Realized P&L
+$125.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.37K
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
36,109
Trades
154,396
lifetime
Volume
$9.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$25.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-29 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
79% 47% +$62,640
Sports
19% 52% +$59,063
Politics
1% 40% +$8,101
Tech
0% 56% -$3,383
Crypto
0% 35% -$1,085
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$599
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,057 $4,906 72¢ $4.4K -$515 10-22 13:46
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10,486 $4,247 24¢ $2.5K -$1,730 10-21 15:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +29,991 $2,104 8¢ $2.2K +$145 10-29 14:49
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +6,968 $1,951 27¢ $1.9K -$70 10-25 04:35
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1,352 $1,190 91¢ $1.2K +$41 10-16 22:32
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +1,826 $855 65¢ $1.2K +$324 10-27 11:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5,438 $1,122 22¢ $1.2K +$47 10-02 20:18
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +12,964 $1,677 9¢ $1.2K -$511 10-28 09:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +17,020 $1,134 6¢ $1.1K -$27 10-29 15:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,246 $864 41¢ $916 +$52 10-28 12:44
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +875 $750 92¢ $810 +$59 10-29 17:40
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4,701 $417 14¢ $658 +$241 10-16 04:23
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +517 $465 97¢ $502 +$36 10-10 05:15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,323 $518 22¢ $499 -$18 10-21 00:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,375 $502 8¢ $478 -$24 10-29 14:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +444 $323 99¢ $439 +$116 10-20 15:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +445 $330 93¢ $416 +$86 10-27 10:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +668 $362 59¢ $395 +$33 10-28 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +375 $337 96¢ $360 +$23 10-22 14:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4,313 $614 7¢ $287 -$327 10-28 12:47
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +317 $292 89¢ $282 -$10 10-08 14:40
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No +2,526 $202 11¢ $278 +$76 10-15 23:21
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,175 $288 23¢ $265 -$23 10-29 05:35
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,844 $425 8¢ $242 -$184 10-25 04:46
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1,464 $176 16¢ $234 +$59 10-23 16:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +661 $198 35¢ $231 +$33 10-23 07:31
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +622 $341 37¢ $230 -$111 10-29 17:09
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,082 $424 20¢ $216 -$207 10-21 15:53
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,403 $186 3¢ $215 +$28 10-24 07:14
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1,521 $221 14¢ $213 -$8 10-29 09:01