Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$303

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-25 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

31% 75% +$412

Other

30% 67% -$235

Tech

16% 80% +$87

Crypto

13% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 83% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+100	$97	99¢	$99	+$2	05-02 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	1	$335	500	+500	Spurs	+$165	02-12 02:21
nba phi lac 2026 02 02	1	$315	700	+700	76ers	+$385	02-02 07:45
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$191	200	+200	No	+$9	02-12 02:25
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$188	200	+200	No	+$12	03-23 06:14
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	1	$184	200	+200	No	+$16	02-12 02:19
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$166	200	+200	No	-$166	02-12 02:26
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	1	$150	500	+500	Lakers	-$150	02-12 02:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$135	200	+200	Yes	+$65	02-12 02:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-23 06:29
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-27 05:18
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	02-12 02:28
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-23 06:15
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-23 06:21
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$99	100	+100	No	+$1	03-23 06:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$99	100	+100	No	+$1	03-23 06:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$98	100	+100	Yes	+$2	03-23 06:20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$97	100	+100	open	—	05-02 20:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$95	100	+100	Yes	+$5	02-12 02:19
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-23 06:30
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$92	100	+100	No	+$8	01-27 05:20
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$89	100	+100	No	+$11	01-27 05:21
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$65	100	+100	Yes	+$35	03-23 06:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$52	400	+400	No	-$52	03-23 06:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$22	100	+100	Yes	-$22	01-27 05:19
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$16	200	+200	No	-$16	02-12 02:20
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	10-25 01:42
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	09-18 07:26
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	08-14 06:57
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	07-11 20:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-02 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:42:29	Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x63951a…
09-18 07:26:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61286e…
08-14 06:57:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbdb1eb…
07-11 20:10:32	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3071a3…
06-08 09:30:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x10c649…
05-02 20:35:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x59c13f…
05-02 20:35:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa4f077…
04-08 07:17:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa46546…
03-23 06:30:09	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x681f7a…
03-23 06:29:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xec7fe0…
03-23 06:22:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0xa36871…
03-23 06:22:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0x85945f…
03-23 06:21:37	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2a73c4…
03-23 06:20:59	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8b2888…
03-23 06:20:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x782303…
03-23 06:20:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x71fdab…
03-23 06:17:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x07d132…
03-23 06:15:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x64f2ca…
03-23 06:15:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1fd227…
03-23 06:14:43	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x39ab6a…
02-12 02:28:39	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e0dd7…
02-12 02:28:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$135	0xdf8ddb…
02-12 02:26:27	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x79b4ea…
02-12 02:25:55	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x44179d…
02-12 02:24:01	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Mavericks	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x64bed6…
02-12 02:21:33	nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	Spurs	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x49b89c…
02-12 02:20:35	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x22a45f…
02-12 02:19:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x9d7d3b…
02-12 02:19:05	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x81ed3a…
02-02 07:45:56	nba phi lac 2026 02 02	76ers	BUY	700	45¢	$315	0x732efc…
01-27 05:21:09	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x500e3a…
01-27 05:20:17	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x91b094…
01-27 05:19:31	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xed9105…
01-27 05:18:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9561ba…