Circular-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,709

lifetime

Volume

$1.49M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$874

Open exposure

$1.88K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-19 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$21

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$24

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,000	$950	96¢	$960	+$10	06-30 14:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,000	$910	92¢	$915	+$5	07-17 17:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	34	$68.5K	69,320	0	+69,320	open	—	02-08 19:40
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	122	$55.1K	55,785	0	+55,785	open	—	03-16 06:31
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	9	$42.5K	42,693	0	+42,693	open	—	04-11 07:40
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	76	$41.3K	28,072	17,006	+11,066	open	—	03-19 20:55
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	59	$34.8K	31,204	31,204	+0	open	—	05-28 13:26
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur	50	$34.7K	33,987	1,000	+32,987	open	—	05-26 19:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$32.4K	17,191	16,234	+957	open	—	04-25 15:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	13	$30.8K	30,912	0	+30,912	open	—	03-29 16:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-02 21:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	40	$26.0K	26,315	0	+26,315	open	—	04-21 07:13
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	8	$25.2K	25,270	0	+25,270	open	—	03-22 20:20
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	02-25 06:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$23.3K	23,382	0	+23,382	open	—	03-01 20:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$22.9K	23,020	0	+23,020	open	—	03-26 07:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	6	$22.8K	22,833	0	+22,833	open	—	02-26 15:20
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$20.9K	20,957	0	+20,957	open	—	01-22 20:37
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$20.1K	20,252	0	+20,252	open	—	02-18 12:08
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	17	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-13 11:33
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-03 08:59
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	3	$18.7K	18,721	0	+18,721	open	—	03-20 18:53
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	14	$17.0K	17,023	0	+17,023	open	—	03-22 20:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$17.0K	17,000	0	+17,000	open	—	02-26 15:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	40	$15.4K	14,577	1,000	+13,577	open	—	03-30 18:25
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	2	$14.9K	14,956	0	+14,956	open	—	06-28 05:58
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$14.1K	14,151	0	+14,151	open	—	06-30 05:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	1	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-12 18:37
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	2	$13.7K	13,734	0	+13,734	open	—	03-07 21:09
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$13.4K	13,405	0	+13,405	open	—	03-22 20:01
cbb ndkst mst 2026 03 19	10	$13.2K	13,297	0	+13,297	open	—	03-19 21:55
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$12.5K	12,643	0	+12,643	open	—	02-08 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:15:48	french election called by july 31 2026 20260626154415138	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0xfafa54…
07-19 20:51:51	Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x6be5ec…
07-19 20:51:01	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5ae3f1…
07-18 13:10:12	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x088cfd…
07-17 21:13:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	299	99¢	$297	0xcc8eab…
07-17 19:26:22	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x1366dc…
07-17 17:59:31	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,175	100¢	$1,170	0x1a28f9…
07-17 17:58:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x8d3714…
07-17 17:52:01	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	678	100¢	$676	0xabd69f…
07-17 17:47:21	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc715b5…
07-15 11:41:59	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x75d12c…
07-15 11:37:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf99e1d…
07-15 11:31:49	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa39210…
07-15 11:07:44	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0808b…
07-15 09:09:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdfbd4a…
07-15 08:52:26	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,380	100¢	$2,370	0x1a5850…
07-14 21:01:59	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	900	99¢	$894	0x27a729…
07-12 19:19:37	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c23b2…
07-12 19:02:50	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa1d178…
07-12 18:55:14	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x51d0e1…
07-12 18:55:13	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	279	97¢	$271	0x4374e3…
07-08 13:42:02	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	333	98¢	$326	0x0011f4…
07-07 19:36:50	will us withdraw from nato by august 31	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x8d4663…
07-07 11:42:25	atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x0e8e86…
07-07 11:33:49	atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8d2abf…
07-07 11:31:47	atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	Alexander Zverev	BUY	199	93¢	$185	0x67bbc6…
07-05 18:58:52	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2,726	98¢	$2,664	0x8e6cf8…
07-05 18:58:52	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0x89de55…
07-05 18:58:50	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xeef1c9…
07-05 18:58:50	atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	Jannik Sinner	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0x9bc787…
07-03 19:41:32	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe08e0d…
07-03 19:41:10	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x65fc31…
07-03 14:30:35	atp sinner brooksb 2026 07 03	Jannik Sinner	BUY	333	98¢	$325	0x6ed0f4…
07-03 11:12:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x57a646…
07-01 21:46:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	466	98¢	$458	0x3fffeb…
07-01 21:46:16	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf4354e…
07-01 21:46:16	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x5ae0ef…
07-01 05:42:22	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Jannik Sinner	BUY	222	96¢	$213	0x928bd7…
06-30 18:07:44	wta podoros kostyuk 2026 06 29	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	355	100¢	$353	0x2e81d9…
06-30 18:07:26	wta podoros kostyuk 2026 06 29	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x8950c8…
06-30 14:25:47	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	506	95¢	$480	0x5c1e06…
06-30 12:37:29	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$89	0x3293e5…
06-30 11:56:35	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc60cda…
06-30 11:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xda7eee…
06-30 11:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfe834c…
06-30 10:47:11	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x20d4ba…
06-30 10:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2849ad…
06-30 10:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x127100…
06-30 05:28:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0xb10d4c…
06-30 05:19:44	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	95¢	$169	0xf5c1ac…
06-30 05:15:40	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xedbbdf…
06-30 05:14:11	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	11,181	100¢	$11,169	0x8088ff…
06-30 05:12:58	wta boisson rybakin 2026 06 29	Elena Rybakina	BUY	222	97¢	$215	0x0a023d…
06-29 17:32:52	atp wu djokovi 2026 06 29	Novak Djokovic	BUY	475	92¢	$437	0x88c423…
06-28 05:58:58	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	9,956	100¢	$9,946	0x142926…
06-28 05:58:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xf1bd61…
06-28 05:39:52	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2,970	100¢	$2,967	0x44012f…
06-28 05:39:28	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,999	100¢	$1,997	0xd3eb64…
06-27 09:02:13	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x417781…
06-26 14:00:28	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	639	100¢	$637	0x952395…
06-26 14:00:18	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x77c354…
06-24 00:25:10	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xefd885…
06-24 00:05:31	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0xff45c1…
06-23 21:01:53	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x60bb63…
06-23 19:59:53	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,334	100¢	$1,333	0x98ac89…
06-23 19:43:58	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x819994…
06-23 19:32:38	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x62f10b…
06-23 19:28:08	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x31152f…
06-23 19:27:29	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x7e0800…
06-23 19:26:41	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x532a6b…
06-23 19:20:11	French election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x585a3e…
06-23 15:04:17	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xc5e3ce…
06-23 14:20:17	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0x70177a…
06-23 13:09:32	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ac525…
06-23 12:23:58	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd992ac…
06-23 12:19:01	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf897ec…
06-23 11:42:14	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x065881…
06-23 10:40:02	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x075fc7…
06-23 08:46:26	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbcbd9f…
06-23 08:18:13	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cabf2…
06-23 08:18:05	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a5084…
06-23 07:01:23	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9e810a…
06-23 06:36:13	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd68c0d…
06-23 06:13:35	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0x1980fe…
06-23 06:03:37	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,428	100¢	$3,418	0xc66569…
06-23 05:38:49	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xefc30a…
06-23 05:29:05	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0x6d02ed…
06-22 19:50:22	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0x7402e2…
06-22 16:31:04	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa0ff2e…
06-22 16:15:02	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf052dd…
06-22 15:46:46	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x642e85…
06-22 15:35:55	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x8b77ec…
06-22 15:35:55	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0x08e641…
06-22 13:55:41	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x86df4b…
06-22 11:36:43	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0747a7…
06-21 12:40:35	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x054de7…
06-21 10:38:01	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x211f55…
06-21 10:32:05	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x874ace…
06-21 10:31:46	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d49d2…
06-21 10:31:29	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa34421…