd7b635… |
| 06-30 23:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x898992… |
| 06-30 23:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x5e70…c53e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x898992… |
| 06-30 23:05:47 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x007512… |
| 06-30 23:05:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x007512… |
| 06-30 23:05:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x007512… |
| 06-30 22:40:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa460ef… |
| 06-30 22:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa460ef… |
| 06-30 22:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20c855… |
| 06-30 22:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20c855… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x5e70…c53e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 107 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0x4b0b5a… |