Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
open
Total volume
$6,016
$5 in 24h
Trades
284
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$42,090
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 18:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $4.2K
vs crowd: 97% YES on $5.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $4.3K | $130 | +$4.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $501 | $10 | +$491 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $72 | $5 | +$68 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $119 | $10 | +$108 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 19 | $4.1K | $68 | +$4.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $55 | — | +$55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $277 | $21 | +$256 |
| Median | 4 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 17 | $120 | $12 | +$109 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $23 | $3 | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $343 | $51 | +$292 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | +2,915 | $2,848 | $2,848 | 23 | 10-19 14:42 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | +1,360 | $27 | $27 | 45 | 10-14 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +867 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-18 14:17 |
| Teeming-Ritual 0xdebb…eedb | No | +399 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-07 07:55 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +360 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 10-20 23:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +334 | $10 | $10 | 9 | 10-12 20:46 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | +300 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 10-07 07:55 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +298 | $277 | $277 | 24 | 07-17 16:14 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +290 | $12 | $30 | 16 | 09-03 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | No | +240 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 10-25 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | +220 | $213 | $213 | 2 | 10-07 10:41 |
| Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | +150 | $146 | $146 | 3 | 10-11 22:38 |
| Tart-Lava 0x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | +131 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 10-18 14:17 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | +124 | $4 | $6 | 9 | 10-19 11:28 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 10-20 05:43 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | +95 | $92 | $92 | 2 | 10-04 07:55 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +84 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb32b…4a7a | Yes | +72 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 07-16 13:04 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +70 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-11 22:38 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-19 09:36 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +44 | $40 | $451 | 8 | 10-15 08:24 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +44 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-19 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x310a…4f04 | Yes | +38 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 08-02 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | No | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 08:24 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:00 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +28 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 04:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +25 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 09-21 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-18 14:17 |
| Made-Up-Withdrawal 0xf324…cac4 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-20 05:43 |
| Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-20 05:43 |
| Front-Temporary 0x5d90…3c41 | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-17 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a5…afc8 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-19 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d7…eed7 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-25 01:42 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-20 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf703…90f0 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-19 02:45 |
| Envious-Fiesta 0xf1cd…4a46 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-24 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5517…926f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-25 12:33 |
| Delayed-Trust 0x7b82…8d9f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-01 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4383…170c | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-03 00:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-12 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-16 13:04 |
| Anguished-Mistake 0x6b60…4007 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +4 | $4 | $15 | 2 | 09-17 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-03 00:22 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $5 | 4 | 10-19 14:09 |
| Present-Lambkin 0xce60…6705 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-26 18:51 |
| Sick-Editor-Fringe 0xa020…6ce4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-09 08:50 |
| Cheap-Halibut 0x0a57…dc32 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $21 | 5 | 06-08 03:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:51:21 | Present-Lambkin 0xce60…6705 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xbca351… |
| 10-26 18:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xbca351… |
| 10-25 12:33:45 | (anonymous) 0x5517…926f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb27288… |
| 10-25 12:33:45 | (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb27288… |
| 10-25 01:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xb9d7…eed7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x63951a… |
| 10-25 01:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | No | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x63951a… |
| 10-20 23:56:53 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa41e50… |
| 10-20 23:56:53 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xa41e50… |
| 10-20 05:43:06 | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7d7d21… |
| 10-20 05:43:06 | Made-Up-Withdrawal 0xf324…cac4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x7d7d21… |
| 10-20 05:43:05 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x5ab058… |
| 10-20 05:43:05 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5ab058… |
| 10-19 14:42:33 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6fa022… |
| 10-19 14:42:33 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6fa022… |
| 10-19 14:09:33 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xc5abd0… |
| 10-19 14:09:33 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xc5abd0… |
| 10-19 14:09:26 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x9f37ae… |
| 10-19 14:09:26 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x9f37ae… |
| 10-19 13:23:03 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x679882… |
| 10-19 13:23:03 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x679882… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 44 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x31453c… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x278376… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x80b0b7… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x80b0b7… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 44 | 97¢ | $42 | 0x31453c… |
| 10-19 11:28:38 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x278376… |
| 10-19 09:36:06 | Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xaf6fc2… |
| 10-19 09:36:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xaf6fc2… |
| 10-19 09:36:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaf6fc2… |
| 10-19 02:06:50 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x515bd5… |
| 10-19 02:06:50 | (anonymous) 0x59a5…afc8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x515bd5… |
| 10-18 15:00:38 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x894f92… |
| 10-18 15:00:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x894f92… |
| 10-18 15:00:35 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c799c… |
| 10-18 15:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c799c… |
| 10-18 14:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd4cac1… |
| 10-18 14:48:17 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd4cac1… |
| 10-18 14:48:17 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 244 | 98¢ | $240 | 0xd4cac1… |
| 10-18 14:48:17 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 84 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd4cac1… |
| 10-18 14:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 216 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x3ec990… |
| 10-18 14:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 867 | 3¢ | $27 | 0x3ec990… |
| 10-18 14:17:26 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 500 | 97¢ | $485 | 0x3ec990… |
| 10-18 14:17:26 | Tart-Lava 0x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 96¢ | $126 | 0x3ec990… |
| 10-18 14:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x3ec990… |
| 10-15 08:24:44 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x36755c… |
| 10-15 08:24:44 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x36755c… |
| 10-15 08:24:44 | (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | No | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x36755c… |
| 10-14 23:30:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x37a3cf… |
| 10-14 23:30:48 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x37a3cf… |
| 10-12 20:46:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf3ed83… |
| 10-12 20:46:35 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf3ed83… |
| 10-12 20:12:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3c3a58… |
| 10-12 20:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c3a58… |
| 10-12 20:06:35 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x50dbf6… |
| 10-12 20:06:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x50dbf6… |
| 10-12 20:06:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x50dbf6… |
| 10-12 19:02:08 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x835582… |
| 10-12 19:02:08 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x835582… |
| 10-12 19:01:56 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x52ade1… |
| 10-12 19:01:56 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 131 | 98¢ | $128 | 0x52ade1… |
| 10-12 19:01:48 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 130 | 98¢ | $127 | 0x64f7e5… |
| 10-12 19:01:48 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x64f7e5… |
| 10-12 19:01:39 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 130 | 98¢ | $127 | 0xfcd5c8… |
| 10-12 19:01:39 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfcd5c8… |
| 10-12 19:01:33 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x10fdbe… |
| 10-12 19:01:33 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 129 | 98¢ | $126 | 0x10fdbe… |
| 10-12 19:01:26 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x17b83b… |
| 10-12 19:01:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17b83b… |
| 10-12 19:01:18 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x487207… |
| 10-12 19:01:18 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 128 | 98¢ | $125 | 0x487207… |
| 10-12 19:01:03 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xe5e4d7… |
| 10-12 19:01:03 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5e4d7… |
| 10-12 19:01:02 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6fc82c… |
| 10-12 19:01:02 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 127 | 98¢ | $124 | 0x6fc82c… |
| 10-12 19:00:56 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 127 | 98¢ | $124 | 0xf3f52a… |
| 10-12 19:00:56 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf3f52a… |
| 10-12 19:00:48 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 126 | 98¢ | $123 | 0x6a1389… |
| 10-12 19:00:48 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6a1389… |
| 10-12 19:00:42 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 182 | 98¢ | $178 | 0xc68c56… |
| 10-12 19:00:42 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc68c56… |
| 10-12 19:00:42 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc68c56… |
| 10-12 19:00:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc68c56… |
| 10-12 19:00:32 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | No | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcac210… |
| 10-12 19:00:32 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcac210… |
| 10-12 19:00:32 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 140 | 98¢ | $137 | 0xcac210… |
| 10-12 18:59:51 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x8d460a… |
| 10-12 18:59:51 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x8d460a… |
| 10-12 18:59:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x14cbea… |
| 10-12 18:59:35 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x14cbea… |
| 10-11 22:38:29 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x595284… |
| 10-11 22:38:29 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x595284… |
| 10-11 17:00:52 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa89681… |
| 10-11 17:00:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa89681… |
| 10-10 13:15:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0f9dfe… |
| 10-10 13:15:25 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0x0f9dfe… |
| 10-10 13:15:25 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x5532f7… |
| 10-10 13:15:25 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x5532f7… |
| 10-10 13:15:25 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x0f9dfe… |
| 10-09 18:23:11 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 130 | 98¢ | $127 | 0x04f32b… |
| 10-09 18:23:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x04f32b… |