Circular-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,757

lifetime

Volume

$1.51M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$861

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-09 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$21

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$24

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	34	$68.5K	69,320	0	+69,320	open	—	02-08 19:40
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	122	$55.1K	55,785	0	+55,785	open	—	03-16 06:31
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	9	$42.5K	42,693	0	+42,693	open	—	04-11 07:40
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	76	$41.3K	28,072	17,006	+11,066	open	—	03-19 20:55
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	59	$34.8K	31,204	31,204	+0	open	—	05-28 13:26
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	50	$34.7K	33,987	1,000	+32,987	open	—	05-26 19:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$32.4K	17,191	16,234	+957	open	—	04-25 15:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	13	$30.8K	30,912	0	+30,912	open	—	03-29 16:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-02 21:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	40	$26.0K	26,315	0	+26,315	open	—	04-21 07:13
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	8	$25.2K	25,270	0	+25,270	open	—	03-22 20:20
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	02-25 06:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$23.3K	23,382	0	+23,382	open	—	03-01 20:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$22.9K	23,020	0	+23,020	open	—	03-26 07:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$22.8K	22,833	0	+22,833	open	—	02-26 15:20
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$20.9K	20,957	0	+20,957	open	—	01-22 20:37
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$20.1K	20,252	0	+20,252	open	—	02-18 12:08
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	17	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-13 11:33
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-03 08:59
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	3	$18.7K	18,721	0	+18,721	open	—	03-20 18:53
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	14	$17.0K	17,023	0	+17,023	open	—	03-22 20:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$17.0K	17,000	0	+17,000	open	—	02-26 15:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	40	$15.4K	14,577	1,000	+13,577	open	—	03-30 18:25
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	2	$14.9K	14,956	0	+14,956	open	—	06-28 05:58
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$14.1K	14,151	0	+14,151	open	—	06-30 05:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	1	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-12 18:37
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	2	$13.7K	13,734	0	+13,734	open	—	03-07 21:09
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$13.4K	13,405	0	+13,405	open	—	03-22 20:01
cbb ndkst mst 2026 03 19	10	$13.2K	13,297	0	+13,297	open	—	03-19 21:55
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	10	$12.9K	12,925	0	+12,925	open	—	07-24 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:33:22	le pen endorses non bardella pm by december 31 2026 20260708195808581	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xed75b9…
08-08 07:43:22	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xe346a9…
08-08 07:29:54	le pen endorses non bardella pm by december 31 2026 20260708195808581	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x310b8a…
08-08 07:25:00	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	89	89¢	$79	0xb649ad…
08-06 19:16:00	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7f96ba…
08-06 16:52:18	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa7eac2…
08-06 15:01:39	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xa47a9e…
08-02 20:18:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x817379…
08-02 10:11:45	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6206e1…
08-02 08:50:27	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0x96d1ca…
08-02 08:17:50	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x9c8b1a…
08-01 20:31:36	le pen endorses non bardella pm by december 31 2026 20260708195808581	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf9e320…
08-01 19:33:06	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	46	79¢	$36	0xdaf90a…
08-01 05:45:08	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xf8c5f8…
07-31 15:42:30	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x0809e6…
07-31 13:21:17	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	495	92¢	$455	0x94721c…
07-31 05:59:35	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x6a29a6…
07-31 01:38:21	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2af7c3…
07-31 01:38:18	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x95bfb3…
07-31 01:38:17	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe6c898…
07-31 01:38:14	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xde59d0…
07-31 01:38:11	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d2ae3…
07-30 06:14:03	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x0e7188…
07-28 11:22:19	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51f183…
07-28 10:00:43	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd556b…
07-28 09:59:41	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19015f…
07-28 09:47:31	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4da4ec…
07-28 06:24:15	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0xb31198…
07-28 06:08:01	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x986368…
07-27 21:46:15	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd2a47d…
07-27 20:34:58	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	3,714	100¢	$3,707	0x72702b…
07-27 08:58:22	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	546	100¢	$545	0x08774d…
07-27 06:46:46	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd09283…
07-27 06:28:55	le pen endorses non bardella pm by december 31 2026 20260708195808581	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x930c0e…
07-27 06:25:55	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0392ec…
07-27 06:25:48	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by july 31 2026 20260709012217843	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x21f290…
07-27 06:17:55	macron out by july 31 2026 20260626155530286	No	BUY	1,949	100¢	$1,945	0x75dc19…
07-26 17:28:57	will remco evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405601	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x370bb7…
07-26 15:47:51	will isaac del toro finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405702	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4d2f80…
07-25 12:43:01	will jordan jegat finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405629	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x5d521f…
07-25 12:42:45	will mattias skjelmose finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405689	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x007d48…
07-25 12:41:25	will lenny martinez finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405645	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x577dea…
07-25 12:40:34	will tom pidcock finish top 3 in the 2026 tour de france 20260702210405669	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x711f03…
07-24 08:38:01	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xbbdd33…
07-24 05:44:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x1ad63d…
07-24 05:41:57	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8,712	100¢	$8,686	0x3951fc…
07-21 21:15:48	french election called by july 31 2026 20260626154415138	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0xfafa54…
07-19 20:51:51	Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x6be5ec…
07-19 20:51:01	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5ae3f1…
07-18 13:10:12	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x088cfd…
07-17 21:13:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	299	99¢	$297	0xcc8eab…
07-17 19:26:22	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x1366dc…
07-17 17:59:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,175	100¢	$1,170	0x1a28f9…
07-17 17:58:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x8d3714…
07-17 17:52:01	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	678	100¢	$676	0xabd69f…
07-17 17:47:21	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc715b5…
07-15 11:41:59	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x75d12c…
07-15 11:37:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf99e1d…
07-15 11:31:49	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa39210…
07-15 11:07:44	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0808b…
07-15 09:09:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdfbd4a…
07-15 08:52:26	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,380	100¢	$2,370	0x1a5850…
07-14 21:01:59	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	900	99¢	$894	0x27a729…
07-12 19:19:37	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c23b2…
07-12 19:02:50	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa1d178…
07-12 18:55:14	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x51d0e1…
07-12 18:55:13	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	279	97¢	$271	0x4374e3…
07-08 13:42:02	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	333	98¢	$326	0x0011f4…
07-07 19:36:50	will us withdraw from nato by august 31	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x8d4663…
07-07 11:42:25	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x0e8e86…
07-07 11:33:49	atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8d2abf…
07-07 11:31:47	atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	Alexander Zverev	BUY	199	93¢	$185	0x67bbc6…
07-05 18:58:52	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2,726	98¢	$2,664	0x8e6cf8…
07-05 18:58:52	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0x89de55…
07-05 18:58:50	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xeef1c9…
07-05 18:58:50	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0x9bc787…
07-03 19:41:32	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe08e0d…
07-03 19:41:10	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x65fc31…
07-03 14:30:35	atp sinner brooksb 2026 07 03	Jannik Sinner	BUY	333	98¢	$325	0x6ed0f4…
07-03 11:12:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x57a646…
07-01 21:46:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	466	98¢	$458	0x3fffeb…
07-01 21:46:16	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf4354e…
07-01 21:46:16	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x5ae0ef…
07-01 05:42:22	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Jannik Sinner	BUY	222	96¢	$213	0x928bd7…
06-30 18:07:44	wta podoros kostyuk 2026 06 29	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	355	100¢	$353	0x2e81d9…
06-30 18:07:26	wta podoros kostyuk 2026 06 29	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x8950c8…
06-30 14:25:47	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	506	95¢	$480	0x5c1e06…
06-30 12:37:29	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$89	0x3293e5…
06-30 11:56:35	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc60cda…
06-30 11:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xda7eee…
06-30 11:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfe834c…
06-30 10:47:11	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x20d4ba…
06-30 10:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2849ad…
06-30 10:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x127100…
06-30 05:28:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0xb10d4c…
06-30 05:19:44	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	95¢	$169	0xf5c1ac…
06-30 05:15:40	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xedbbdf…
06-30 05:14:11	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	11,181	100¢	$11,169	0x8088ff…
06-30 05:12:58	wta boisson rybakin 2026 06 29	Elena Rybakina	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x0a023d…
06-29 17:32:52	atp wu djokovi 2026 06 29	Novak Djokovic	BUY	475	92¢	$437	0x88c423…