Realized P&L
-$118
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
97.4%
Resolved
2,495
Trades
2,663
lifetime
Volume
$41.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$304
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-29 06:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
79% 98% -$97
Politics
19% 98% -$29
Tech
1% 100% +$8
Crypto
1% 100% +$7
Sports
0% 89% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 10-26 20:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 10-27 23:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 10-26 05:58
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +21 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-25 11:59
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 22:59
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 23:59
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 23:59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 10-26 20:58
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 10-28 08:59
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 10-27 07:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 10-29 06:59
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 10-29 06:59
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 10-29 06:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +20 $20 97¢ $20 $0 10-28 08:59
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? Yes +21 $20 94¢ $19 -$1 10-29 06:59