Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.85K

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,257

lifetime

Volume

$1.49M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$660

Open exposure

$25.2K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

51% 88% -$5,714

Politics

47% 95% +$26,176

Sports

2% 50% +$1,434

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+20,000	$14,502	92¢	$18.3K	+$3,798	11-04 21:22
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+3,841	$3,044	98¢	$3.8K	+$738	11-04 04:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+3,291	$2,505	93¢	$3.1K	+$568	08-08 06:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	-$743	33¢	$0	+$743	09-13 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	49	$169.6K	70,000	100,000	-30,000	Yes	+$100	02-03 16:42
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	53	$166.1K	156,935	10,000	+146,935	No	+$828	01-03 23:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	125	$91.1K	79,695	31,800	+47,895	Yes	-$4,066	03-01 01:08
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	67	$83.6K	84,492	0	+84,492	Yes	+$890	02-03 01:24
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	35	$82.2K	82,715	0	+82,715	Yes	+$529	01-03 13:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	144	$66.4K	62,551	10,407	+52,144	Yes	+$1,814	03-01 16:13
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	52	$47.1K	51,088	0	+51,088	Usyk	+$3,972	05-23 20:15
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	22	$45.8K	44,172	2,000	+42,172	No	+$214	02-03 17:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	99	$37.7K	38,245	0	+38,245	Yes	+$506	04-26 16:32
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	20	$33.9K	17,134	17,134	+0	No	+$187	10-25 23:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	48	$30.3K	30,671	0	+30,671	Yes	+$410	03-23 16:53
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	22	$29.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	+$60	02-09 22:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	81	$28.1K	28,100	8,100	+20,000	open	—	11-04 21:22
us forces in venezuela by march 31 2026	4	$25.6K	25,645	0	+25,645	Yes	+$52	01-03 13:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	26	$25.1K	27,650	0	+27,650	Yes	+$2,586	11-04 00:45
us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31	3	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	+$65	01-01 17:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$24.4K	26,092	0	+26,092	Yes	+$1,717	02-28 13:57
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	55	$23.2K	23,616	0	+23,616	Yes	+$437	03-24 11:29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	127	$22.1K	16,022	11,022	+5,000	Yes	+$594	11-04 03:27
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	23	$21.9K	22,287	0	+22,287	No	+$401	01-15 19:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	46	$20.4K	17,112	7,112	+10,000	No	+$2,231	01-15 21:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$19.7K	19,839	0	+19,839	Yes	+$92	03-11 00:03
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	53	$17.4K	17,616	0	+17,616	Yes	+$249	10-26 00:26
will the us strike somalia next 656	15	$16.9K	17,018	0	+17,018	Yes	+$123	01-24 07:38
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	69	$16.5K	18,494	0	+18,494	Yes	+$2,032	11-03 20:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	20	$15.8K	16,033	0	+16,033	No	+$207	02-15 02:01
atp piros glinka 2026 08 26	20	$15.5K	38,126	0	+38,126	Zsombor Piros	-$15,547	08-26 21:02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	23	$15.4K	14,781	4,000	+10,781	Yes	+$453	03-01 00:00
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	25	$15.1K	15,393	0	+15,393	Yes	+$313	04-16 15:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	62	$15.1K	17,297	0	+17,297	Yes	+$2,234	11-04 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:22:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,100	89¢	$1,869	0x31e8dd…
11-04 04:45:58	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x62657d…
11-04 03:30:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7cd7a9…
11-04 03:27:42	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,649	94¢	$1,550	0xe362fd…
11-04 03:26:52	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x298a6d…
11-04 03:26:40	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x8a2aef…
11-04 03:22:10	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	140	78¢	$109	0x33b66c…
11-04 03:20:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	103	80¢	$83	0x439091…
11-04 03:19:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x936bf0…
11-04 03:19:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	93	80¢	$74	0x8454b4…
11-04 03:19:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	570	80¢	$456	0xd318cc…
11-04 03:19:18	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	231	80¢	$185	0x72afe6…
11-04 03:13:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x8418dd…
11-04 03:07:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0x4bc202…
11-04 03:02:39	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0xe069a5…
11-04 02:31:00	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x39c663…
11-04 02:12:58	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0x52ba32…
11-04 02:12:39	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x2677b1…
11-04 02:12:37	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	90¢	$107	0xa43f68…
11-04 02:12:36	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x60c18b…
11-04 02:12:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	90¢	$214	0xa1d860…
11-04 02:12:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	90¢	$78	0x7fa9b9…
11-04 02:12:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	363	90¢	$327	0xe42790…
11-04 02:12:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	90¢	$133	0x54a66e…
11-04 02:07:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x883004…
11-04 02:06:09	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x80b53f…
11-04 02:05:04	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x4770fb…
11-04 02:01:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,275	0x9529e0…
11-04 01:59:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xc93d37…
11-04 01:59:25	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	90¢	$333	0x48f113…
11-04 01:59:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x1921b3…
11-04 01:59:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x49d137…
11-04 01:59:21	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x13fab4…
11-04 01:59:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	90¢	$130	0x89cdb0…
11-04 01:59:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x44598a…
11-04 01:59:09	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xa11042…
11-04 01:58:58	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	90¢	$82	0x538363…
11-04 01:58:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	90¢	$54	0x9ba742…
11-04 01:58:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	89¢	$69	0x65f9ee…
11-04 01:58:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	89¢	$139	0xb8da06…
11-04 01:58:52	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	89¢	$351	0xf2e299…
11-04 01:58:51	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	89¢	$126	0x0551a2…
11-04 01:58:49	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	89¢	$180	0xe3c187…
11-04 01:58:00	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	946	89¢	$842	0x08a576…
11-04 01:57:48	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,054	89¢	$938	0x043d55…
11-04 01:57:25	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb7e0da…
11-04 01:57:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xeb2188…
11-04 01:56:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	91¢	$98	0xb6c756…
11-04 01:56:31	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x2b3f44…
11-04 01:56:28	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	91¢	$139	0x882eeb…
11-04 01:56:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	91¢	$428	0xfad9ae…
11-04 01:56:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x0bbf94…
11-04 01:56:21	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	91¢	$204	0xe56223…
11-04 01:56:16	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	881	91¢	$802	0x12790a…
11-04 01:56:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xc20ebb…
11-04 01:56:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0xc3d994…
11-04 01:56:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	91¢	$224	0x1591a8…
11-04 01:56:07	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x727ff3…
11-04 01:55:30	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x770a1a…
11-04 01:55:24	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	92¢	$63	0x588ab8…
11-04 01:55:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xf9b82d…
11-04 01:55:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xf3e372…
11-04 01:55:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe89ee1…
11-04 01:55:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0xacfb66…
11-04 01:55:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x1a7fe3…
11-04 01:55:22	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x0aa19c…
11-04 01:55:21	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	92¢	$62	0x647322…
11-04 01:55:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xce146f…
11-04 01:55:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xb856cf…
11-04 01:55:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	91¢	$86	0x559b53…
11-04 01:55:13	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x259fef…
11-04 01:55:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0x93412a…
11-04 01:51:36	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xd21423…
11-04 01:51:27	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x0db35b…
11-04 01:51:06	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0xa8dedf…
11-04 01:51:06	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	94¢	$269	0xa4cdbf…
11-04 01:50:03	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x848475…
11-04 01:50:01	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xeb2589…
11-04 01:50:01	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6be82d…
11-04 01:49:24	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb50a00…
11-04 01:49:16	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xb0a600…
11-04 01:49:07	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$65	0x311c3f…
11-04 01:22:54	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0xf6021c…
11-04 00:45:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	299	98¢	$294	0x5c6f8f…
11-04 00:45:22	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,701	98¢	$4,621	0x10fa13…
11-04 00:45:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,980	98¢	$1,948	0x8dbf00…
11-04 00:45:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,004	0x6528e9…
11-04 00:35:04	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x8ed6e7…
11-04 00:22:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,500	82¢	$2,050	0x0cbf0c…
11-04 00:04:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	365	87¢	$318	0x9b5f85…
11-04 00:04:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	668	87¢	$581	0x64f71e…
11-04 00:04:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	967	87¢	$841	0x3d3d7c…
11-03 23:49:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,234	87¢	$1,943	0xf6af89…
11-03 23:49:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xb0b797…
11-03 23:49:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	66	87¢	$58	0x3e059d…
11-03 23:27:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x970fd1…
11-03 23:27:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8fb6a5…
11-03 23:27:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8e0a74…
11-03 23:27:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4c7db8…
11-03 23:27:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4a1d44…