Muted-Primary 0x9163b6…9b82ae Create alert
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$20.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.58K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
1,159
Trades
14,294
lifetime
Volume
$389.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$21.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 11-07 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Politics
73% 38% +$19,048
Other
24% 42% +$248
Sports
3% 30% +$914
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1
Crypto
0% 0% —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +5,674 $2,533 88¢ $5.0K +$2,489 11-07 13:11
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,221 $1,933 89¢ $2.0K +$49 11-04 13:05
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +1,459 $1,341 95¢ $1.4K +$52 11-07 09:26
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +1,059 $922 94¢ $996 +$74 11-07 09:26
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,000 $912 96¢ $955 +$42 10-12 17:23
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +923 $758 88¢ $807 +$50 11-02 08:36
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +786 $304 96¢ $758 +$455 11-04 06:33
Will PSOE receive between 26% and 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,028 $628 73¢ $745 +$118 11-04 15:04
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +8,258 $3,992 9¢ $723 -$3,269 11-07 03:50
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? No +693 $507 91¢ $632 +$125 11-04 07:23
Will PP win the most seats in Zaragoza in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +615 $555 93¢ $574 +$19 11-07 17:31
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +528 $129 99¢ $525 +$396 10-29 05:38
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No +500 $482 99¢ $494 +$12 11-02 08:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +521 $54 93¢ $484 +$430 11-04 12:55
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +468 $435 99¢ $465 +$30 11-05 12:23
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +500 $445 90¢ $448 +$2 10-09 11:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%? No +448 $359 98¢ $441 +$82 10-28 22:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +500 $434 88¢ $440 +$6 10-17 18:45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? Yes +451 $185 97¢ $439 +$254 11-04 03:55
Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +435 $384 94¢ $409 +$25 11-07 13:10
Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +416 $349 94¢ $393 +$44 11-07 13:10
Will PP win the most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +417 $316 85¢ $354 +$39 11-07 11:37
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +2,681 $608 12¢ $308 -$299 11-05 09:10
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? No +300 $231 100¢ $299 +$68 11-02 07:48
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +300 $225 98¢ $295 +$70 11-04 00:59
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +336 $260 76¢ $256 -$4 11-07 00:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,500 $263 17¢ $250 -$13 11-03 20:03
Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes +276 $19 90¢ $249 +$230 10-15 20:59
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +300 $273 82¢ $246 -$27 09-28 19:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%? No +250 $205 96¢ $240 +$35 11-03 18:42