Will BNY fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,895
Trades
62
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,265
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-30
last 07-23 23:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $36 | $23 | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $8 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $38 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $27 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $55 | $55 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | $48 | $42 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| unranked | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +178 | $156 | $2,624 | 13 | 07-23 23:19 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +93 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 07-20 15:45 |
| Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | +73 | $3 | $11 | 9 | 07-20 15:45 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-20 15:45 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +41 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-01 19:30 |
| Unnatural-Insulation 0xfec4…cfc8 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 07-04 08:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:21 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 22:40 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 10:17 |
| Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 17:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 23:19:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb36ce8… |
| 07-23 23:19:57 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xb36ce8… |
| 07-23 23:19:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xb36ce8… |
| 07-21 05:21:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0xbd41de… |
| 07-21 05:21:25 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbd41de… |
| 07-20 15:45:06 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa2a6ef… |
| 07-20 15:45:06 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa2a6ef… |
| 07-20 15:45:06 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xa2a6ef… |
| 07-20 15:45:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa2a6ef… |
| 07-20 07:40:22 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 98¢ | $980 | 0x2f825f… |
| 07-20 07:40:22 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2f825f… |
| 07-20 07:40:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 950 | 2¢ | $19 | 0x2f825f… |
| 07-19 20:22:31 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8b0b50… |
| 07-19 20:22:31 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8b0b50… |
| 07-19 10:17:55 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 138 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x35a692… |
| 07-19 10:17:55 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 143 | 98¢ | $141 | 0x35a692… |
| 07-19 10:17:55 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x35a692… |
| 07-15 20:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3c3483… |
| 07-15 20:57:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x3c3483… |
| 07-14 23:13:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xd5add1… |
| 07-14 23:13:08 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd5add1… |
| 07-10 11:58:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x096834… |
| 07-10 11:58:49 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x096834… |
| 07-05 00:36:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2822ce… |
| 07-05 00:36:28 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2822ce… |
| 07-04 08:09:07 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x580a6f… |
| 07-04 08:09:07 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x580a6f… |
| 07-04 08:09:07 | Unnatural-Insulation 0xfec4…cfc8 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x580a6f… |
| 07-04 00:24:47 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x7ad538… |
| 07-04 00:24:47 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7ad538… |
| 07-03 20:19:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x88faff… |
| 07-03 20:19:41 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88faff… |
| 07-03 20:19:41 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x88faff… |
| 07-01 19:30:44 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x07b73c… |
| 07-01 19:30:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x07b73c… |
| 07-01 17:00:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1154ed… |
| 07-01 17:00:10 | Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1154ed… |
| 07-01 00:17:28 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2073c7… |
| 07-01 00:17:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2073c7… |
| 06-30 23:35:31 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $78 | 0x15ae91… |
| 06-30 23:35:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x15ae91… |
| 06-30 23:35:31 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x15ae91… |
| 06-30 23:22:55 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e9ad4… |
| 06-30 23:22:55 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x8e9ad4… |
| 06-30 23:22:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 97¢ | $970 | 0xd7b635… |
| 06-30 23:22:49 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 984 | 3¢ | $30 | 0xd7b635… |
| 06-30 23:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd7b635… |
| 06-30 23:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x898992… |
| 06-30 23:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x5e70…c53e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x898992… |
| 06-30 23:05:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x007512… |
| 06-30 23:05:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x007512… |
| 06-30 23:05:47 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x007512… |
| 06-30 22:40:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa460ef… |
| 06-30 22:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa460ef… |
| 06-30 22:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20c855… |
| 06-30 22:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20c855… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x5e70…c53e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4b0b5a… |
| 06-30 22:40:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 107 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x4b0b5a… |