Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$87

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved (90d)

1,200

Trades (90d)

1,185

2,698 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$23.3K

$41.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$79

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 11-01 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$86

Politics

20% 98% -$8

Tech

1% 100% +$9

Crypto

1% 100% +$7

Sports

0% 89% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+21	$20	100¢	$21	+$1	10-29 06:59
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	10-29 15:59
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	+21	$20	91¢	$19	-$1	10-26 20:58
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	+20	$20	93¢	$19	-$1	10-25 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$265	340	0	+340	Yes	+$75	09-11 23:20
United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	06-19 14:52
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Australia?	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	06-19 15:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$78	104	0	+104	Yes	+$26	07-29 16:02
Exact Score: Londrina EC 3 - 0 Athletic Club?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	06-20 13:56
Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	07-29 18:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 16:01
Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:05
Will 250-259 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-29 18:05
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	-$20	09-30 22:57
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	-$19	07-12 04:39
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	3	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	-$20	07-07 18:39
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	-$20	10-02 20:57
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?	2	$40	41	0	+41	No	-$20	09-12 22:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	2	$40	21	20	+1	Yes	+$1	07-29 18:04
will hood dip to 95 by july 6 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	07-08 23:39
spy closes above 755 on july 6 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	No	+$1	07-06 04:24
will xagusd reach 66 by july 6 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-09 20:39
wti closes above 70 on july 13 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-13 00:39
wti closes above 64 on july 8 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-07 21:39
wti closes above 75 on july 15 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-15 00:39
spy closes above 760 on july 7 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-07 03:25
spy closes above 730 on july 9 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-08 23:39
wti closes above 71 on july 8 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-08 09:39
wti closes above 73 on july 14 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-14 00:39
spy closes above 760 on july 13 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-13 05:39
spy closes above 725 on july 6 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-05 22:24
spy closes above 765 on july 15 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-14 23:39
wti closes above 70 on july 14 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	07-13 22:39
wti closes above 70 on july 8 2026	2	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	07-08 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa773e…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd70e6a…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x95abc0…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6b5611…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6053a4…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4c3487…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x321591…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x266389…
11-01 14:59:58	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x21f18b…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xee670f…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdfb83f…
11-01 06:59:43	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd23e6e…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xce1a0c…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb823f0…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb61947…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x99f831…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x679e66…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1a5852…
11-01 06:59:43	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0a9a7e…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf402c7…
11-01 06:58:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe86cc4…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa6f6cc…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x983be5…
11-01 06:58:45	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x839395…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x837c64…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x71cc50…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x68bf20…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2d0fc7…
11-01 06:58:45	Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x290865…
10-29 15:59:47	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xff4559…
10-29 15:59:47	Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb8d67…
10-29 15:59:47	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbddb13…
10-29 15:59:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7583f4…
10-29 15:59:47	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x68b562…
10-29 15:59:47	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x11a743…
10-29 06:59:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xed250e…
10-29 06:59:31	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9910f8…
10-29 06:59:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb122ce…
10-29 06:59:29	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x73076e…
10-29 06:59:29	Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6c2144…
10-29 06:59:29	Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x672763…
10-29 06:59:29	Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4212e7…
10-29 06:59:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x25238f…
10-29 06:59:29	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1fa429…
10-29 06:59:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x12927b…
10-28 08:59:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x78e5b7…
10-28 08:59:37	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x41328a…
10-28 07:59:35	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2511d6…
10-28 06:59:37	Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaf3cdf…
10-28 05:59:37	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x23e366…
10-28 05:59:35	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8fa792…
10-27 23:59:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x67bfb6…
10-27 23:58:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa15c36…
10-27 23:58:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x94db85…
10-27 23:58:50	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x75158e…
10-27 23:58:50	Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x639501…
10-27 23:58:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3ba1e4…
10-27 23:58:50	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2ed2eb…
10-27 23:58:50	Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1e642f…
10-27 18:59:26	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5bc5f0…
10-27 18:59:24	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaea431…
10-27 18:59:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x48a3b5…
10-27 18:59:24	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3f3ea9…
10-27 13:59:20	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb83fa2…
10-27 12:59:21	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc6437d…
10-27 09:59:20	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x38fcaa…
10-27 07:59:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9a13f5…
10-26 23:59:12	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x680adb…
10-26 23:59:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x07ec62…
10-26 22:59:15	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc655e9…
10-26 20:58:45	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcbb869…
10-26 20:58:45	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x036143…
10-26 20:58:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd8457d…
10-26 15:59:14	Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb7e27f…
10-26 15:59:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6dfe29…
10-26 15:59:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c9c35…
10-26 15:59:14	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x67e168…
10-26 15:59:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64af25…
10-26 15:59:14	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x601da7…
10-26 14:59:11	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb94a88…
10-26 14:59:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xad1d10…
10-26 14:59:11	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x40dae5…
10-26 12:59:11	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa9a113…
10-26 09:58:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf06eca…
10-26 08:58:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7ce32d…
10-26 06:58:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb4a9df…
10-26 05:59:09	Netanyahu drops out before election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ef3ba…
10-26 05:58:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x28b059…
10-26 02:58:35	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb944a7…
10-26 02:58:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd78475…
10-26 02:58:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2a0185…
10-26 00:59:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe55926…
10-26 00:59:05	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1439fa…
10-25 23:59:03	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77909d…
10-25 19:59:06	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1ea67…
10-25 11:59:11	Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1e83b6…
10-25 11:59:09	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x5b9644…
10-25 11:59:09	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x030b5b…
10-25 06:59:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d9600…
10-25 02:59:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x169db7…