Realized P&L
+$138.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.35K
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
35,461
Trades
152,341
lifetime
Volume
$9.85M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$25.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-28 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
79% 47% +$76,863
Sports
19% 52% +$57,351
Politics
1% 39% +$8,120
Tech
0% 56% -$3,383
Crypto
0% 35% -$1,085
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$599
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,057 $4,906 72¢ $4.4K -$515 10-22 13:46
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +6,968 $1,951 30¢ $2.1K +$174 10-25 04:35
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +10,486 $4,247 20¢ $2.1K -$2,150 10-21 15:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,844 $1,201 100¢ $1.8K +$643 10-15 12:30
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28? Yes +1,732 $1,062 78¢ $1.3K +$281 10-28 17:58
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1,352 $1,190 90¢ $1.2K +$34 10-16 22:32
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,338 $1,087 91¢ $1.2K +$129 10-24 00:32
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +12,964 $1,677 9¢ $1.2K -$511 10-28 09:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,246 $864 44¢ $993 +$129 10-28 12:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5,438 $1,122 16¢ $843 -$280 10-02 20:18
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +785 $666 94¢ $734 +$69 10-28 00:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4,701 $417 14¢ $635 +$217 10-16 04:23
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +1,826 $855 29¢ $537 -$319 10-27 11:55
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 Over +479 $469 99¢ $474 +$5 10-28 17:58
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,323 $518 20¢ $453 -$65 10-21 00:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +444 $323 98¢ $436 +$112 10-20 15:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +445 $330 97¢ $432 +$102 10-27 10:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +5,628 $450 8¢ $422 -$28 10-07 18:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,560 $445 8¢ $417 -$28 10-07 18:05
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +573 $315 70¢ $401 +$86 10-24 23:46
M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey Giles Hussey — +3,911 $852 10¢ $391 -$461 10-28 17:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +668 $362 56¢ $373 +$11 10-28 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +375 $337 96¢ $360 +$23 10-22 14:43
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +317 $292 90¢ $287 -$5 10-08 14:40
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5 Over — +361 $270 76¢ $274 +$4 10-28 17:58
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,155 $284 23¢ $266 -$18 10-10 04:11
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28? No — +306 $232 86¢ $262 +$30 10-28 18:01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1,464 $176 18¢ $256 +$81 10-23 16:07
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,844 $425 9¢ $256 -$170 10-25 04:46
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,403 $186 4¢ $253 +$67 10-24 07:14