Present-Lambkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,040

lifetime

Volume

$48.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$1.04K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$7

Politics

9% 100% +$4

Sports

8% — —

Tech

6% 50% +$0

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	+574	$488	94¢	$540	+$52	05-27 21:15
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+445	$144	46¢	$205	+$61	06-08 01:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	+275	$190	68¢	$187	$-2	06-08 04:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	+100	$41	56¢	$56	+$15	05-27 21:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	-387	$-14	3¢	$-12	+$1	06-01 12:07
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	+14	$11	85¢	$12	+$1	06-02 15:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	+53	$32	18¢	$10	$-22	06-09 09:21
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	+44	$9	21¢	$9	+$0	06-09 20:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	+56	$5	9¢	$5	+$0	06-06 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	66	$2.9K	1,301	1,631	-330	open	—	03-19 18:58
will the bank of brazil raise the selic rate after january 2026 meeting	17	$2.2K	2,232	0	+2,232	open	—	01-28 22:06
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$1.4K	1,535	600	+935	open	—	04-30 19:50
will state farm run an ad during super bowl lx	14	$1.3K	652	652	+0	open	—	02-08 22:44
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	15	$1.3K	1,188	400	+788	open	—	03-06 08:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$1.3K	644	644	+0	open	—	02-03 18:37
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	4	$1.2K	720	720	+0	open	—	01-09 04:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	03-13 03:42
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-12 16:38
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	8	$1.1K	537	587	-50	open	—	01-22 22:29
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	7	$1.0K	535	535	+0	open	—	01-21 17:15
will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	9	$968	485	485	+0	open	—	02-02 13:56
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	10	$821	720	212	+508	open	—	03-23 15:05
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$814	420	420	+0	open	—	02-11 16:36
will salesforce run an ad during super bowl lx	4	$653	331	331	+0	open	—	02-05 13:05
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$611	450	230	+220	open	—	01-05 20:25
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	20	$610	545	127	+418	open	—	01-28 22:49
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	7	$604	450	450	+0	open	—	02-16 03:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	6	$569	599	0	+599	open	—	04-25 15:02
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$569	241	341	-100	open	—	01-22 22:14
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	20	$567	2,425	440	+1,985	open	—	03-22 21:59
will bsw win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	15	$549	280	280	+0	open	—	03-12 20:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$547	405	405	+0	open	—	04-29 22:50
will polymarket mindshare hit 80 277 757 727	3	$545	0	726	-726	open	—	01-05 00:14
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$545	568	0	+568	open	—	02-11 17:19
will fw win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$507	258	258	+0	open	—	02-16 01:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	1	$488	574	0	+574	open	—	05-27 21:15
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	5	$471	250	250	+0	open	—	03-23 17:25
will trump visit greenland by march 31	13	$467	509	0	+509	open	—	03-05 06:17
spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	4	$457	500	0	+500	open	—	06-06 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:50:13	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xdd4fc2…
06-09 19:51:15	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x0c34d1…
06-09 19:50:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0c9b35…
06-09 14:27:00	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x2c4996…
06-09 14:26:18	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x649e3b…
06-09 10:20:24	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x097861…
06-09 10:19:57	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xd07e58…
06-09 09:21:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0xec5b12…
06-08 16:36:01	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xa353bd…
06-08 16:07:25	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xc49445…
06-08 15:59:10	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3bbcca…
06-08 15:53:54	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x45aa0a…
06-08 04:16:58	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xaad925…
06-08 03:08:22	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x1463d5…
06-08 01:26:09	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$94	0x6975a7…
06-08 01:25:48	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	300	70¢	$209	0x68ef49…
06-06 20:42:58	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	145	34¢	$50	0xcce374…
06-06 20:41:51	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	BUY	264	48¢	$127	0xf33e00…
06-06 12:33:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	158	8¢	$13	0xb5405c…
06-06 12:32:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa2daed…
06-06 12:32:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x612601…
06-06 12:29:46	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x3e585a…
06-06 10:46:13	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x913aa6…
06-06 03:16:04	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x40e7ec…
06-06 02:27:12	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x84469b…
06-05 19:22:25	will the ethereum volatility index hit 80 by june 30	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xc2865b…
06-02 15:03:33	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x146974…
06-02 15:03:16	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf8a205…
06-01 16:02:13	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	74	56¢	$41	0x42da12…
06-01 12:07:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	228	3¢	$8	0x6084ef…
06-01 11:37:55	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x9ab67a…
06-01 10:31:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x2a502c…
06-01 10:12:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0xb255f6…
06-01 09:47:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xf1979f…
06-01 09:37:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xcfbe5d…
05-27 21:19:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xbc4823…
05-27 21:19:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x102173…
05-27 21:15:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	Yes	BUY	458	15¢	$69	0x18dd2a…
05-27 21:15:44	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	BUY	574	85¢	$488	0x4527f9…
05-23 19:13:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x22ede7…
05-23 11:32:46	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0x5c429f…
05-23 11:31:51	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0x29bf98…
05-23 11:19:43	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	91	28¢	$25	0xf1b4e5…
05-23 07:25:40	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xadeab3…
05-23 05:14:28	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0c96a9…
05-23 02:10:36	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xbe396b…
05-23 01:53:39	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xb0b64e…
05-23 01:52:47	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0xbdff99…
05-23 01:49:54	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x357a1e…
05-23 01:49:47	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8ec481…
05-23 01:49:13	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8fcd3f…
05-23 01:46:38	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x624b45…
05-23 01:33:21	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x98ec1d…
05-23 01:33:07	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x4d1d57…
05-21 09:59:32	Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0d7299…
05-20 10:53:22	Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xdb87d4…
05-10 10:25:54	Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x4d79b6…
05-06 09:45:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x396df6…
05-04 23:08:36	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0xee9a46…
05-04 11:13:38	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$19	0xa9e638…
05-04 11:13:20	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	BUY	146	90¢	$131	0x076cd5…
05-01 18:53:44	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	SELL	137	85¢	$117	0x1d8c4e…
05-01 10:15:48	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	BUY	137	78¢	$107	0x3429ea…
04-30 19:50:54	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x8c498f…
04-30 10:21:48	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0xadb7ba…
04-30 10:20:22	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$0	0xd44a6e…
04-30 07:38:00	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb18de0…
04-29 23:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xe5e722…
04-29 23:15:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x14d58c…
04-29 23:02:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0xc55a42…
04-29 22:50:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	49	54¢	$27	0x2cc50c…
04-29 22:50:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	405	75¢	$304	0x93e188…
04-29 22:18:30	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$2	0xc751f3…
04-29 10:47:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6c9f99…
04-29 10:17:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xcd6759…
04-29 01:40:20	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x3d7eb0…
04-28 23:36:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xe71a30…
04-28 18:49:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xa1e359…
04-28 18:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	466	1¢	$5	0xdcced9…
04-28 17:40:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x2c337a…
04-28 16:30:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x289838…
04-28 16:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xe9d6ea…
04-28 16:29:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	62	30¢	$19	0xbdcb38…
04-28 16:23:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xba1b25…
04-28 16:23:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x14efca…
04-28 16:23:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x7ecb47…
04-28 16:23:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	800	1¢	$10	0x50c35b…
04-28 16:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$5	0x7c8a4d…
04-28 15:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0xcfae80…
04-28 14:44:00	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	467	98¢	$457	0x373f79…
04-28 14:39:24	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x78a1c4…
04-28 13:56:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x32dcdd…
04-28 13:53:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x025862…
04-28 13:26:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xc6cce6…
04-28 13:23:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	78	85¢	$66	0x9e9409…
04-28 13:20:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xc3e4df…
04-28 12:46:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x3ca473…
04-27 14:47:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5e6f8a…
04-27 14:41:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xdf07d4…
04-27 07:13:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	87	25¢	$22	0xd15f97…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	202	$11.6K	7,782	06-09 03:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	187	$1.01M	19,578	06-10 01:07
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	183	$22.1K	4,827	06-09 19:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	176	$55.6K	1,439	06-08 20:17
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	164	$322.3K	26,277	06-01 01:51
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	157	$14.8M	27,126	06-10 01:38
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	153	$36.0K	15,247	04-16 23:32
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	150	$7.03K	2,059	03-27 21:25