Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
462
Trades
1,323
lifetime
Volume
$11.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$358
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Politics
32% 91% -$4
Other
31% 90% +$3
Sports
29% 65% -$91
Crypto
5% 93% +$10
Tech
3% 91% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $34 96¢ $34 +$0 10-22 05:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +32 $31 97¢ $31 +$0 10-20 05:22
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +32 $31 96¢ $31 $0 10-14 04:46
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-03 11:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-09 07:48
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 $0 10-22 05:29
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-10 06:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +23 $22 99¢ $23 +$1 10-12 12:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-11 14:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 10-11 10:23
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 05-01 01:48
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +22 $21 96¢ $21 $0 10-22 18:31
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 $0 10-26 17:33
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +5 $2 96¢ $5 +$2 10-08 07:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-24 00:33
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 09-21 05:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 10-23 12:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +5 $3 55¢ $3 +$0 10-08 10:38
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-15 12:14