Quixotic-Tachometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$331

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-24 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 33% +$0

Crypto

11% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 07:50
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-15 07:54
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-17 07:16
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-04 04:59
chatgpt full outage by february 28	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 01:35
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-03 03:30
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-13 08:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 08:20
Netanyahu out by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 08:22
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 09:07
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-03 03:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 03:54
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 07:04
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 07:16
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 02:24
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:27
tsla up or down on february 24 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 06:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-22 03:28
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 09:04
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 08:43
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 20 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 03:04
will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 08:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 02:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 07:42
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:33
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:26
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:40:01	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xccc1db…
07-24 02:26:10	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01c02c…
07-23 08:22:19	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x01ca73…
07-23 08:05:51	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1233cd…
07-22 08:04:22	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x125845…
07-22 08:03:06	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc8b164…
07-22 07:59:00	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x523e66…
07-22 07:56:43	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6844b…
07-21 03:44:18	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca77ca…
07-20 07:53:58	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6bf1a0…
07-20 07:42:28	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f6b77…
07-18 08:31:39	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xde91b3…
07-18 08:10:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe60965…
07-17 02:50:21	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5fc98d…
07-17 02:49:43	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa59b2c…
07-17 02:30:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7e0b1…
07-17 02:24:43	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92850f…
07-16 08:16:07	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9d0cee…
07-16 07:56:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf377f…
07-15 07:54:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f549e…
07-15 07:41:35	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4869d0…
07-14 03:31:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf25db7…
07-14 03:18:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc50bb…
07-13 08:01:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7a2763…
07-13 07:59:01	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x238c49…
07-13 07:37:08	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b7c87…
07-13 07:27:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x001348…
07-11 03:23:35	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb08eb…
07-11 03:01:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e6dab…
07-10 08:14:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb576ff…
07-10 08:13:19	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce4505…
07-10 07:53:02	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8cda8b…
07-10 07:50:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe550a9…
07-08 08:21:20	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6ff34…
07-08 08:20:11	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x45d012…
07-08 07:58:20	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x623038…
07-08 07:54:44	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x707f42…
07-07 01:30:59	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6127fd…
07-07 01:30:28	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x46c141…
07-07 01:15:43	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34e592…
07-07 00:48:58	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ab994…
07-06 07:51:02	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6e7817…
07-06 07:49:25	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x51d437…
07-06 07:35:10	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7ee0c…
07-06 07:30:47	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57172c…
07-04 07:57:59	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x51e241…
07-04 07:33:11	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4dd64d…
07-03 07:29:53	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e54e8…
07-03 07:15:47	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d5035…
07-02 07:51:50	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x054619…
07-02 07:51:13	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f4c92…
07-02 07:42:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x784314…
07-02 07:37:02	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd3b72…
07-01 09:04:55	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff6104…
07-01 08:51:28	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18c996…
06-30 02:49:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x821941…
06-30 02:38:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d203a…
06-29 08:49:52	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x47bc3d…
06-29 08:49:17	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ca848…
06-29 08:34:08	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca406c…
06-29 08:22:44	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2445eb…
06-27 07:50:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfd0741…
06-27 07:10:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cdb29…
06-26 03:21:35	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a3302…
06-26 03:20:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe31b6c…
06-26 02:54:32	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcafa72…
06-26 02:49:19	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc77449…
06-24 08:37:26	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x405a66…
06-24 08:37:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ec2f6…
06-24 08:20:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb09f15…
06-24 08:16:46	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd51aa4…
06-23 08:36:23	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bc4a4…
06-23 08:35:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x387897…
06-23 08:08:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4aea03…
06-23 08:04:44	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe05774…
06-22 03:29:46	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae4b1f…
06-22 03:28:17	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x412046…
06-22 03:13:23	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x470152…
06-22 03:03:53	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48d5bb…
06-21 09:08:34	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd83b79…
06-21 09:07:37	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5a02a4…
06-21 08:46:04	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x629baf…
06-21 08:42:56	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7634c4…
06-18 07:48:40	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x847ea2…
06-18 07:32:23	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xccae57…
06-17 02:26:46	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd340da…
06-17 02:26:15	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x645a57…
06-17 02:11:40	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76682a…
06-17 02:05:45	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf11bc1…
06-12 08:33:54	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x938958…
06-12 08:33:18	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4ed2c6…
06-12 08:19:30	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9d3c5…
06-12 08:15:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe8efe9…
06-11 07:54:07	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7f61b5…
06-11 07:34:33	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x421536…
06-10 08:41:18	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x243683…
06-10 08:20:21	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90723c…
06-09 08:22:48	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ae9fa…
06-09 08:06:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3bf42…
06-08 07:51:48	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcc97bd…