Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

2,478

Trades

2,639

lifetime

Volume

$40.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$242

12 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-27 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$82

Politics

19% 97% -$30

Tech

1% 100% +$8

Crypto

1% 100% +$7

Sports

0% 89% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	+21	$20	100¢	$21	+$1	10-26 05:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+21	$20	100¢	$21	+$1	10-24 06:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	10-24 01:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+21	$20	98¢	$20	+$0	10-26 20:58
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+21	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	10-26 20:58
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-26 22:59
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+21	$20	98¢	$20	+$0	10-25 11:59
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-26 23:59
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-26 23:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+21	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	10-26 06:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+21	$20	96¢	$20	+$0	10-26 09:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+21	$20	97¢	$20	$0	10-27 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$265	340	0	+340	Yes	+$75	09-11 23:20
United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	06-19 14:52
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	06-19 15:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$78	104	0	+104	Yes	+$26	07-29 16:02
Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 0 Athletic Club?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	06-20 13:56
Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 16:01
Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:05
Will 250-259 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:05
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	-$20	09-30 22:57
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	-$19	07-12 04:39
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	3	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	-$20	07-07 18:39
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	-$20	10-02 20:57
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	-$20	09-12 22:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	2	$40	21	20	+1	Yes	+$1	07-29 18:04
will hood dip to 95 by july 6 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	07-08 23:39
spy closes above 755 on july 6 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	07-06 04:24
will xagusd reach 66 by july 6 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-09 20:39
wti closes above 70 on july 13 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-13 00:39
wti closes above 64 on july 8 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-07 21:39
wti closes above 75 on july 15 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-15 00:39
spy closes above 760 on july 7 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-07 03:25
spy closes above 730 on july 9 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-08 23:39
wti closes above 71 on july 8 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-08 09:39
wti closes above 73 on july 14 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-14 00:39
spy closes above 760 on july 13 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-13 05:39
spy closes above 725 on july 6 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-05 22:24
spy closes above 765 on july 15 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-14 23:39
wti closes above 70 on july 14 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-13 22:39
wti closes above 70 on july 8 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-08 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:59:26	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5bc5f0…
10-27 18:59:24	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaea431…
10-27 18:59:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x48a3b5…
10-27 18:59:24	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3f3ea9…
10-27 13:59:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb83fa2…
10-27 12:59:21	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc6437d…
10-27 09:59:20	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x38fcaa…
10-27 07:59:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9a13f5…
10-26 23:59:12	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x680adb…
10-26 23:59:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x07ec62…
10-26 22:59:15	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc655e9…
10-26 20:58:45	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcbb869…
10-26 20:58:45	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x036143…
10-26 20:58:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd8457d…
10-26 15:59:14	Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb7e27f…
10-26 15:59:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6dfe29…
10-26 15:59:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c9c35…
10-26 15:59:14	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x67e168…
10-26 15:59:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64af25…
10-26 15:59:14	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x601da7…
10-26 14:59:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb94a88…
10-26 14:59:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xad1d10…
10-26 14:59:11	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x40dae5…
10-26 12:59:11	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9a113…
10-26 09:58:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf06eca…
10-26 08:58:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7ce32d…
10-26 06:58:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb4a9df…
10-26 05:59:09	Netanyahu drops out before election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ef3ba…
10-26 05:58:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x28b059…
10-26 02:58:35	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb944a7…
10-26 02:58:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd78475…
10-26 02:58:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2a0185…
10-26 00:59:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe55926…
10-26 00:59:05	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1439fa…
10-25 23:59:03	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77909d…
10-25 19:59:06	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1ea67…
10-25 11:59:11	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1e83b6…
10-25 11:59:09	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x5b9644…
10-25 11:59:09	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x030b5b…
10-25 06:59:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d9600…
10-25 02:59:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x169db7…
10-24 19:59:23	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7bb33e…
10-24 18:59:06	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 27?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xcd3511…
10-24 18:59:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5864b7…
10-24 10:59:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x78f811…
10-24 06:58:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x982b23…
10-24 04:59:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x79c48a…
10-24 03:59:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc47495…
10-24 01:59:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x75e06e…
10-23 23:58:50	Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xeca3ab…
10-23 23:58:48	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x927060…
10-23 23:58:48	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $355 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x115cb6…
10-23 20:58:51	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe31ae3…
10-23 20:58:51	Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9ef6f9…
10-23 20:58:51	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9c59ad…
10-23 20:58:51	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x86a6e4…
10-23 20:58:51	Will UKMTO publish 16-19 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4387dc…
10-23 20:58:51	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4079bc…
10-23 12:59:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x635938…
10-23 12:59:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3543cb…
10-23 12:59:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x23f6b5…
10-23 10:59:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x555aad…
10-23 08:59:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa4294…
10-23 07:59:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xedab03…
10-23 07:59:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb13e8c…
10-22 23:59:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e05bf…
10-22 22:59:15	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x97f621…
10-22 20:59:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x25a582…
10-22 20:59:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2326f7…
10-22 17:59:11	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaa83e0…
10-22 17:59:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa51bfc…
10-22 17:59:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x196506…
10-22 16:59:12	Will Meta (META) close above $670 on October 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33c602…
10-22 15:59:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe529b3…
10-22 15:59:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc3c2ad…
10-22 14:58:26	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde2c4f…
10-22 14:58:26	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd0a32b…
10-22 14:58:26	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b7487…
10-22 14:58:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7b2766…
10-22 14:58:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4eda6d…
10-22 14:58:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x485654…
10-22 14:58:26	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1a4441…
10-22 14:58:26	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0fab17…
10-22 14:58:24	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 25?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd8c80e…
10-22 14:58:24	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6b88be…
10-22 13:59:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc56df…
10-22 13:59:11	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x780dfb…
10-22 13:59:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1ffadf…
10-22 10:59:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8e9aec…
10-22 10:59:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x67d94b…
10-22 10:59:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x00ae44…
10-22 08:58:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde1070…
10-21 21:59:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7f9599…
10-21 21:59:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x752bba…
10-21 20:59:02	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb3dddc…
10-21 20:59:02	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x605dad…
10-21 17:59:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08f8bc…
10-21 16:59:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xab4562…
10-21 15:59:05	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x873390…
10-21 14:59:03	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1a84b…