Made-Up-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

910

lifetime

Volume

$7.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

37% 100% +$0

Other

32% 100% +$0

Sports

25% 0% $-50

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	29	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	02-08 13:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	17	$116	60	56	+5	open	—	04-27 08:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$100	63	42	+22	open	—	03-03 08:14
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$93	54	40	+13	open	—	02-28 06:53
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	06-04 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$81	43	41	+2	open	—	05-10 20:45
ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	30	$81	78	56	+22	open	—	07-12 00:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	3	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	07-07 23:47
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$80	76	5	+72	open	—	01-27 11:44
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	15	$75	43	43	+0	open	—	08-08 16:47
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	5	$74	75	0	+75	open	—	02-10 10:12
Trump out as President by June 30?	5	$72	47	26	+20	open	—	06-04 03:53
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	2	$72	20	52	-32	open	—	06-13 22:06
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-25 11:15
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	23	$63	67	33	+34	open	—	04-10 13:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$61	60	1	+59	open	—	02-03 07:29
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-08 13:17
will tetairoa mcmillan be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 271	3	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	02-01 22:51
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	04-01 21:11
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-09 22:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	03-04 18:35
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-04 19:08
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 07:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	01-01 19:20
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	3	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	07-18 12:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$59	40	20	+20	open	—	04-07 14:23
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	5	$58	30	28	+2	open	—	01-03 16:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$58	44	24	+20	open	—	02-28 07:18
new stranger things episode released by april 30	8	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	04-21 10:41
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	4	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	01-03 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:54:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ad54d…
08-11 11:54:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8fc594…
08-11 11:54:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x19da9f…
08-11 08:21:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40100f…
08-11 08:21:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x222cd1…
08-11 08:20:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x930bd6…
08-10 19:34:57	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf0b5e7…
08-10 19:33:43	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe3210f…
08-10 13:08:21	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2ffd7a…
08-08 17:52:57	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf2cb1a…
08-08 17:25:13	ufc man15 rmiran 2026 08 08	Manoel Sousa	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x32a340…
08-08 17:25:13	ufc man15 rmiran 2026 08 08	Manoel Sousa	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x204d3a…
08-08 17:19:28	ufc man15 rmiran 2026 08 08	Manoel Sousa	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xefd4dd…
08-08 16:47:12	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$0	0xd3c1c5…
08-08 16:43:33	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Billy Quarantillo	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5d9750…
08-08 16:43:19	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Billy Quarantillo	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x1fa53d…
08-08 16:27:13	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Billy Quarantillo	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xaf4550…
08-08 16:04:57	ufc bru13 diy 2026 08 08	Bruno Lopes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7c34b2…
08-08 11:31:27	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc2ef28…
08-08 11:24:19	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x5370af…
08-08 10:42:37	ufc gcanut car24 2026 08 08	Carol Foro	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x648da5…
08-08 10:42:16	ufc gcanut car24 2026 08 08	Carol Foro	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2b474d…
08-08 10:41:09	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x31d301…
08-08 10:30:34	ufc gcanut car24 2026 08 08	Carol Foro	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x821d29…
08-08 08:57:39	ufc dar3 yad 2026 08 08	Yadier del Valle	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x78100b…
08-08 06:57:39	ufc dar3 yad 2026 08 08	Yadier del Valle	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe2bb46…
08-08 04:54:52	ufc dar3 yad 2026 08 08	Yadier del Valle	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6d69ea…
08-08 03:37:54	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xacf1e6…
08-08 03:37:52	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x3ce0c3…
08-08 01:05:54	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x3bbde3…
08-07 01:49:12	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x1b8810…
08-06 20:25:41	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x729d34…
08-06 07:13:02	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4ee13e…
08-05 22:56:47	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x705cc7…
08-05 12:00:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6832f1…
08-05 12:00:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07ddf3…
08-05 12:00:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x420d21…
08-05 11:27:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x105be0…
08-05 09:08:48	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xf0014f…
08-05 07:50:17	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x590427…
08-04 04:16:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x507f30…
08-04 04:16:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f064a…
08-04 04:16:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5fa7a4…
08-02 22:26:39	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xe2398a…
08-02 22:23:09	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd6910f…
08-02 16:09:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5805ec…
08-02 08:09:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb2fba4…
08-02 07:56:18	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x92340e…
08-02 07:50:35	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e544c…
08-02 07:45:56	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x726c4c…
08-02 05:53:02	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd049b1…
08-02 03:51:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xacb50f…
08-02 03:42:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05fad2…
08-02 03:11:24	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xee31ac…
08-02 03:01:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe584c9…
08-01 14:49:00	ufc den2 bog 2026 08 01	Bogdan Grad	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xac4fd9…
08-01 14:40:08	ufc hai nmilos 2026 08 01	Nina Miloševic	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x907d5e…
08-01 14:40:06	ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5bf67a…
08-01 14:29:44	ufc den2 bog 2026 08 01	Bogdan Grad	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xae9188…
08-01 14:07:20	ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x50c4ee…
08-01 14:06:11	ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd9fd62…
08-01 14:05:27	ufc den2 bog 2026 08 01	Bogdan Grad	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7a8e56…
08-01 13:02:41	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xceabf0…
08-01 12:53:35	ufc du rob19 2026 08 01	Robert Valentin	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x8a2db3…
08-01 12:48:48	ufc du rob19 2026 08 01	Robert Valentin	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x54e5fe…
08-01 12:47:00	ufc ale19 jov 2026 08 01	Alexander Poppeck	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1e67cb…
08-01 12:36:12	ufc ale19 jov 2026 08 01	Alexander Poppeck	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdc70eb…
08-01 12:10:59	ufc ale19 jov 2026 08 01	Alexander Poppeck	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x102933…
08-01 11:50:27	ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	Navajo Stirling	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb05434…
08-01 11:50:15	ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	Navajo Stirling	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3170a2…
08-01 11:50:14	ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	Navajo Stirling	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd1fbbe…
08-01 11:48:35	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01	Stephanie Luciano	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x70008c…
08-01 10:50:12	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01	Stephanie Luciano	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x256e92…
08-01 10:22:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5c22d2…
08-01 10:18:30	ufc mjanic ngugno 2026 08 01	Noah Gugnon	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd6e0fe…
08-01 10:12:00	ufc ste33 mspasi 2026 08 01	Stephanie Luciano	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x30e99e…
08-01 08:20:23	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x37bd60…
08-01 07:31:41	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x37f2e5…
08-01 06:58:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23bcf3…
08-01 06:47:02	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x006f56…
08-01 06:46:44	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x51d050…
08-01 06:38:56	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5e861b…
08-01 06:38:54	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xf0b6b0…
08-01 05:17:39	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6bd7b…
08-01 05:17:15	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdbec49…
08-01 05:07:27	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe31e39…
07-30 23:24:15	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x701f1f…
07-30 23:15:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4975d…
07-30 21:35:48	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbf971f…
07-30 21:29:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d2c94…
07-29 22:21:29	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9eddb6…
07-29 22:07:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x247055…
07-29 21:57:51	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbec465…
07-29 21:48:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0d05f…
07-29 21:00:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b23e1…
07-29 20:54:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7598ed…
07-29 20:39:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e9aaa…
07-29 20:39:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21fcab…
07-25 17:43:34	ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	Steve Erceg	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcbc5c5…
07-25 17:42:57	ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	Steve Erceg	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc37421…