Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
63
Trades
153
lifetime
Volume
$183
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$24
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 10-27 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
39% 64% +$1
Politics
35% 78% +$2
Other
26% 95% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 10-09 08:49
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-27 12:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-09 08:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 10-09 08:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 08-20 08:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-17 07:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-20 13:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-17 10:12
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-09 08:50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-06 10:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 62¢ $1 $0 08-20 13:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 87¢ $-1 $0 10-09 08:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $0 07-17 07:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -2 -$1 32¢ $-1 +$0 09-23 08:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $0 10-27 12:21