Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?
open
Total volume
$2,030
Trades
166
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$12,227
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2026-08-04
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-07 16:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $216 | $8 | +$208 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $913 | $46 | +$868 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $82 | $6 | +$76 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $49 | $19 | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $20 | $8 | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $652 | $1 | +$651 |
| Median | 9 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| Below median | 6 | $38 | $14 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $192 | $25 | +$167 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $216 | $2 | +$214 |
| unranked | 13 | $127 | $13 | +$114 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | +683 | $652 | $652 | 3 | 07-05 15:34 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +304 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-26 17:23 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +263 | $9 | $18 | 16 | 07-07 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +152 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 07-07 16:56 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +70 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 06-07 06:36 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +70 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 06:36 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 13:17 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +30 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 07-05 15:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $407 | 3 | 07-07 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-28 06:42 |
| Acidic-Thongs 0x2fa6…2ff3 | No | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 10:22 |
| Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-16 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ae4…f84a | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-27 05:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-27 10:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 16:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x99d6d1… |
| 07-07 16:57:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x99d6d1… |
| 07-07 16:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc17cbe… |
| 07-07 16:57:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xc17cbe… |
| 07-07 16:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xb45d77… |
| 07-07 16:56:34 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb45d77… |
| 07-07 16:56:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 67 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb45d77… |
| 07-07 09:41:02 | Creepy-Phase 0x3403…cf73 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xdcc365… |
| 07-07 09:41:02 | Young-Xylophone 0x4c2b…39ed | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xdc65c9… |
| 07-07 09:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7143fb… |
| 07-07 09:41:02 | Oddball-Household 0xaaaa…a02f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7143fb… |
| 07-07 09:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdcc365… |
| 07-07 09:41:02 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc65c9… |
| 07-07 09:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfb600a… |
| 07-07 09:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6cddac… |
| 07-07 09:40:59 | Unfinished-Carload 0x7811…0068 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xfb600a… |
| 07-07 09:40:59 | Boring-Standoff 0x6802…2199 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6cddac… |
| 07-07 09:40:58 | Well-Documented-Sill 0xfc9b…0626 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x47acc7… |
| 07-07 09:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x47acc7… |
| 07-07 09:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6d24f3… |
| 07-07 09:40:56 | Immense-Sovereignty 0xbdd5…a9ba | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x6d24f3… |
| 07-07 09:24:22 | Immense-Sovereignty 0xbdd5…a9ba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x592caf… |
| 07-07 09:24:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x592caf… |
| 07-07 09:24:19 | Creepy-Phase 0x3403…cf73 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x42d659… |
| 07-07 09:24:19 | Young-Xylophone 0x4c2b…39ed | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x142576… |
| 07-07 09:24:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x42d659… |
| 07-07 09:24:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x142576… |
| 07-07 09:24:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8613a8… |
| 07-07 09:24:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x204193… |
| 07-07 09:24:17 | Unfinished-Carload 0x7811…0068 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8613a8… |
| 07-07 09:24:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xee560a… |
| 07-07 09:24:17 | Well-Documented-Sill 0xfc9b…0626 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x204193… |
| 07-07 09:24:17 | Oddball-Household 0xaaaa…a02f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xee560a… |
| 07-07 09:24:16 | Boring-Standoff 0x6802…2199 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xede630… |
| 07-07 09:24:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xede630… |
| 07-06 15:01:52 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 86 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfea23a… |
| 07-06 15:01:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 86 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfea23a… |
| 07-05 17:42:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x120432… |
| 07-05 17:42:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x120432… |
| 07-05 17:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x120432… |
| 07-05 15:34:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x40ac34… |
| 07-05 15:34:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x40ac34… |
| 07-05 15:34:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x40ac34… |
| 07-05 15:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 139 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x6e1b34… |
| 07-05 15:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6e1b34… |
| 07-05 15:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x6e1b34… |
| 07-05 15:34:07 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 263 | 96¢ | $254 | 0x6e1b34… |
| 07-03 15:50:25 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9ef9f7… |
| 07-03 15:50:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x9ef9f7… |
| 07-03 15:48:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x34c0b9… |
| 07-03 15:48:53 | (anonymous) 0x23c1…ac39 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x34c0b9… |
| 07-03 15:48:53 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x34c0b9… |
| 07-01 05:52:35 | (anonymous) 0x4ae4…f84a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x17ac24… |
| 07-01 05:52:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17ac24… |
| 07-01 05:52:35 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x17ac24… |
| 07-01 00:54:08 | Gripping-Proponent-Sailor 0x5e51…ccaa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbcf0cc… |
| 07-01 00:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbcf0cc… |
| 06-28 06:42:26 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x498ed7… |
| 06-28 06:42:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x498ed7… |
| 06-28 04:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbbcac2… |
| 06-28 04:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | No | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbbcac2… |
| 06-27 12:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x36203d… |
| 06-27 12:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x23c1…ac39 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x36203d… |
| 06-27 12:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x36203d… |
| 06-27 10:39:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x32aedc… |
| 06-27 10:39:28 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x32aedc… |
| 06-27 10:39:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x32aedc… |
| 06-27 05:35:59 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbb3546… |
| 06-27 05:35:59 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbb3546… |
| 06-26 19:30:37 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbadbd2… |
| 06-26 19:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbadbd2… |
| 06-26 19:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x424be5… |
| 06-26 19:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x23c1…ac39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x424be5… |
| 06-26 19:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x23c1…ac39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf26bb7… |
| 06-26 19:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf26bb7… |
| 06-26 19:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf26bb7… |
| 06-26 19:02:13 | (anonymous) 0x23c1…ac39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe12cfe… |
| 06-26 19:02:13 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe12cfe… |
| 06-26 18:57:38 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 103 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xad9d09… |
| 06-26 18:57:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $191 | 0xad9d09… |
| 06-26 18:57:38 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 97 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xad9d09… |
| 06-26 17:52:34 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xa13e74… |
| 06-26 17:52:34 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa13e74… |
| 06-26 17:52:34 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa13e74… |
| 06-26 17:40:26 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa92027… |
| 06-26 17:40:26 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa92027… |
| 06-26 17:38:34 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x344f58… |
| 06-26 17:38:34 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x344f58… |
| 06-26 17:38:07 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8967ed… |
| 06-26 17:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x611ac7… |
| 06-26 17:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8967ed… |
| 06-26 17:38:07 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x611ac7… |
| 06-26 17:37:29 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5d0eef… |
| 06-26 17:37:29 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf353e7… |
| 06-26 17:37:29 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5d0eef… |
| 06-26 17:37:29 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf353e7… |
| 06-26 17:24:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x7b08be… |
| 06-26 17:24:02 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x7b08be… |
| 06-26 17:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x086960… |
| 06-26 17:23:43 | Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | BUY | 304 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x086960… |