Present-Lambkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,189

lifetime

Volume

$59.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$400

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$7

Tech

11% 50% +$0

Politics

8% 100% +$4

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+445	$144	36¢	$160	+$17	06-08 01:26
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	+155	$117	82¢	$127	+$11	06-15 09:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+50	$32	77¢	$38	+$7	06-12 15:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	-52	$-14	39¢	$-20	$-7	06-13 10:46
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	-20	$-19	94¢	$-19	$-0	06-15 01:38
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	+44	$9	26¢	$12	+$3	06-09 20:50
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	+64	$18	18¢	$12	$-6	06-11 12:07
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	+14	$11	80¢	$11	$-0	06-02 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	66	$2.9K	1,301	1,631	-330	open	—	03-19 18:58
will the bank of brazil raise the selic rate after january 2026 meeting	17	$2.2K	2,232	0	+2,232	open	—	01-28 22:06
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	12	$1.6K	932	932	+0	open	—	07-18 22:59
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$1.4K	1,535	600	+935	open	—	04-30 19:50
will state farm run an ad during super bowl lx	14	$1.3K	652	652	+0	open	—	02-08 22:44
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	15	$1.3K	1,188	400	+788	open	—	03-06 08:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	5	$1.3K	644	644	+0	open	—	02-03 18:37
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	4	$1.2K	720	720	+0	open	—	01-09 04:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	03-13 03:42
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-12 16:38
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	8	$1.1K	537	587	-50	open	—	01-22 22:29
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	13	$1.1K	1,426	0	+1,426	open	—	06-14 16:47
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	7	$1.0K	535	535	+0	open	—	01-21 17:15
will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	9	$968	485	485	+0	open	—	02-02 13:56
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	9	$906	1,343	0	+1,343	open	—	06-14 22:47
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	10	$821	720	212	+508	open	—	03-23 15:05
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	3	$814	600	450	+150	open	—	07-09 03:14
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$814	420	420	+0	open	—	02-11 16:36
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	4	$661	700	0	+700	open	—	06-12 18:46
will salesforce run an ad during super bowl lx	4	$653	331	331	+0	open	—	02-05 13:05
spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	9	$628	690	0	+690	open	—	06-12 17:28
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$611	450	230	+220	open	—	01-05 20:25
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	20	$610	545	127	+418	open	—	01-28 22:49
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	7	$604	450	450	+0	open	—	02-16 03:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	6	$569	599	0	+599	open	—	04-25 15:02
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$569	241	341	-100	open	—	01-22 22:14
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	20	$567	2,425	440	+1,985	open	—	03-22 21:59
will openai ipo by september 30 2026	15	$553	694	0	+694	open	—	06-22 14:33
will bsw win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	15	$549	280	280	+0	open	—	03-12 20:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$547	405	405	+0	open	—	04-29 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:28:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x2a97b4…
07-18 22:59:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	532	97¢	$514	0xd8765c…
07-18 22:55:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x5b9f2f…
07-18 22:55:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x35cbc3…
07-18 22:53:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	182	65¢	$118	0xcb2807…
07-18 22:51:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x8cfa73…
07-18 22:47:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	191	85¢	$162	0xe8e032…
07-18 22:47:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	209	85¢	$178	0xb47e12…
07-18 22:23:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	132	75¢	$100	0xcbd644…
07-18 22:23:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x43bfda…
07-18 22:23:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xba39bb…
07-18 22:22:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x317f39…
07-18 22:17:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x6f0851…
07-18 22:16:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	169	92¢	$155	0x9ceb61…
07-18 22:16:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0xd51f9c…
07-18 22:16:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x723466…
07-18 22:16:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x8679a2…
07-17 04:24:58	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	Yes	SELL	293	58¢	$170	0x2d9fb4…
07-13 19:41:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots lamine yamal gte2	No	BUY	92	17¢	$16	0x2d98c7…
07-13 19:01:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots lamine yamal gte2	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1de6b0…
07-13 17:35:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots lamine yamal gte2	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe990af…
07-13 13:21:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 shots lamine yamal gte5	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x545460…
07-12 18:27:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x2ee968…
07-12 18:25:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0xcee22c…
07-12 18:24:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xeaf4aa…
07-09 03:21:05	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8093c3…
07-09 03:20:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa24235…
07-09 03:20:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0ee623…
07-09 03:20:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe65352…
07-09 03:14:02	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	SELL	450	77¢	$346	0x105a91…
07-09 03:01:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x93c51e…
07-09 02:58:20	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xab1bc9…
07-02 05:54:20	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x3be445…
06-22 14:33:37	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x969434…
06-22 08:35:46	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x1bb6dd…
06-22 03:53:50	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x756ef5…
06-22 02:52:59	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x75eb0e…
06-22 01:22:35	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaf612c…
06-22 01:21:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1ef924…
06-22 01:21:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0a2fcd…
06-22 01:15:20	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x866ac0…
06-22 01:15:10	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbb5219…
06-22 01:14:56	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9d73f0…
06-22 01:14:44	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x366a01…
06-22 00:13:13	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xa491df…
06-21 19:31:10	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x79b8ec…
06-21 08:22:32	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x263dc7…
06-15 18:06:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6dba75…
06-15 15:45:40	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x93f005…
06-15 15:34:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2d615f…
06-15 12:51:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xd6cba0…
06-15 09:42:10	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	120	61¢	$73	0x51d349…
06-15 09:12:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xfbaeaf…
06-15 07:13:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x1fb89b…
06-15 01:38:36	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x59c92c…
06-15 00:17:19	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	179	86¢	$154	0xf65246…
06-14 22:47:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	88	95¢	$83	0x14b7c3…
06-14 22:44:19	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x03ace0…
06-14 16:58:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	398	95¢	$378	0x07c990…
06-14 16:47:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x9cc5e1…
06-14 16:11:43	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x050f11…
06-14 15:25:43	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	169	94¢	$159	0x0b18ef…
06-14 14:06:48	will ukraine sign an eu accession treaty by december 31 2027 20260611204943691	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xe2d96f…
06-14 13:22:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	121	93¢	$112	0x872cb3…
06-14 12:34:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x044f4a…
06-14 12:28:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6fc53a…
06-14 11:49:22	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x5ee583…
06-14 10:37:07	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	326	95¢	$310	0x05a58f…
06-14 10:30:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0x5a3841…
06-14 10:30:33	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	69	95¢	$65	0xb58c84…
06-14 10:30:21	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x3e211a…
06-14 10:06:51	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	381	4¢	$15	0x0469a4…
06-14 08:31:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	185	6¢	$11	0xeffd4c…
06-14 06:00:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	170	53¢	$90	0xe580be…
06-14 06:00:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x4a6b77…
06-14 06:00:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	111	53¢	$59	0x2c2d21…
06-14 04:54:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xd4f410…
06-14 03:50:04	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0xbda292…
06-13 22:13:43	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x73cba9…
06-13 22:01:00	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	68	86¢	$59	0xbb8d24…
06-13 20:57:40	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xed7ed6…
06-13 20:18:48	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	550	45¢	$247	0x457195…
06-13 20:16:52	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x2307ae…
06-13 20:16:07	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xcc0401…
06-13 19:57:42	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	329	20¢	$66	0x1d6394…
06-13 19:36:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xd135f0…
06-13 15:37:58	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xa3409e…
06-13 15:31:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x7d278c…
06-13 14:22:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xea3aba…
06-13 10:46:16	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	SELL	52	26¢	$14	0xe44855…
06-12 20:15:06	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xabc69a…
06-12 19:39:06	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x86f573…
06-12 19:36:07	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x91f6a8…
06-12 19:32:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf1ff43…
06-12 19:29:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x485022…
06-12 19:24:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x4ff8f2…
06-12 19:23:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0x170af6…
06-12 19:19:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x52641a…
06-12 19:19:40	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x2251ba…
06-12 19:19:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xe91b4c…