Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$428
Trades
65
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$5,164
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-29
last 08-07 03:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $98
vs crowd: 2% YES on $255)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $179 | $179 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $56 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $98 | $98 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 12 | $1 | $91 | $89 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | $49 | $47 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +82 | $81 | $81 | 3 | 08-07 03:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +62 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +27 | $0 | $3 | 22 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:06:36 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcb9d54… |
| 08-07 03:06:36 | Unnatural-Insulation 0xfec4…cfc8 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcb9d54… |
| 08-05 03:31:24 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x68287b… |
| 08-05 03:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x68287b… |
| 08-04 09:57:29 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x84f448… |
| 08-04 09:57:29 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x84f448… |
| 08-04 09:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x84f448… |
| 07-21 05:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x29aaef… |
| 07-21 05:22:13 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x29aaef… |
| 07-10 08:16:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9213cc… |
| 07-10 08:16:46 | Tragic-Commitment 0xca64…9032 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9213cc… |
| 07-10 08:15:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0f6fad… |
| 07-10 08:15:10 | Milky-Meter 0x5702…754d | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0f6fad… |
| 07-10 08:13:29 | Constant-Builder 0x3b62…967f | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x38588f… |
| 07-10 08:13:29 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38588f… |
| 07-10 08:13:26 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf82ec6… |
| 07-10 08:13:26 | Handmade-Spur 0x819a…8caa | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf82ec6… |
| 07-10 08:13:20 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff3211… |
| 07-10 08:13:20 | Grizzled-Command 0x9a8b…ec4e | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xff3211… |
| 07-10 08:13:19 | Quixotic-Tachometer 0xc8a1…32fd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xce4505… |
| 07-10 08:13:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xce4505… |
| 07-10 08:13:17 | Major-Imitation 0xfa12…6924 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2b28f1… |
| 07-10 08:13:17 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b28f1… |
| 07-10 08:13:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9ab1a8… |
| 07-10 08:13:16 | Glorious-Quince 0x29b9…8654 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x83c496… |
| 07-10 08:13:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6e767d… |
| 07-10 08:13:16 | Little-Sill 0x9d25…4de6 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6e767d… |
| 07-10 08:13:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x83c496… |
| 07-10 08:13:16 | Virtuous-Questionnaire 0xe78d…7aff | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9ab1a8… |
| 07-10 07:53:22 | Constant-Builder 0x3b62…967f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x893866… |
| 07-10 07:53:22 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x893866… |
| 07-10 07:53:20 | Major-Imitation 0xfa12…6924 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe98067… |
| 07-10 07:53:20 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe98067… |
| 07-10 07:53:05 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbad674… |
| 07-10 07:53:05 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbad674… |
| 07-10 07:53:05 | Milky-Meter 0x5702…754d | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbad674… |
| 07-10 07:53:02 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8cda8b… |
| 07-10 07:53:02 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x593aa9… |
| 07-10 07:53:02 | Handmade-Spur 0x819a…8caa | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x593aa9… |
| 07-10 07:53:02 | Quixotic-Tachometer 0xc8a1…32fd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8cda8b… |
| 07-10 07:52:58 | Grizzled-Command 0x9a8b…ec4e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb8b61b… |
| 07-10 07:52:58 | Little-Sill 0x9d25…4de6 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6930ff… |
| 07-10 07:52:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8b61b… |
| 07-10 07:52:58 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6930ff… |
| 07-10 07:52:56 | Glorious-Quince 0x29b9…8654 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbcc871… |
| 07-10 07:52:56 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbcc871… |
| 07-10 07:52:56 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b352b… |
| 07-10 07:52:56 | Virtuous-Questionnaire 0xe78d…7aff | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0b352b… |
| 07-10 07:52:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c74e1… |
| 07-10 07:52:52 | Tragic-Commitment 0xca64…9032 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3c74e1… |
| 07-03 08:53:59 | Unnatural-Insulation 0xfec4…cfc8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x59c86b… |
| 07-03 08:53:59 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x59c86b… |
| 07-03 08:53:55 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0xf5a1e0… |
| 07-03 08:53:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xf5a1e0… |
| 07-03 08:53:55 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf5a1e0… |
| 07-02 22:19:47 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x1eb37b… |
| 07-02 22:19:47 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x1eb37b… |
| 07-01 20:13:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x962d18… |
| 07-01 20:13:52 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x962d18… |
| 06-30 21:17:25 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf4d29d… |
| 06-30 21:17:25 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 34 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf4d29d… |
| 06-29 22:29:11 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8aa7b5… |
| 06-29 22:29:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8aa7b5… |
| 06-29 05:06:29 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x7c86ab… |
| 06-29 05:06:29 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7c86ab… |