Black-And-White-Consensus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$694

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-19 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 81% $-5

Other

29% 100% +$0

Politics

20% 75% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	06-10 19:37
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	05-31 14:31
Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	05-30 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-14 17:26
khamenei of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 15 19	2	$8	5	4	+1	open	—	04-13 10:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	03-23 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 07:23
white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 20 39	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-11 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-14 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$5	5	1	+3	Down	+$0	05-14 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$5	5	2	+3	Down	$-1	05-12 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 16:34
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 19:33
white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 80 99	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 04:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:16
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 05:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	84	84	+0	open	—	03-27 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	open	—	05-15 11:55
btc updown 5m 1776746100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 04:41
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 100 119	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-13 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-14 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776680100	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-20 10:19
white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 60 79	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-20 19:09
nyc mayor of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 0 19	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-19 13:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-14 16:49
Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	3	$3	2	1	+1	No	+$0	04-23 03:51
btc updown 5m 1777057500	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-24 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	05-14 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-14 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 18:53:47	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e8da2…
06-19 18:52:59	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3b22ed…
06-19 18:52:37	btc updown 5m 1781895000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe540cc…
06-11 17:23:03	btc updown 5m 1781198400	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x82e856…
06-10 19:37:27	Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8d047…
06-10 19:33:13	btc updown 5m 1781119800	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe634e9…
06-10 19:07:37	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6b4149…
06-09 02:34:40	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x282d60…
06-05 03:20:39	btc updown 5m 1780629600	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5a47b1…
06-05 03:14:00	btc updown 5m 1780629000	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5f37f0…
06-04 18:06:27	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd963a1…
06-04 05:32:42	btc updown 5m 1780551000	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x17168e…
06-01 17:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5daeaa…
06-01 17:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3a47cb…
05-31 15:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc46393…
05-31 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x69a97f…
05-31 14:31:24	Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe1da1…
05-30 03:11:31	Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53cb71…
05-25 04:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d3725…
05-25 04:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13b8a4…
05-23 05:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad5d83…
05-21 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xff2fbe…
05-21 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7af6f…
05-20 19:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x525e28…
05-20 19:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x467c3b…
05-20 19:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x913b35…
05-20 19:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x596ee9…
05-20 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5d8400…
05-18 20:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb7b880…
05-18 20:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x91c1a9…
05-18 20:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5be56…
05-18 20:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xec5b30…
05-18 20:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6fa30f…
05-18 20:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcd517f…
05-18 20:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x366915…
05-16 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xad1bb7…
05-16 08:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe76c9c…
05-16 07:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x41bdab…
05-16 07:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21a939…
05-16 07:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dae5c…
05-15 11:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x836b6e…
05-15 11:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x9a85ad…
05-15 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x44c569…
05-15 11:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70e86e…
05-15 11:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4c511c…
05-15 04:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1a5232…
05-15 04:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4094a3…
05-14 20:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x92b8e5…
05-14 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb902f1…
05-14 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6cebcf…
05-14 20:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x17ed8a…
05-14 20:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4af81…
05-14 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x16fb5c…
05-14 17:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xd82584…
05-14 17:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe56ad9…
05-14 17:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc531be…
05-14 17:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0ab559…
05-14 17:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xee9229…
05-14 17:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xf23082…
05-14 17:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6f1449…
05-14 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x047a63…
05-14 16:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5e7171…
05-14 16:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12d051…
05-14 16:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x598434…
05-14 16:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbb9f00…
05-14 16:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8b0f4…
05-14 16:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9a84e6…
05-14 16:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd0f23f…
05-14 16:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x510c73…
05-14 16:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xa4a946…
05-14 16:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb34008…
05-14 16:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x128752…
05-14 16:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x25268d…
05-14 16:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd553d2…
05-14 16:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xadc965…
05-14 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb8122b…
05-14 16:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xea1206…
05-14 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01772f…
05-14 16:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe40ca2…
05-14 16:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb1bc63…
05-14 16:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8d69a3…
05-14 16:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x0cd632…
05-14 16:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5b7b9f…
05-14 07:52:10	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfa1169…
05-14 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5ce125…
05-14 07:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xef085e…
05-14 07:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4227f6…
05-14 07:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2181f…
05-14 07:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8dfe61…
05-14 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaac075…
05-14 07:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86c6e2…
05-14 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1cf1a1…
05-14 07:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdec3af…
05-14 07:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x496001…
05-14 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb6bdf1…
05-14 07:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf9f077…
05-14 07:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c3847…
05-14 07:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x90b71d…
05-14 07:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x12cf75…
05-14 07:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9ccdf2…