Circular-Airman 0x8de674…842938
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$30.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.12K
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
743
Trades
2,850
lifetime
Volume
$2.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$792
Open exposure
$50.2K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 17:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
48% 98% -$26,122
Politics
37% 95% -$5,209
Crypto
8% 100% +$473
Sports
6% 94% +$781
Tech
1% 100% +$101
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +14,005 $12,935 98¢ $13.8K +$825 08-26 18:58
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +10,811 $10,789 100¢ $10.8K +$5 10-27 21:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11,613 $10,709 92¢ $10.7K +$33 09-23 13:08
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +5,281 $5,262 100¢ $5.3K +$14 10-27 22:15
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,823 $2,820 100¢ $2.8K +$0 10-27 21:50
macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227 No +1,165 $1,074 97¢ $1.1K +$52 08-30 20:38
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +1,113 $1,108 100¢ $1.1K +$1 10-29 06:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $864 99¢ $989 +$125 09-07 03:57
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $950 97¢ $972 +$22 06-30 14:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +616 $596 97¢ $599 +$2 09-21 06:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +559 $555 100¢ $556 +$1 10-28 17:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +500 $454 97¢ $483 +$29 05-10 13:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +476 $462 98¢ $469 +$6 08-20 10:36
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +293 $291 100¢ $292 +$2 10-20 19:58
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +63 $55 92¢ $58 +$3 09-01 20:51
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +60 $55 96¢ $57 +$2 05-25 12:58
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 09-27 11:40