Envious-Fiesta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$335

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

1,759

Trades

2,727

lifetime

Volume

$39.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$66

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-26 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

91% 96% -$215

Politics

5% 84% -$26

Sports

3% 86% -$9

Tech

1% 100% +$9

Crypto

0% 43% -$94

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+35	$9	96¢	$34	+$25	05-24 23:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	06-30 00:49
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+7	$6	90¢	$6	+$1	05-24 19:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+10	$6	44¢	$4	-$1	05-29 20:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+67	$15	1¢	$1	-$15	05-25 07:37
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	+5	$0	8¢	$0	+$0	06-02 10:36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+40	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	05-24 22:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+11	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-25 05:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+4	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-25 00:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	6	$271	239	239	+0	Yes	+$3	05-28 20:14
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	37	$147	156	156	+0	cancelled	-$7	06-26 08:24
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	5	$81	107	0	+107	Yes	+$26	05-24 20:28
iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	2	$59	61	0	+61	No	+$2	07-08 02:20
Exact Score: Columbus Crew 3 - 2 Atlas FC?	11	$55	57	0	+57	No	+$2	08-04 04:08
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 3 - 3 CF Pachuca?	10	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	08-04 04:08
Exact Score: CD Tolima 3 - 2 Independiente Medellín?	3	$49	51	0	+51	No	+$2	08-05 00:30
Exact Score: AC Horsens 2 - 3 Brøndby IF?	2	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$1	08-09 16:14
Exact Score: CF Monterrey 0 - 3 Orlando City SC?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	08-06 02:20
Exact Score: CDT RealOruro 0 - 2 Club Independiente Petrolero?	1	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	08-01 20:31
Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 0 - 0 Macarthur FC?	2	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	-$40	08-11 09:55
Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0 - 1 Henan FC?	2	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	08-15 12:28
Exact Score: Los Angeles FC 0 - 1 Querétaro FC?	2	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	08-13 03:18
Exact Score: IF Elfsborg 0 - 3 IK Sirius?	2	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	07-19 16:12
kor jej gwo 2026 07 21 total 5pt5	1	$40	42	0	+42	Under	+$2	07-21 10:57
Will Cusco FC vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?	2	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	07-19 00:45
Exact Score: FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	3	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	08-03 15:44
brco cru cha 2026 08 05 total 5pt5	1	$40	42	0	+42	Under	+$2	08-05 23:16
will anyone say morty 20 times during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117496	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	07-20 07:31
Exact Score: CA Newell's Old Boys 2 - 1 CA Boca Juniors?	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	08-02 21:10
Exact Score: Orlando Pride 3 - 1 Kansas City Current?	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	07-11 02:21
wnba ind la 2026 07 08 total 183pt5	3	$40	42	0	+42	Over	+$2	07-09 03:54
bra2 acg fec 2026 07 12 spread away 2pt5	2	$40	42	0	+42	AC Goianiense	+$2	07-12 21:33
Exact Score: CSyD Defensa y Justicia 2 - 2 CD Riestra?	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	07-29 21:30
col1 llf dep 2026 07 24 spread home 2pt5	1	$40	42	0	+42	Deportivo Pereira	+$2	07-25 00:25
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5	2	$40	42	0	+42	Under	+$2	07-28 23:44
arg riv1 cah 2026 07 30 total 5pt5	1	$40	42	0	+42	Under	+$2	07-30 23:07
Exact Score: FC CFR 1907 Cluj 0 - 1 FC Voluntari?	2	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	07-26 23:08
Will FC Porto vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	08-09 18:04
Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 2 - 3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	07-17 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 16:19:46	Exact Score: VfL Wolfsburg 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0x8fbf18…
08-26 11:22:10	Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 3 - 1 CA Osasuna?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x184e44…
08-18 10:43:10	iran successfully targets shipping on august 15 2026 20260729163314535	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x652f3e…
08-17 02:45:27	Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xad5cec…
08-17 02:01:39	Exact Score: Austin FC 2 - 3 FC Dallas?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0256c8…
08-17 00:54:22	Exact Score: Austin FC 0 - 3 FC Dallas?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf1ea62…
08-16 23:51:52	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1b6cec…
08-16 23:51:51	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xf7f032…
08-16 22:40:49	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb6e72f…
08-16 17:02:48	Exact Score: Rams Başakşehir FK 2 - 2 Kocaelispor?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x81391e…
08-16 14:16:12	Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xc408ba…
08-16 14:11:52	Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf92a2…
08-16 13:30:33	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf68c2b…
08-16 13:18:37	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x2fb720…
08-16 12:51:25	Exact Score: Feyenoord Rotterdam 0 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x962e59…
08-16 11:30:18	Exact Score: ADO Den Haag 3 - 3 FC Groningen?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x05a547…
08-16 11:29:48	Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7b7083…
08-16 11:29:37	Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xa9e74b…
08-16 10:31:45	Exact Score: ADO Den Haag 2 - 3 FC Groningen?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8fa672…
08-16 10:31:45	Exact Score: ADO Den Haag 3 - 2 FC Groningen?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8df5df…
08-16 03:48:42	Exact Score: Deportivo Saprissa 3 - 3 CS Cartaginés?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x027dd5…
08-16 02:30:15	Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x757803…
08-16 00:58:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x778778…
08-16 00:37:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0x5dfea9…
08-15 22:55:40	nfl la kc 2026 08 15	Rams	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa6489c…
08-15 22:53:34	nfl la kc 2026 08 15	Rams	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xfb5778…
08-15 20:33:30	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x509967…
08-15 20:19:42	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x818bb3…
08-15 19:42:49	Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Zlín end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x510e72…
08-15 19:41:46	Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Zlín end in a draw?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x30c953…
08-15 19:37:43	nfl car buf 2026 08 15	Bills	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xaac4a3…
08-15 14:47:19	Exact Score: Bayern Munich 3 - 2 RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x63aba7…
08-15 14:40:03	Will SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xf4b33d…
08-15 14:31:06	Exact Score: Bayern Munich 1 - 2 RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x18eeaf…
08-15 14:27:00	clf m05 bou 2026 08 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x7110f1…
08-15 13:43:36	clf bmu rbl 2026 08 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde2a21…
08-15 13:42:48	clf bmu rbl 2026 08 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5b7aa5…
08-15 13:01:03	Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 3 - 3 Henan FC?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xee9520…
08-15 12:46:24	clf scf cry 2026 08 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xdbef0b…
08-15 12:38:36	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x9498eb…
08-15 12:28:51	Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0 - 1 Henan FC?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x3136c2…
08-15 12:28:51	Exact Score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 0 - 1 Henan FC?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x2c1fa7…
08-15 10:35:00	Exact Score: Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 2 Yokohama F·Marinos?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x143deb…
08-15 03:24:16	Exact Score: AD San Carlos 2 - 1 CS Herediano?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdd54f4…
08-15 00:00:21	Exact Score: São Bernardo FC 1 - 2 Botafogo FC?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x9f7890…
08-14 23:56:33	Exact Score: Racing Club 0 - 2 CA Banfield?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x809dd1…
08-14 23:56:25	Exact Score: AA Ponte Preta 1 - 3 Clube Náutico Capibaribe?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x99be5b…
08-14 23:54:45	Exact Score: Racing Club 0 - 2 CA Banfield?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56c602…
08-14 23:25:48	Exact Score: CD Universidad de Concepción 3 - 1 CD La Serena?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xebfe2b…
08-14 23:24:45	Exact Score: São Bernardo FC 2 - 1 Botafogo FC?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xaa04f7…
08-14 20:52:43	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x18dd67…
08-14 19:49:19	clf ata ath 2026 08 14 spread home 2pt5	Athletic Bilbao	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x685217…
08-14 19:19:49	Exact Score: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2 - 2 Blackburn Rovers FC?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x6b2838…
08-14 13:24:48	Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7e493e…
08-14 12:44:00	Exact Score: Wuhan San Zhen FC 2 - 3 Shanghai Haigang FC?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x238d85…
08-14 12:33:42	Exact Score: Wuhan San Zhen FC 1 - 3 Shanghai Haigang FC?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x80185c…
08-14 12:15:04	Exact Score: Wuhan San Zhen FC 1 - 3 Shanghai Haigang FC?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x22c390…
08-14 11:59:27	Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-08-14?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xc89493…
08-14 11:03:27	jap fct1 rey 2026 08 14 spread home 1pt5	Kashiwa Reysol	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x86ff64…
08-14 09:31:48	lol t1a dkc 2026 08 13 game1	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xd4ffbe…
08-14 09:26:06	lol t1a dkc 2026 08 13 game2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x840e52…
08-14 09:18:03	Exact Score: CF Intercity 0 - 1 Atletico Levante UD?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x2b182d…
08-14 04:49:15	Exact Score: FK Orenburg 2 - 3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x124052…
08-14 03:05:21	lec caz chi 2026 08 13 spread away 1pt5	CF Cruz Azul	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe27a6e…
08-14 02:45:18	Exact Score: Portland Timbers 0 - 1 Club Tijuana?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x12a955…
08-14 02:43:15	nfl ari lv 2026 08 14	Cardinals	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xbee69b…
08-14 02:40:16	lec por tij 2026 08 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x2c6ecc…
08-14 02:11:21	Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 1 - 2 Chicago Fire FC?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x5c3527…
08-13 22:42:36	Exact Score: CF América 1 - 3 Austin FC?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1fca2e…
08-13 22:10:49	Exact Score: Philadelphia Union 2 - 3 Club Santos Laguna?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x862ebe…
08-13 21:04:25	Exact Score: Portland Timbers 3 - 2 Club Tijuana?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb89e25…
08-13 20:20:18	Exact Score: Portland Timbers 3 - 2 Club Tijuana?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x13de6e…
08-13 19:18:52	Exact Score: Tōkyō Verdy 2 - 2 Kashiwa Reysol?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8b94f1…
08-13 18:00:00	Exact Score: NSÍ Runavík 3 - 0 FC Lugano?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf44088…
08-13 17:20:58	Exact Score: Ilves Tampere 2 - 0 HNK Rijeka?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xeb9743…
08-13 16:02:42	col tob par 2026 08 13 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x348041…
08-13 16:02:37	col tob par 2026 08 13 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x9b18a1…
08-13 15:37:06	Exact Score: FC Vaduz 3 - 2 FC Inter Turku?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x59eb8b…
08-13 14:06:21	Exact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 0 - 3 FK Dynamo Kyiv?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4110df…
08-13 13:20:21	Exact Score: KF Shkëndija 79 3 - 3 Hibernian FC?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b86c8…
08-13 12:04:33	Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x5ed2bf…
08-13 12:04:19	Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf7f1b2…
08-13 11:20:03	Exact Score: FC Nordsjælland 2 - 2 KF Valur?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x12f8ba…
08-13 09:03:43	Exact Score: FC Flora 2 - 3 Inter Club d'Escaldes?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7cdb0b…
08-13 09:03:42	Exact Score: FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda 2 - 3 FC Twente?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfd4533…
08-13 09:03:40	Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 1 - 3 Al Hazem SC?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc84740…
08-13 08:58:09	Exact Score: HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 3 FK Žalgiris Vilnius?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ee1e2…
08-13 08:58:07	Exact Score: NSÍ Runavík 2 - 3 FC Lugano?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf32a7e…
08-13 08:58:07	Exact Score: NSÍ Runavík 3 - 3 FC Lugano?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7cf09…
08-13 08:58:06	Exact Score: Shelbourne FC 3 - 0 AFC Ajax?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04fee1…
08-13 08:58:04	Exact Score: KAA Gent 3 - 2 IFK Göteborg?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x760b79…
08-13 08:58:04	Exact Score: Motherwell FC 2 - 3 Helsingin JK?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4dd876…
08-13 08:58:04	Exact Score: Motherwell FC 3 - 2 Helsingin JK?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x09b428…
08-13 08:58:03	Exact Score: KAA Gent 2 - 2 IFK Göteborg?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x736a9a…
08-13 08:58:03	Exact Score: FK Austria Wien 3 - 2 MH Beitar Jerusalem?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x552813…
08-13 08:58:03	Exact Score: FC Sion 3 - 2 Noah FA?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x19648b…
08-13 08:58:03	Exact Score: KAA Gent 2 - 3 IFK Göteborg?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f49b3…
08-13 08:58:01	Exact Score: FC Sion 2 - 2 Noah FA?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaf16fb…
08-13 08:58:01	Exact Score: FC St. Gallen 3 - 2 FC Sheriff Tiraspol?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x156e37…
08-13 08:58:00	Exact Score: FC Drita 0 - 3 Tre Fiori FC?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5519ac…